Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 30 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 April 2012, Man_City vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        36   83  +61      87.43     1.58    63.96    63.61   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         36   83  +53      87.56     1.57    56.00    36.39   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   66  +24      70.18     1.69    26.51     0.00     0.00    74.71    94.31   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   62  +20      67.24     2.27    21.66     0.00     0.00    11.14    45.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   62   +7      64.56     2.04     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.94     8.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   61  +23      67.09     2.04    26.41     0.00     0.00    13.22    51.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   51   +8      56.06     2.27     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   49   +6      53.72     2.23     6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   46   -3      49.38     2.10    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   46   -6      48.34     1.83    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   45   +1      46.82     1.67    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   44   -6      45.45     1.47    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   43  -16      44.86     1.60   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   43  -16      47.19     2.24   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   37  -14      39.49     1.83   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Wigan           36   37  -22      39.85     1.82   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.00  
QPR             36   34  -23      35.73     1.50   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.46R    0.00  
Bolton          35   34  -28      37.50     2.23   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.91R    0.00  
Blackburn       36   31  -28      33.05     1.57   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.18R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   24  -41      25.93     1.73   -42.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Barnsley vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46   89  +28      89.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   88  +39      88.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         46   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.68P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   76  +27      76.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   75  +20      75.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   75  +13      75.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   70   +1      70.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   68   +3      68.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   66  +11      66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   66   +0      66.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -3      61.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   61   -8      61.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   57   -2      57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   56   -5      56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   50  -10      50.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   49  -24      49.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   48  -25      48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   40   -9      40.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   40  -24      40.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        46   36  -37      36.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        45   98  +45     100.02     1.22    45.93   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   90  +31      92.20     1.19    32.38     0.00    76.97   100.00    83.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   89  +41      91.02     1.25    42.00     0.00    23.03   100.00    51.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   80  +38      82.02     1.24    38.98     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.81P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   78  +30      80.17     1.19    31.27     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   70  +22      71.89     1.28    22.75     0.00     0.00    67.29     9.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   70   +9      71.58     1.32     9.29     0.00     0.00    23.34     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   69   +0      70.39     1.30     0.04     0.00     0.00     9.37     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +10      65.56     1.32    10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   59   -2      60.17     1.28    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      45   56   -4      56.74     1.09    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            45   56  -16      56.88     1.18   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   55   -4      56.45     1.29    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   55   -5      56.56     1.31    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   54  -13      55.17     1.27   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   54  -19      54.64     1.06   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   51   -4      52.27     1.27    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   51  -17      52.34     1.30   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   47   -7      47.76     1.12    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   47  -28      48.57     1.32   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe         45   43  -21      43.63     1.07   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield    45   42  -24      43.18     1.28   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Exeter          45   41  -29      41.77     1.13   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.92  
Rochdale        45   38  -33      39.17     1.28   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.08  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Aldershot vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              45   92  +43      93.85     1.27    43.68   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   88  +27      89.82     1.29    27.64     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   81  +21      82.41     1.32    21.06     0.00    45.28   100.00    59.49P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   81  +14      82.62     1.30    14.36     0.00    31.13   100.00    50.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   80  +27      82.12     1.19    28.10     0.00    23.59   100.00    49.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74  +15      75.25     1.28    14.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   71   +8      72.69     1.31     8.45     0.00     0.00    91.85    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   68  +14      69.20     1.26    13.78     0.00     0.00     8.15     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   67  +15      68.78     1.31    15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   66   +4      67.89     1.29     4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   65   +2      66.06     1.24     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   57   -6      58.37     1.31    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   57  -11      58.34     1.31   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   56   +8      56.99     1.23     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   56   +5      57.52     1.30     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   54  -26      55.65     1.33   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   51  -18      51.94     1.20   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   49   -5      49.89     1.16    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   47  -23      47.89     1.20   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   47  -26      48.37     1.31   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   46  -16      47.48     1.30   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   43  -28      44.11     1.28   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.70R    0.00  
Hereford             45   41  -21      42.10     1.24   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.30R    0.00  
Macclesfield         45   37  -23      37.66     1.05   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     46  103  +54     103.00     0.00    54.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   98  +52      98.00     0.00    52.00     0.00   100.00    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   89  +39      89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   83  +36      83.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    22.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   81  +36      81.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    28.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   76   +3      76.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   71  +16      71.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   70  +21      70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   70  +19      70.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   62   -4      62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   60  -14      60.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   54  -24      54.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   51  -16      51.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -23      48.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   47  -12      47.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   36  -26      36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          46   31  -46      31.00     0.00   -46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kettering          46   30  -60      30.00     0.00   -60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3