Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 May 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 May 2012, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        37   86  +63      88.59     0.91    65.23    87.95   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         37   86  +55      88.03     1.24    56.00    12.05   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   67  +24      68.74     1.32    24.57     0.00     0.00    65.56    91.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   66  +23      67.91     1.27    23.78     0.00     0.00    28.98    79.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       37   65   +7      66.04     1.23     6.52     0.00     0.00     3.11    15.57   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         36   61  +21      64.91     1.65    23.08     0.00     0.00     2.35    13.58   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   53   +8      54.70     1.30     8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   52   -1      52.85     1.16    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   49   +5      51.85     1.82     5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       37   47   -6      48.03     1.25    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      37   45   +0      45.75     1.12    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         37   44   -8      45.12     1.23    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         37   44  -16      45.44     1.32   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           37   44  -17      45.70     1.30   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   38  -14      39.31     1.31   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             37   37  -22      37.29     0.74   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.55R    0.00  
Wigan           36   37  -22      39.84     1.82   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Bolton          37   35  -31      36.04     1.23   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   31  -28      33.07     1.58   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.39R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   25  -41      26.01     1.24   -41.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Barnsley vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46   89  +28      89.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   88  +39      88.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         46   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.12P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   76  +27      76.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   75  +20      75.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   75  +13      75.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.48P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   70   +1      70.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   68   +3      68.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   66  +11      66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   66   +0      66.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -3      61.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   61   -8      61.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   57   -2      57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   56   -5      56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   50  -10      50.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   49  -24      49.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   48  -25      48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   40   -9      40.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   40  -24      40.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        46   36  -37      36.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2012, Bournemouth vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        46  101  +46     101.00     0.00    46.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   93  +33      93.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   90  +41      90.00     0.00    41.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.10P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   81  +32      81.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   80  +37      80.00     0.00    37.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       46   73  +25      73.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   73  +12      73.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        46   69   -1      69.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   67  +11      67.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   59   -5      59.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   58   -4      58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   56   -4      56.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      46   56   -5      56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            46   56  -19      56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   54  -14      54.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   54  -16      54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          46   54  -21      54.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      46   52   -4      52.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   50   -6      50.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   50  -27      50.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe         46   43  -23      43.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield    46   42  -25      42.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Exeter          46   42  -29      42.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Rochdale        46   38  -34      38.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 May 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              46   93  +43      93.00     0.00    43.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   88  +25      88.00     0.00    25.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         46   84  +22      84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   83  +29      83.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   81  +13      81.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   77  +16      77.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   72   +8      72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   70  +17      70.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   68  +11      68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   67   +4      67.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   66   +2      66.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   59   +8      59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   57  -10      57.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57  -12      57.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   56   +6      56.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   54  -16      54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   54  -27      54.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   50   -5      50.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   50  -22      50.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   48  -23      48.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   46  -17      46.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   46  -27      46.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             46   44  -20      44.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         46   37  -25      37.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     46  103  +54     103.00     0.00    54.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   98  +52      98.00     0.00    52.00     0.00   100.00    28.35P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   89  +39      89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   83  +36      83.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    22.35P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   81  +36      81.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   76   +3      76.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   71  +16      71.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   70  +21      70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   70  +19      70.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   62   -4      62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   60  -14      60.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   54  -24      54.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   51  -16      51.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -23      48.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   47  -12      47.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   36  -26      36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          46   31  -46      31.00     0.00   -46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kettering          46   30  -60      30.00     0.00   -60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3