Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 September 2012 at 00:55:05 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 September 2012, Everton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea        4   10   +6      72.82     9.05    32.65    13.57    34.52    57.09    74.70    91.12     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd        4    9   +5      81.42     8.57    51.41    49.57    74.34    87.95    94.73    98.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal        4    8   +7      70.88     9.27    34.71    10.32    27.77    48.19    67.61    87.23     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City       4    8   +3      76.22     9.01    40.51    23.87    51.18    71.77    84.95    95.35     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea        4    7   +6      48.81     9.08    -2.77     0.04     0.23     0.94     2.63    10.88     6.45R    0.96  
West_Brom      4    7   +2      51.83     9.37    -2.59     0.10     0.62     2.13     5.08    17.21     3.98R    0.57  
Everton        4    7   +1      59.93     9.23    10.47     0.85     3.80     9.99    20.39    47.77     0.49R    0.04  
West_Ham       4    7   +1      45.10     9.50   -15.33     0.04     0.13     0.45     1.39     5.84    15.03R    3.15  
Fulham         4    6   +4      54.35     9.28     6.17     0.22     1.14     3.58     8.46    26.05     1.99R    0.25  
Tottenham      4    5   +1      59.65     9.32    13.51     0.96     3.98    10.17    20.29    47.36     0.58R    0.06  
Newcastle      4    5   -1      53.60     9.42     1.04     0.20     0.94     2.92     7.21    23.09     2.69R    0.35  
Stoke          4    4   +0      43.86     8.72   -11.16     0.01     0.03     0.15     0.57     3.51    15.38R    3.01  
Aston_Villa    4    4   -1      44.79     8.93   -11.48     0.00     0.05     0.28     0.86     4.59    13.82R    2.74  
Wigan          4    4   -4      39.12     8.88   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.20     1.34    33.83R    9.46  
Sunderland     3    3   +0      49.54     9.38    -2.94     0.07     0.32     1.13     3.16    12.60     6.38R    1.06  
Norwich        4    3   -5      37.32     8.86   -29.28     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.82    42.01R   13.79  
Liverpool      4    2   -5      54.18     9.19     3.22     0.18     0.91     3.09     7.41    24.44     2.13R    0.25  
QPR            4    2   -7      35.10     8.63   -31.20     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.36    51.54R   19.69  
Reading        3    1   -4      35.88     9.59   -29.02     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.94    48.47R   19.58  
Southampton    4    0   -9      34.32     9.48   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.68    55.21R   25.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 September 2012, Wolverhampton vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Blackburn         5   11   +4      85.62    11.15    38.48    38.31    57.15    86.13    66.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool         5   10   +8      81.80    10.66    35.35    23.50    43.15    79.07    53.79P    0.12R    0.02  
Brighton          5   10   +8      68.40    10.42    10.75     2.51     6.77    31.60    12.38P    2.49R    0.44  
Hull              5   10   +5      71.08    10.20    12.69     3.66     9.94    40.68    17.55P    1.08R    0.15  
Cardiff           5   10   +2      73.81    10.50    14.11     6.67    15.85    51.14    24.84P    0.76R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest     5    9   +2      64.37    10.30    -0.21     1.02     3.13    18.93     6.41P    5.39R    1.07  
Middlesbrough     5    9   +1      64.34    10.52    -1.44     1.11     3.48    19.48     6.91P    5.70R    1.09  
Huddersfield      5    8   +2      60.86    11.04    -4.65     0.77     2.19    13.15     4.45P   11.89R    3.02  
Leeds_United      5    7   +0      66.83    10.65     4.95     1.79     5.22    26.92     9.79P    3.87R    0.71  
Wolverhampton     5    7   +0      68.16    11.39     7.48     3.28     8.14    32.12    14.41P    3.77R    0.81  
Bolton            5    7   -1      72.97    11.35    15.20     7.33    16.28    48.39    25.61P    1.52R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed         5    7   -2      56.04    11.25   -18.55     0.27     0.86     6.58     1.88P   23.85R    8.31  
Barnsley          5    7   -4      50.24     9.87   -28.92     0.03     0.11     1.39     0.27P   42.16R   16.28  
Bristol_City      5    6   +1      54.28    10.21   -15.36     0.06     0.29     3.73     0.89P   26.58R    8.58  
Burnley           5    6   +0      62.80    10.55    -0.96     0.80     2.51    16.12     5.51P    7.79R    1.73  
Leicester         5    6   +0      68.59    10.39     9.77     2.29     6.71    32.67    13.21P    2.49R    0.46  
Millwall          5    6   -3      61.29    10.38    -6.00     0.53     1.68    12.38     3.83P    9.64R    2.23  
Crystal_Palace    5    6   -3      54.42     9.98   -16.85     0.07     0.28     3.36     0.76P   25.64R    7.75  
Watford           5    6   -3      59.51    10.59   -10.01     0.42     1.36     9.90     3.05P   13.63R    3.56  
Derby             5    5   +1      57.80    10.37    -5.80     0.24     0.84     7.34     2.13P   16.28R    4.52  
Charlton          5    5   -1      57.57    10.92    -7.90     0.31     1.06     7.87     2.53P   18.70R    5.63  
Birmingham        5    5   -2      72.04    10.42    15.59     4.92    12.50    45.26    22.39P    1.10R    0.17  
Ipswich           5    5   -7      55.69    10.37   -19.51     0.10     0.42     4.83     1.15P   23.14R    7.33  
Peterborough      5    0   -8      47.52    10.53   -28.21     0.01     0.07     0.98     0.23P   52.35R   25.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere         6   14  +11      72.90    10.42    17.33     7.67    17.20    52.44    25.46P    1.01R    0.04  
Notts_County     6   13   +5      71.59    10.74    10.61     6.62    14.78    46.74    21.88P    1.74R    0.12  
Stevenage        6   12   +3      71.87    10.54    10.65     6.27    14.54    47.69    22.81P    1.51R    0.11  
Crawley_Town     6   12   +0      55.42    10.96   -17.69     0.31     0.92     6.61     1.85P   29.16R    6.98  
Walsall          6   11   +0      64.08    10.54    -2.05     1.42     3.79    20.99     7.05P    7.87R    0.95  
Yeovil           6   10   +5      63.25    10.86     2.52     1.43     3.94    20.36     7.13P    9.32R    1.29  
Sheff_Utd        6   10   +3      82.73    10.71    30.76    32.92    51.02    83.16    61.82P    0.12R    0.01  
MK_Dons          6   10   +3      78.55    10.66    23.47    18.99    34.84    72.20    46.20P    0.31R    0.02  
Doncaster        5    9   +3      70.54    11.79    11.04     6.83    14.78    44.07    22.11P    3.32R    0.41  
Brentford        6    8   +2      64.81    10.55     5.19     1.68     4.82    24.29     9.49P    6.35R    0.74  
Preston          6    8   +2      62.17    10.76     1.03     1.14     3.22    17.51     6.36P   10.55R    1.64  
Swindon          6    8   +0      63.17    11.08     1.08     1.52     4.02    20.57     7.97P    9.78R    1.43  
Carlisle         6    8   -2      63.82    10.91    -0.89     1.53     4.15    21.51     7.71P    8.98R    1.33  
Crewe            6    8   -3      48.63    10.86   -26.91     0.04     0.18     1.92     0.43P   53.15R   20.00  
Bournemouth      6    7   -1      63.89    10.53     2.56     1.36     3.75    21.17     7.62P    7.74R    1.00  
Leyton_Orient    5    6   -2      54.17    10.58   -13.82     0.17     0.53     4.72     1.19P   31.44R    7.67  
Portsmouth       6    5   -1      72.10    11.31    17.54     8.26    17.67    49.79    28.51P    2.03R    0.20  
Hartlepool       5    5   -1      56.61    10.42    -6.74     0.26     0.84     7.00     2.01P   22.68R    4.55  
Shrewsbury       6    5   -2      52.96    10.75   -10.96     0.10     0.42     4.18     1.19P   35.34R    9.37  
Oldham           5    5   -2      55.12    10.49   -10.12     0.17     0.63     5.47     1.55P   28.08R    6.18  
Scunthorpe       6    4   -9      51.30    10.40   -20.09     0.05     0.22     2.59     0.69P   42.11R   11.66  
Bury             6    3   -4      49.59    10.54   -16.85     0.05     0.16     2.11     0.51P   47.75R   16.07  
Coventry         6    3   -4      61.55    11.11     1.86     1.01     2.93    16.99     6.78P   12.33R    2.12  
Colchester       6    3   -6      55.39    10.61    -9.53     0.19     0.65     5.92     1.70P   27.32R    6.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham            6   16  +10      84.67    10.89    32.20    29.39    60.31    86.07    67.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale             6   13   +9      77.71    11.02    24.31    11.90    35.29    68.27    43.97P    0.08R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        6   13   +8      69.20    11.42     9.85     3.47    13.55    38.37    18.94P    0.61R    0.15  
Exeter                6   13   +6      80.40    11.70    25.87    18.81    44.95    74.76    53.31P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley    6   11   +3      66.67    10.84     4.03     1.59     7.91    29.00    12.36P    0.93R    0.23  
Rotherham             6   10   +3      71.25    10.97    12.80     3.96    16.30    45.25    23.39P    0.33R    0.07  
Bradford              6   10   +2      60.75    10.74    -4.73     0.47     2.79    13.84     4.78P    2.85R    0.78  
Southend              6   10   +2      76.94    10.85    20.96    10.16    32.26    65.77    41.82P    0.06R    0.01  
York                  6    9   +2      56.05    11.18   -11.01     0.24     1.41     7.83     2.62P    8.21R    2.71  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +2      56.57    10.84   -11.18     0.15     1.29     7.56     2.30P    7.02R    2.33  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   -3      63.22    10.73    -4.13     0.68     4.30    18.94     7.36P    1.72R    0.47  
Northampton           6    8   +1      57.79    10.81    -8.35     0.24     1.65     9.06     3.02P    5.50R    1.72  
Morecambe             6    8   +0      63.14    10.92    -0.04     0.76     4.51    19.57     7.59P    2.07R    0.59  
Rochdale              6    8   +0      69.54    11.45    10.00     3.41    13.95    39.72    21.13P    0.60R    0.13  
Cheltenham            6    8   -2      64.29    10.86    -0.08     0.93     5.30    22.07     8.86P    1.70R    0.49  
Chesterfield          6    7   +1      72.15    11.57    17.17     5.47    20.10    49.26    28.64P    0.38R    0.09  
Torquay               6    7   +1      69.77    10.88    13.09     2.84    13.09    40.34    20.63P    0.46R    0.14  
Aldershot             6    5   -3      58.14    10.54    -5.55     0.19     1.46     9.03     3.11P    4.83R    1.49  
Plymouth              6    5   -4      55.11    10.54   -11.48     0.10     0.84     5.51     1.85P    8.23R    2.77  
Wycombe               5    4   -2      70.87    12.23    14.97     5.18    18.18    45.21    25.85P    0.79R    0.19  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    4  -10      42.41    10.21   -40.95     0.00     0.03     0.35     0.08P   46.46R   24.12  
Dag_&_Red             6    3   -5      49.79    10.48   -18.26     0.02     0.23     1.95     0.57P   18.60R    7.43  
Bristol_Rovers        5    2   -9      49.14    10.96   -24.88     0.04     0.31     2.20     0.70P   22.11R    8.93  
Barnet                6    1  -12      37.29     9.93   -44.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   66.38R   45.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 September 2012, Barrow vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County      9   19   +9      74.46    10.22    16.27     3.02    37.19     8.82P    0.22R    0.01  
Macclesfield        9   19   +5      85.99    10.59    31.69    20.96    78.07    36.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green        9   18   +8      74.86    10.05    17.37     3.03    38.71     9.99P    0.18R    0.02  
Wrexham             9   18   +8      90.54     9.48    41.50    36.66    90.90    56.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton               9   17   +5      88.04     9.53    37.89    25.98    85.79    46.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford            9   15   +5      62.99    11.05     0.01     0.39     9.55     1.90P    5.09R    0.95  
Gateshead           9   15   +4      68.40    10.23     8.08     0.87    18.17     3.99P    1.12R    0.12  
Mansfield           9   15   -1      73.83    10.37    12.13     2.76    34.91     9.44P    0.37R    0.04  
Grimsby             9   14   +5      76.14    10.09    22.88     3.64    44.56    13.05P    0.12R    0.01  
AFC_Telford         9   13   +4      57.33     9.72    -6.09     0.04     2.28     0.29P    9.58R    1.77  
Tamworth            9   13   +1      57.25     9.85    -9.68     0.04     2.44     0.38P   10.46R    2.10  
Hereford            9   13   -4      71.93    10.69     9.11     2.02    29.03     7.77P    0.67R    0.09  
Woking              9   12   -1      54.63    10.95   -15.96     0.05     2.43     0.37P   19.14R    5.02  
Southport           9   12   -4      56.48    10.09   -15.39     0.02     2.21     0.31P   12.77R    2.80  
Braintree_Town      9   11   -2      57.66    10.15    -9.80     0.05     2.86     0.48P   10.32R    2.20  
Alfreton_Town       9   11   -5      50.48     9.83   -26.28     0.01     0.44     0.05P   29.58R    8.82  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   -2      64.77    10.17     4.21     0.30    10.56     2.37P    2.59R    0.39  
Lincoln_City        9    9   -2      57.67     9.96    -5.63     0.05     2.76     0.54P    9.54R    1.88  
Stockport           9    9   -2      56.64    10.08    -7.79     0.03     2.25     0.35P   11.88R    2.70  
Nuneaton            9    9   -6      45.40    10.71   -33.86     0.01     0.33     0.06P   49.94R   23.23  
Ebbsfleet_United    9    8   -6      51.87    10.10   -19.78     0.01     0.84     0.12P   24.79R    7.28  
Barrow              9    7   -7      46.80     9.65   -25.71     0.00     0.18     0.01P   42.76R   15.39  
Hyde_United         9    5   -6      45.02    10.81   -24.69     0.00     0.26     0.04P   50.09R   23.34  
Kidderminster       9    4   -6      58.39    10.14    -0.47     0.06     3.27     0.70P    8.76R    1.82