Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 May 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 May 2012, Bolton vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        36   83  +61      87.43     1.59    63.96    63.27   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         36   83  +53      87.56     1.56    56.00    36.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   66  +24      70.19     1.69    26.54     0.00     0.00    73.49    94.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   65  +23      68.50     1.83    24.10     0.00     0.00    22.08    77.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       36   65   +9      66.98     1.74     7.81     0.00     0.00     4.09    22.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         36   61  +21      64.90     1.65    23.05     0.00     0.00     0.34     5.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   52   +8      55.54     1.85     9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   49   +5      51.86     1.82     5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   49   -2      51.50     1.73    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   46   -6      48.34     1.82    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   45   +1      46.82     1.66    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   44   -6      45.46     1.46    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   44  -16      47.02     1.83   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   43  -16      44.86     1.61   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   37  -14      39.47     1.83   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Wigan           36   37  -22      39.85     1.83   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.00  
QPR             36   34  -23      35.69     1.49   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.58R    0.00  
Bolton          36   34  -31      36.45     1.82   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.99R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   31  -28      33.07     1.58   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.46R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   24  -41      25.93     1.73   -42.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Barnsley vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46   89  +28      89.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   88  +39      88.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         46   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.26P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   76  +27      76.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.78P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   75  +20      75.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   75  +13      75.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.35P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   70   +1      70.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   68   +3      68.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   66  +11      66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   66   +0      66.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -3      61.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   61   -8      61.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   57   -2      57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   56   -5      56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   50  -10      50.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   49  -24      49.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   48  -25      48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   40   -9      40.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   40  -24      40.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        46   36  -37      36.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        45   98  +45     100.02     1.22    45.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   90  +31      92.19     1.19    32.37     0.00    77.11   100.00    83.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   89  +41      91.01     1.25    41.99     0.00    22.89   100.00    52.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   80  +38      82.03     1.24    38.98     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   78  +30      80.17     1.19    31.25     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   70  +22      71.87     1.28    22.73     0.00     0.00    67.04     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   70   +9      71.57     1.32     9.29     0.00     0.00    23.49     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   69   +0      70.39     1.30     0.03     0.00     0.00     9.47     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +10      65.57     1.32    10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   59   -2      60.18     1.28    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      45   56   -4      56.74     1.09    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            45   56  -16      56.90     1.19   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   55   -4      56.44     1.30    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   55   -5      56.56     1.31    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   54  -13      55.17     1.27   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   54  -19      54.64     1.06   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   51   -4      52.28     1.28    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   51  -17      52.34     1.30   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   47   -7      47.76     1.12    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   47  -28      48.58     1.32   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe         45   43  -21      43.63     1.07   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield    45   42  -24      43.18     1.28   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Exeter          45   41  -29      41.77     1.14   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.77  
Rochdale        45   38  -33      39.17     1.28   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Aldershot vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              45   92  +43      93.85     1.27    43.67   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   88  +27      89.81     1.28    27.64     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   81  +21      82.40     1.32    21.05     0.00    45.04   100.00    59.03P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   81  +14      82.61     1.30    14.35     0.00    31.26   100.00    50.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   80  +27      82.11     1.20    28.09     0.00    23.70   100.00    50.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74  +15      75.25     1.28    14.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   71   +8      72.68     1.31     8.44     0.00     0.00    91.75    20.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   68  +14      69.20     1.26    13.78     0.00     0.00     8.25     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   67  +15      68.77     1.31    15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   66   +4      67.90     1.29     4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   65   +2      66.07     1.25     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   57   -6      58.39     1.32    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   57  -11      58.34     1.31   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   56   +8      57.00     1.24     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   56   +5      57.52     1.30     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   54  -26      55.63     1.32   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   51  -18      51.94     1.20   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   49   -5      49.89     1.16    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   47  -23      47.89     1.20   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   47  -26      48.35     1.31   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   46  -16      47.47     1.31   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   43  -28      44.13     1.28   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.11R    0.00  
Hereford             45   41  -21      42.12     1.25   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.89R    0.00  
Macclesfield         45   37  -23      37.67     1.06   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     46  103  +54     103.00     0.00    54.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   98  +52      98.00     0.00    52.00     0.00   100.00    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   89  +39      89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   83  +36      83.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   81  +36      81.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   76   +3      76.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   71  +16      71.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   70  +21      70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   70  +19      70.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   62   -4      62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   60  -14      60.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   54  -24      54.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   51  -16      51.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -23      48.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   47  -12      47.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   36  -26      36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          46   31  -46      31.00     0.00   -46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kettering          46   30  -60      30.00     0.00   -60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3