Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 28 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Everton vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +54      88.81     2.05    56.81    69.50   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   80  +60      85.93     2.09    63.07    30.50   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   66  +24      70.20     1.69    26.54     0.00     0.00    81.34    96.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   62   +7      64.61     2.04     4.58     0.00     0.00     1.12    12.04   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.53     2.56    21.20     0.00     0.00     9.15    44.85    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.41     2.32    22.88     0.00     0.00     8.38    46.50    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   51   +8      56.07     2.26     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   49   +6      53.76     2.23     6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   46   -3      49.36     2.10    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       36   46   -6      48.31     1.82    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   45   +1      46.82     1.66    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         36   44   -6      45.44     1.46    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         36   43  -16      44.87     1.61   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   43  -16      47.15     2.24   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   37  -14      39.49     1.83   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28R    0.00  
Wigan           36   37  -22      39.85     1.83   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.18     1.75   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.96R    0.00  
Bolton          35   34  -28      37.50     2.23   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.94R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.64     1.89   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.83R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   24  -41      25.91     1.73   -42.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Barnsley vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          46   89  +28      89.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   88  +39      88.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         46   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.17P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   76  +27      76.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.65P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   75  +20      75.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   75  +13      75.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   70   +1      70.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             46   68   +3      68.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   66  +11      66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   66   +0      66.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   64   -8      64.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   61   -3      61.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   61   -8      61.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   57   -2      57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   56   -5      56.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   50  -10      50.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    46   50  -15      50.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   49  -24      49.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   48  -25      48.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       46   40   -9      40.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         46   40  -24      40.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        46   36  -37      36.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        45   98  +45     100.02     1.22    45.94   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   90  +31      92.19     1.19    32.37     0.00    76.90   100.00    83.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   89  +41      91.02     1.25    41.99     0.00    23.10   100.00    51.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   80  +38      82.02     1.24    38.98     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   78  +30      80.16     1.19    31.27     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       45   70  +22      71.88     1.28    22.75     0.00     0.00    67.67     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   70   +9      71.57     1.32     9.29     0.00     0.00    22.80     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        45   69   +0      70.39     1.31     0.03     0.00     0.00     9.53     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   64  +10      65.57     1.31    10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   59   -2      60.17     1.28    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      45   56   -4      56.74     1.09    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            45   56  -16      56.88     1.18   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        45   55   -4      56.45     1.29    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   55   -5      56.57     1.31    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   54  -13      55.16     1.26   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          45   54  -19      54.65     1.07   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      45   51   -4      52.27     1.28    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   51  -17      52.34     1.30   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   47   -7      47.76     1.13    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   47  -28      48.59     1.32   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe         45   43  -21      43.64     1.07   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield    45   42  -24      43.17     1.27   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Exeter          45   41  -29      41.77     1.14   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.80  
Rochdale        45   38  -33      39.16     1.28   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Aldershot vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              45   92  +43      93.86     1.26    43.69   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   88  +27      89.80     1.29    27.63     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   81  +21      82.40     1.32    21.05     0.00    45.01   100.00    59.22P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   81  +14      82.62     1.30    14.36     0.00    31.40   100.00    50.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   80  +27      82.12     1.20    28.11     0.00    23.59   100.00    50.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   74  +15      75.26     1.29    14.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   71   +8      72.69     1.31     8.46     0.00     0.00    91.89    20.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   68  +14      69.19     1.26    13.77     0.00     0.00     8.11     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   67  +15      68.78     1.31    15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   66   +4      67.90     1.29     4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   65   +2      66.06     1.24     1.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   57   -6      58.39     1.31    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   57  -11      58.34     1.31   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   56   +8      56.99     1.23     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   56   +5      57.53     1.30     5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   54  -26      55.65     1.33   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   51  -18      51.95     1.20   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   49   -5      49.88     1.16    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   47  -23      47.88     1.20   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   47  -26      48.35     1.31   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   46  -16      47.47     1.31   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   43  -28      44.12     1.28   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.58R    0.00  
Hereford             45   41  -21      42.10     1.24   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.42R    0.00  
Macclesfield         45   37  -23      37.67     1.06   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     46  103  +54     103.00     0.00    54.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   98  +52      98.00     0.00    52.00     0.00   100.00    28.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          46   89  +39      89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    19.15P    0.00     0.00  
York               46   83  +36      83.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    22.66P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              46   81  +36      81.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport          46   76   +3      76.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   74   +7      74.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      46   71  +16      71.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       46   70  +21      70.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            46   70  +19      70.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   62   -4      62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   60  -14      60.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      46   54  -24      54.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          46   51  -16      51.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       46   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           46   48  -23      48.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     46   47  -12      47.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        46   46  -20      46.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    46   41  -32      41.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         46   36  -26      36.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          46   31  -46      31.00     0.00   -46.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Kettering          46   30  -60      30.00     0.00   -60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3