Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2012, Aston_Villa vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +54      88.77     2.06    56.71    69.39   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   80  +60      85.91     2.10    63.04    30.61   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   65  +24      71.03     2.15    27.18     0.00     0.00    83.01    95.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   62  +11      66.38     2.49     9.21     0.00     0.00     4.93    28.33   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.49     2.58    21.16     0.00     0.00     6.43    37.02    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.41     2.34    22.84     0.00     0.00     5.63    38.96    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   48   +4      54.61     2.63     5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   46   +3      52.30     2.59     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   46   +1      50.54     2.48    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   45   -6      48.95     2.27    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   44   +1      47.67     2.12     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   43   -6      46.34     1.96    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         35   43  -13      46.00     2.07   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42  -16      47.09     2.56   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   36  -14      39.57     2.25   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.17     1.75   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.76R    0.00  
Wigan           35   34  -26      37.87     2.23   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.83R    0.00  
Bolton          34   33  -28      37.37     2.53   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.25R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.69     1.88   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.77R    0.20  
Wolverhampton   35   23  -41      25.86     2.10   -42.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2012, Leicester vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45   89  +30      90.23     1.28    29.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   85  +35      87.10     1.20    36.07     0.00    90.14   100.00    93.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         45   83  +32      84.85     1.26    32.66     0.00     9.86   100.00    39.31P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   74  +20      75.47     1.32    20.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   73  +25      74.50     1.31    25.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   72  +12      73.53     1.29    12.22     0.00     0.00    89.48    16.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   70   +2      71.32     1.30     1.94     0.00     0.00    10.52     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   68   +4      68.89     1.16     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   65   +0      66.43     1.30     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   63  +10      64.32     1.32     9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   63   -8      64.57     1.33    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   61   +3      62.82     1.28     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   61   -2      62.44     1.33    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   -9      62.41     1.31    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   58   -9      59.53     1.33    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   56   -2      57.27     1.30    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -4      57.18     1.25    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   49  -10      50.20     1.30   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   48  -24      48.93     1.20   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   47  -17      48.50     1.29   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   47  -25      48.29     1.28   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   40   -7      41.21     1.26    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   40  -20      40.68     1.06   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   36  -36      37.22     1.30   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        44   97  +45     100.72     1.79    46.42   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   88  +41      91.92     1.80    42.76     0.00    74.55   100.00    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   87  +30      90.59     1.78    31.41     0.00    25.45   100.00    46.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   77  +37      80.90     1.79    38.73     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   77  +30      80.90     1.77    31.79     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   69  +22      71.72     1.74    21.93     0.00     0.00    71.58    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   67   +8      70.08     1.88     8.50     0.00     0.00    21.02     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   66   -3      69.17     1.84    -2.35     0.00     0.00     6.45     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   64  +11      66.88     1.85    11.21     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   56   -4      58.70     1.82    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   55   -2      57.61     1.80    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            44   55  -16      57.42     1.79   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   54   -5      56.79     1.83    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      44   53   -5      55.33     1.69    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   53  -13      55.21     1.78   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   51  -20      53.27     1.71   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   50   -4      52.77     1.83    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -17      52.60     1.84   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   47  -27      49.72     1.82   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.00  
Walsall         44   46   -7      47.77     1.67    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.61R    0.00  
Wycombe         44   43  -20      44.92     1.71   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.03R    0.45  
Chesterfield    44   42  -23      44.30     1.82   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.69R    1.14  
Exeter          44   41  -26      42.73     1.67   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   10.05  
Rochdale        44   38  -32      40.05     1.75   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              44   89  +38      92.74     1.79    39.41    95.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   85  +26      88.81     1.78    27.55     4.54    99.52   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   81  +24      84.46     1.81    25.07     0.00    70.84   100.00    78.57P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   80  +14      83.30     1.85    14.81     0.00    26.34   100.00    46.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.45     1.78    26.05     0.00     3.30   100.00    36.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71  +13      73.93     1.83    13.28     0.00     0.00    88.23    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   70   +8      72.79     1.83     8.05     0.00     0.00    69.36    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   68  +16      70.54     1.81    15.76     0.00     0.00    27.26     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   66  +15      69.36     1.88    15.92     0.00     0.00    12.72     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   65   +4      68.16     1.83     4.66     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   64   +2      66.53     1.81     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57   -7      59.49     1.83    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   56  +10      58.34     1.73     9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   +8      57.61     1.81     7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   54  -10      56.92     1.87    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   51  -14      53.28     1.80   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   51  -28      53.86     1.84   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   49   -3      50.98     1.71    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   47  -25      49.15     1.72   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -23      48.06     1.77   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   45  -16      47.62     1.83   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.54     1.85   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.27R    5.89  
Hereford             44   38  -24      39.80     1.67   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.13R   44.05  
Macclesfield         44   37  -21      39.24     1.70   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.60R   50.06  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2012, Gateshead vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     45  103  +56     104.54     1.32    56.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   95  +48      97.20     1.17    49.31     0.00   100.00    30.74P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.22     1.31    35.74     0.00   100.00    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   80  +35      81.82     1.28    35.64     0.00   100.00    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   78  +34      79.20     1.28    33.76     0.00    81.02    24.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   76  +22      77.55     1.34    22.26     0.00    18.98     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   73   +2      73.82     1.18     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   71   +4      72.83     1.28     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   70  +22      70.92     1.18    21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   70  +20      71.98     1.27    20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   70  +16      71.58     1.29    16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   62   +0      62.61     1.04    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   57  -16      58.40     1.32   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   54  -14      55.38     1.32   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   51  -25      52.72     1.32   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   48  -17      49.46     1.34   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   47  -10      48.34     1.31   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   47  -23      48.13     1.24   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   46  -11      47.38     1.32   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   46  -17      46.92     1.19   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   41  -31      42.31     1.32   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   33  -28      34.93     1.26   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          45   31  -45      32.06     1.26   -45.52     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   14.39  
Kettering          45   30  -58      30.83     1.15   -58.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.61  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3