Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2012, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +54      88.78     2.07    56.71    70.07   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   80  +60      85.88     2.09    63.00    29.93   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   65  +24      71.00     2.15    27.15     0.00     0.00    82.96    95.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   62  +11      66.39     2.48     9.23     0.00     0.00     4.93    28.56   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.47     2.57    21.12     0.00     0.00     6.53    36.92    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.38     2.34    22.81     0.00     0.00     5.58    38.82    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   48   +4      54.63     2.64     5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   46   +3      52.28     2.61     4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   46   +1      50.52     2.46    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   45   -6      48.94     2.27    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   44   +1      47.67     2.12     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   43   -6      46.35     1.95    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         35   43  -13      45.98     2.06   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42  -16      47.13     2.57   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   36  -13      41.49     2.62   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.20     1.75   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.65R    0.00  
Wigan           35   34  -26      37.86     2.23   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.71     1.89   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.87R    0.19  
Bolton          33   30  -29      35.25     2.83   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.49R    0.22  
Wolverhampton   35   23  -41      25.85     2.10   -42.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 April 2012, Leicester vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45   89  +30      90.22     1.28    29.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   85  +35      87.10     1.20    36.05     0.00    90.14   100.00    93.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         45   83  +32      84.84     1.27    32.66     0.00     9.86   100.00    39.61P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   74  +20      75.47     1.32    20.14     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.67P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   73  +25      74.51     1.31    25.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   72  +12      73.52     1.29    12.22     0.00     0.00    89.76    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   70   +2      71.31     1.30     1.92     0.00     0.00    10.24     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   68   +4      68.89     1.16     3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   65   +0      66.43     1.30     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   63  +10      64.33     1.32     9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   63   -8      64.58     1.33    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   61   +3      62.83     1.28     3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   61   -2      62.43     1.33    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   -9      62.42     1.31    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   58   -9      59.54     1.33    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   56   -2      57.27     1.30    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -4      57.19     1.25    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   49  -10      50.18     1.29   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   48  -24      48.92     1.19   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   47  -17      48.49     1.29   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   47  -25      48.28     1.28   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   40   -7      41.22     1.26    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   40  -20      40.68     1.06   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   36  -36      37.22     1.30   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        44   97  +45     100.74     1.79    46.42   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   88  +41      91.92     1.79    42.76     0.00    74.08   100.00    83.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   87  +30      90.61     1.78    31.42     0.00    25.92   100.00    47.08P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   77  +37      80.91     1.79    38.74     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.06P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   77  +30      80.92     1.77    31.81     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   69  +22      71.71     1.74    21.94     0.00     0.00    71.52    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   67   +8      70.08     1.88     8.49     0.00     0.00    20.87     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   66   -3      69.19     1.85    -2.34     0.00     0.00     6.73     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   64  +11      66.86     1.85    11.18     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   56   -4      58.71     1.82    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   55   -2      57.65     1.82    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            44   55  -16      57.42     1.78   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   54   -5      56.81     1.84    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      44   53   -5      55.33     1.71    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   53  -13      55.20     1.78   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   51  -20      53.26     1.71   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   50   -4      52.73     1.82    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -17      52.59     1.84   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   47  -27      49.70     1.82   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.00  
Walsall         44   46   -7      47.76     1.67    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.59R    0.00  
Wycombe         44   43  -20      44.91     1.71   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.06R    0.50  
Chesterfield    44   42  -23      44.32     1.81   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.67R    1.10  
Exeter          44   41  -26      42.72     1.67   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   10.18  
Rochdale        44   38  -32      40.07     1.75   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              44   89  +38      92.73     1.79    39.40    95.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   85  +26      88.81     1.78    27.56     4.51    99.55   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   81  +24      84.45     1.82    25.07     0.00    70.49   100.00    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   80  +14      83.30     1.86    14.80     0.00    26.65   100.00    46.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.46     1.77    26.07     0.00     3.32   100.00    36.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71  +13      73.94     1.82    13.30     0.00     0.00    88.35    14.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   70   +8      72.77     1.83     8.03     0.00     0.00    69.19    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   68  +16      70.54     1.80    15.75     0.00     0.00    27.03     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   66  +15      69.38     1.88    15.95     0.00     0.00    12.88     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   65   +4      68.17     1.83     4.70     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   64   +2      66.53     1.81     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57   -7      59.49     1.84    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   56  +10      58.35     1.73     9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   +8      57.58     1.81     7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   54  -10      56.92     1.86    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   51  -14      53.27     1.78   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   51  -28      53.85     1.84   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   49   -3      50.97     1.72    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   47  -25      49.14     1.72   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -23      48.05     1.78   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   45  -16      47.62     1.82   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.55     1.85   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.23R    5.82  
Hereford             44   38  -24      39.83     1.68   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.65R   43.57  
Macclesfield         44   37  -21      39.24     1.70   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   50.62  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     45  103  +56     104.54     1.31    56.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   92  +47      95.90     1.76    48.77     0.00   100.00    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.24     1.31    35.76     0.00   100.00    18.13P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   80  +35      81.82     1.28    35.63     0.00   100.00    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   77  +34      79.96     1.83    34.31     0.00    87.78    26.77P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   76  +22      77.54     1.34    22.24     0.00    12.22     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   73   +2      73.82     1.17     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   70  +22      70.93     1.19    21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   70  +20      71.98     1.27    20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   70  +16      71.60     1.29    16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   70   +4      72.82     1.78     4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   62   +0      62.62     1.04    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   57  -16      58.40     1.32   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   54  -14      55.38     1.32   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   51  -25      52.72     1.32   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   48  -17      49.46     1.34   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   47   -9      49.37     1.79    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   47  -23      48.11     1.23   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   46  -11      47.37     1.32   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   46  -17      46.92     1.19   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   41  -31      42.31     1.33   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   33  -28      34.93     1.26   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          45   31  -45      32.06     1.26   -45.53     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   14.45  
Kettering          45   30  -58      30.83     1.15   -58.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.55  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3