Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 27 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2012, Aston_Villa vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +54      88.77     2.06    56.70    69.47   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   80  +60      85.91     2.10    63.05    30.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   65  +24      70.99     2.15    27.14     0.00     0.00    82.82    95.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   62  +11      66.41     2.49     9.25     0.00     0.00     5.12    29.01   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.51     2.56    21.18     0.00     0.00     6.57    37.14    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.37     2.34    22.78     0.00     0.00     5.49    38.19    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   48   +4      54.59     2.63     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   46   +3      52.30     2.60     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   46   +1      50.55     2.47    -0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   45   -6      48.94     2.27    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   44   +1      47.66     2.11     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   43   -6      46.37     1.96    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         35   43  -13      45.99     2.06   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42  -16      47.15     2.55   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   36  -14      39.58     2.25   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.27R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.17     1.75   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.51R    0.00  
Wigan           35   34  -26      37.86     2.23   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.07R    0.00  
Bolton          34   33  -28      37.36     2.53   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.31R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.69     1.88   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.84R    0.22  
Wolverhampton   35   23  -41      25.86     2.11   -42.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2012, Leicester vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45   89  +30      90.23     1.28    29.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   85  +35      87.09     1.20    36.06     0.00    90.13   100.00    92.95P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         45   83  +32      84.84     1.26    32.66     0.00     9.87   100.00    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   74  +20      75.48     1.32    20.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.32P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   73  +25      74.50     1.31    25.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   72  +12      73.52     1.29    12.23     0.00     0.00    89.83    16.74P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   70   +2      71.31     1.29     1.93     0.00     0.00    10.17     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   68   +4      68.89     1.16     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   65   +0      66.42     1.30     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   63  +10      64.31     1.31     9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   63   -8      64.58     1.33    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   61   +3      62.84     1.28     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   61   -2      62.45     1.33    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   -9      62.42     1.31    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   58   -9      59.53     1.33    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   56   -2      57.26     1.30    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -4      57.18     1.25    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   49  -10      50.19     1.30   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   48  -24      48.91     1.19   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   47  -17      48.49     1.29   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   47  -25      48.30     1.28   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   40   -7      41.22     1.26    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   40  -20      40.68     1.06   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   36  -36      37.22     1.30   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        44   97  +45     100.75     1.79    46.45   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   88  +41      91.92     1.79    42.76     0.00    74.23   100.00    83.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   87  +30      90.60     1.79    31.40     0.00    25.77   100.00    47.10P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   77  +37      80.89     1.80    38.72     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   77  +30      80.92     1.77    31.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   69  +22      71.71     1.74    21.92     0.00     0.00    71.35    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   67   +8      70.09     1.89     8.49     0.00     0.00    21.08     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   66   -3      69.20     1.85    -2.33     0.00     0.00     6.65     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   64  +11      66.86     1.85    11.19     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   56   -4      58.71     1.82    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   55   -2      57.62     1.81    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            44   55  -16      57.43     1.79   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   54   -5      56.80     1.83    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      44   53   -5      55.33     1.70    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   53  -13      55.18     1.77   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   51  -20      53.27     1.70   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   50   -4      52.75     1.83    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -17      52.59     1.84   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   47  -27      49.72     1.82   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.00  
Walsall         44   46   -7      47.76     1.67    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.00  
Wycombe         44   43  -20      44.91     1.71   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.23R    0.47  
Chesterfield    44   42  -23      44.29     1.81   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.81R    1.26  
Exeter          44   41  -26      42.71     1.67   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   10.20  
Rochdale        44   38  -32      40.06     1.76   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              44   89  +38      92.72     1.79    39.38    95.45   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   85  +26      88.79     1.79    27.53     4.55    99.57   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   81  +24      84.45     1.81    25.06     0.00    70.72   100.00    78.28P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   80  +14      83.28     1.86    14.79     0.00    26.35   100.00    46.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.44     1.78    26.04     0.00     3.36   100.00    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71  +13      73.93     1.83    13.28     0.00     0.00    88.22    15.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   70   +8      72.80     1.82     8.06     0.00     0.00    69.63    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   68  +16      70.56     1.82    15.77     0.00     0.00    27.32     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   66  +15      69.37     1.88    15.93     0.00     0.00    12.47     3.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   65   +4      68.16     1.83     4.66     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   64   +2      66.52     1.81     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57   -7      59.49     1.84    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   56  +10      58.35     1.73     9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   +8      57.58     1.81     7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   54  -10      56.92     1.87    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   51  -14      53.29     1.80   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   51  -28      53.85     1.84   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   49   -3      50.99     1.71    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   47  -25      49.14     1.72   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -23      48.06     1.77   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   45  -16      47.63     1.82   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.54     1.84   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.20R    5.78  
Hereford             44   38  -24      39.83     1.67   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.75R   43.78  
Macclesfield         44   37  -21      39.25     1.70   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.05R   50.44  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2012, Gateshead vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     45  103  +56     104.55     1.32    56.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   95  +48      97.19     1.18    49.28     0.00   100.00    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.24     1.31    35.75     0.00   100.00    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   80  +35      81.81     1.28    35.63     0.00   100.00    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   78  +34      79.19     1.28    33.75     0.00    81.15    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   76  +22      77.54     1.34    22.25     0.00    18.85     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   73   +2      73.82     1.17     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   71   +4      72.82     1.28     4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   70  +22      70.93     1.19    21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   70  +20      71.98     1.27    20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   70  +16      71.60     1.29    16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   62   +0      62.62     1.04    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   57  -16      58.41     1.32   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   54  -14      55.38     1.32   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   51  -25      52.73     1.32   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   48  -17      49.46     1.34   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   47  -10      48.34     1.31   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   47  -23      48.11     1.23   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   46  -11      47.38     1.32   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   46  -17      46.93     1.19   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   41  -31      42.31     1.32   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   33  -28      34.93     1.26   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          45   31  -45      32.05     1.26   -45.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   14.39  
Kettering          45   30  -58      30.83     1.15   -58.82     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.61  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3