Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 May 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 May 2012, Liverpool vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        36   83  +61      87.45     1.58    63.98    63.93   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         36   83  +53      87.56     1.57    55.99    36.07   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   66  +24      70.19     1.69    26.52     0.00     0.00    74.62    94.29   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   62  +20      67.21     2.28    21.62     0.00     0.00    11.25    44.54   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   62   +7      64.57     2.04     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.99     8.43   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   61  +23      67.13     2.03    26.45     0.00     0.00    13.13    52.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   52   +8      55.58     1.84     9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   49   +5      51.83     1.82     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   49   -2      51.54     1.75    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   46   -6      48.32     1.82    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   45   +1      46.80     1.66    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   44   -6      45.48     1.48    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   44  -16      47.00     1.83   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   43  -16      44.88     1.61   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   37  -14      39.48     1.84   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Wigan           36   37  -22      39.87     1.83   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
QPR             36   34  -23      35.70     1.48   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.98R    0.00  
Bolton          35   34  -28      37.51     2.22   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.46R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   31  -28      33.05     1.57   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   24  -41      25.91     1.73   -42.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Barnsley vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46   89  +28      89.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   88  +39      88.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         46   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   76  +27      76.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   75  +20      75.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   75  +13      75.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   70   +1      70.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   68   +3      68.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   66  +11      66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   66   +0      66.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -3      61.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   61   -8      61.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   57   -2      57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   56   -5      56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   50  -10      50.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   49  -24      49.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   48  -25      48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   40   -9      40.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   40  -24      40.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        46   36  -37      36.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        45   98  +45     100.02     1.22    45.93   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   90  +31      92.19     1.19    32.38     0.00    76.88   100.00    83.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   89  +41      91.03     1.24    42.01     0.00    23.12   100.00    52.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   80  +38      82.03     1.24    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   78  +30      80.16     1.19    31.27     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   70  +22      71.87     1.28    22.74     0.00     0.00    67.09     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   70   +9      71.57     1.32     9.29     0.00     0.00    23.46     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   69   +0      70.38     1.30     0.03     0.00     0.00     9.45     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +10      65.56     1.32    10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   59   -2      60.18     1.28    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      45   56   -4      56.74     1.09    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            45   56  -16      56.89     1.19   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   55   -4      56.44     1.29    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   55   -5      56.56     1.31    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   54  -13      55.16     1.26   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   54  -19      54.64     1.06   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   51   -4      52.27     1.27    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   51  -17      52.35     1.30   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   47   -7      47.75     1.12    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   47  -28      48.58     1.32   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe         45   43  -21      43.63     1.06   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield    45   42  -24      43.18     1.28   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Exeter          45   41  -29      41.76     1.13   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.79  
Rochdale        45   38  -33      39.17     1.28   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.21  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Aldershot vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              45   92  +43      93.84     1.27    43.66   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   88  +27      89.81     1.29    27.64     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   81  +21      82.40     1.32    21.04     0.00    45.00   100.00    59.25P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   81  +14      82.62     1.30    14.35     0.00    31.36   100.00    50.57P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   80  +27      82.12     1.20    28.10     0.00    23.65   100.00    50.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74  +15      75.25     1.28    14.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   71   +8      72.68     1.31     8.44     0.00     0.00    91.70    19.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   68  +14      69.19     1.26    13.77     0.00     0.00     8.30     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   67  +15      68.78     1.31    15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   66   +4      67.89     1.29     4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   65   +2      66.07     1.24     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   57   -6      58.39     1.32    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   57  -11      58.35     1.31   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   56   +8      56.99     1.23     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   56   +5      57.53     1.30     5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   54  -26      55.65     1.33   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   51  -18      51.95     1.20   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   49   -5      49.90     1.17    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   47  -23      47.89     1.20   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   47  -26      48.36     1.31   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   46  -16      47.47     1.31   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   43  -28      44.11     1.28   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.88R    0.00  
Hereford             45   41  -21      42.11     1.25   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.12R    0.00  
Macclesfield         45   37  -23      37.66     1.06   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     46  103  +54     103.00     0.00    54.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   98  +52      98.00     0.00    52.00     0.00   100.00    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   89  +39      89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    19.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   83  +36      83.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   81  +36      81.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    29.55P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   76   +3      76.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   71  +16      71.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   70  +21      70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   70  +19      70.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   62   -4      62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   60  -14      60.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   54  -24      54.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   51  -16      51.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -23      48.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   47  -12      47.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   36  -26      36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          46   31  -46      31.00     0.00   -46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kettering          46   30  -60      30.00     0.00   -60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3