Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2012, Aston_Villa vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +54      88.78     2.06    56.69    69.60   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   80  +60      85.90     2.10    63.04    30.40   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   65  +24      71.02     2.14    27.18     0.00     0.00    83.08    95.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   62  +11      66.43     2.48     9.28     0.00     0.00     5.16    28.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.49     2.55    21.15     0.00     0.00     6.37    36.54    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.41     2.34    22.86     0.00     0.00     5.39    38.90    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   48   +4      54.59     2.61     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   46   +3      52.27     2.60     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   46   +1      50.55     2.46    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   45   -6      48.95     2.27    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   44   +1      47.66     2.11     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   43   -6      46.35     1.96    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         35   43  -13      45.98     2.07   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42  -16      47.12     2.57   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   36  -14      39.59     2.25   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.20     1.76   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.25R    0.00  
Wigan           35   34  -26      37.83     2.23   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.60R    0.00  
Bolton          34   33  -28      37.37     2.54   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.25R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.70     1.89   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.55R    0.21  
Wolverhampton   35   23  -41      25.87     2.10   -42.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2012, Leicester vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45   89  +30      90.21     1.28    29.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   85  +35      87.09     1.20    36.06     0.00    90.18   100.00    93.14P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         45   83  +32      84.85     1.26    32.67     0.00     9.82   100.00    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   74  +20      75.48     1.32    20.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.60P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   73  +25      74.52     1.31    25.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   72  +12      73.53     1.29    12.24     0.00     0.00    89.79    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   70   +2      71.32     1.30     1.93     0.00     0.00    10.21     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   68   +4      68.89     1.16     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   65   +0      66.44     1.30     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   63  +10      64.31     1.31     9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   63   -8      64.58     1.33    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   61   +3      62.83     1.29     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   61   -2      62.45     1.33    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   -9      62.42     1.31    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   58   -9      59.55     1.33    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   56   -2      57.27     1.30    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -4      57.18     1.25    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   49  -10      50.19     1.30   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   48  -24      48.93     1.20   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   47  -17      48.50     1.29   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   47  -25      48.29     1.29   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   40   -7      41.21     1.26    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   40  -20      40.68     1.06   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   36  -36      37.21     1.29   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        44   97  +45     100.75     1.79    46.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   88  +41      91.92     1.79    42.78     0.00    74.60   100.00    84.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   87  +30      90.60     1.78    31.42     0.00    25.40   100.00    46.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   77  +37      80.87     1.80    38.70     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.10P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   77  +30      80.92     1.77    31.81     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   69  +22      71.70     1.74    21.92     0.00     0.00    70.99    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   67   +8      70.09     1.88     8.50     0.00     0.00    21.29     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   66   -3      69.19     1.86    -2.34     0.00     0.00     6.76     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   64  +11      66.90     1.85    11.23     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   56   -4      58.71     1.81    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   55   -2      57.62     1.80    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            44   55  -16      57.42     1.78   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   54   -5      56.79     1.83    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      44   53   -5      55.33     1.70    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   53  -13      55.21     1.78   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   51  -20      53.26     1.71   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   50   -4      52.75     1.83    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -17      52.59     1.84   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   47  -27      49.70     1.82   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.00  
Walsall         44   46   -7      47.77     1.67    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.12R    0.00  
Wycombe         44   43  -20      44.89     1.69   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R    0.49  
Chesterfield    44   42  -23      44.29     1.82   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.77R    1.27  
Exeter          44   41  -26      42.73     1.67   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   10.25  
Rochdale        44   38  -32      40.08     1.76   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.99  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              44   89  +38      92.74     1.80    39.40    95.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   85  +26      88.80     1.80    27.54     4.58    99.55   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   81  +24      84.44     1.81    25.05     0.00    70.23   100.00    78.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   80  +14      83.31     1.86    14.82     0.00    26.92   100.00    46.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.43     1.78    26.04     0.00     3.29   100.00    35.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71  +13      73.95     1.84    13.31     0.00     0.00    88.39    15.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   70   +8      72.78     1.83     8.04     0.00     0.00    69.37    15.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   68  +16      70.55     1.81    15.76     0.00     0.00    27.22     5.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   66  +15      69.36     1.87    15.92     0.00     0.00    12.43     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   65   +4      68.17     1.84     4.66     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   64   +2      66.54     1.81     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57   -7      59.48     1.83    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   56  +10      58.34     1.72     9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   +8      57.60     1.80     7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   54  -10      56.94     1.87    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   51  -14      53.28     1.79   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   51  -28      53.84     1.83   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   49   -3      50.98     1.71    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   47  -25      49.14     1.72   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -23      48.06     1.77   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   45  -16      47.60     1.81   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.55     1.85   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.40R    5.63  
Hereford             44   38  -24      39.81     1.66   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.92R   44.38  
Macclesfield         44   37  -21      39.27     1.70   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.68R   50.00  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 April 2012, Gateshead vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     45  103  +56     104.53     1.31    56.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   95  +48      97.20     1.17    49.31     0.00   100.00    30.61P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.23     1.31    35.76     0.00   100.00    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   80  +35      81.81     1.28    35.64     0.00   100.00    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   78  +34      79.20     1.28    33.76     0.00    81.50    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   76  +22      77.54     1.34    22.24     0.00    18.50     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   73   +2      73.82     1.18     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   71   +4      72.82     1.28     4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   70  +22      70.93     1.19    21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   70  +20      71.98     1.27    20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   70  +16      71.60     1.29    16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   62   +0      62.60     1.03    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   57  -16      58.41     1.31   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   54  -14      55.38     1.32   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   51  -25      52.72     1.32   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   48  -17      49.46     1.34   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   47  -10      48.33     1.31   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   47  -23      48.11     1.23   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   46  -11      47.38     1.32   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   46  -17      46.93     1.19   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   41  -31      42.31     1.32   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   33  -28      34.92     1.26   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          45   31  -45      32.05     1.26   -45.52     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   14.62  
Kettering          45   30  -58      30.84     1.15   -58.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.38  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3