Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 April 2012, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +54      88.80     2.06    56.74    70.35   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   80  +60      85.87     2.10    63.00    29.65   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   65  +24      71.01     2.15    27.18     0.00     0.00    82.82    95.55   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   62  +11      66.41     2.49     9.24     0.00     0.00     5.04    28.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.50     2.56    21.19     0.00     0.00     6.67    37.00    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.41     2.33    22.84     0.00     0.00     5.47    38.62    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   48   +4      54.61     2.62     5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   46   +3      52.28     2.60     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   46   +1      50.52     2.47    -0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       35   45   -6      48.95     2.26    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   44   +1      47.68     2.12     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   43   -6      46.37     1.96    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         35   43  -13      45.96     2.07   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42  -16      47.14     2.55   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   36  -13      41.48     2.61   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.18     1.75   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.26R    0.00  
Wigan           35   34  -26      37.85     2.24   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.21R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.70     1.88   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.82R    0.16  
Bolton          33   30  -29      35.22     2.82   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.79R    0.22  
Wolverhampton   35   23  -41      25.85     2.10   -42.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45   89  +30      90.21     1.28    29.79   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   85  +35      87.10     1.20    36.07     0.00    95.16   100.00    96.58P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         44   80  +31      83.32     1.84    31.82     0.00     4.84   100.00    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   74  +20      75.47     1.32    20.13     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.46P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   73  +25      74.52     1.31    25.21     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   72  +12      73.52     1.29    12.22     0.00     0.00    89.66    16.56P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   70   +2      71.30     1.30     1.92     0.00     0.00    10.34     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   68   +4      68.90     1.16     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   65   +0      66.42     1.30     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63  +11      65.59     1.86    10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   63   -8      64.57     1.33    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   61   +3      62.84     1.28     3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   61   -2      62.43     1.33    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   -9      62.43     1.31    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   58   -9      59.52     1.33    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   56   -2      57.28     1.30    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -4      57.19     1.25    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   49  -10      50.19     1.30   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   48  -24      48.92     1.19   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   47  -17      48.49     1.29   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   47  -25      48.30     1.29   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   40   -7      41.21     1.26    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   40  -20      40.68     1.06   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   36  -36      37.24     1.30   -36.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        44   97  +45     100.74     1.79    46.44   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   88  +41      91.91     1.79    42.74     0.00    74.30   100.00    83.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   87  +30      90.60     1.78    31.42     0.00    25.70   100.00    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   77  +37      80.90     1.79    38.74     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   77  +30      80.89     1.77    31.79     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   69  +22      71.73     1.75    21.95     0.00     0.00    71.78    11.13P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   67   +8      70.08     1.87     8.49     0.00     0.00    20.85     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   66   -3      69.19     1.85    -2.33     0.00     0.00     6.50     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   64  +11      66.87     1.85    11.18     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   56   -4      58.71     1.83    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   55   -2      57.62     1.81    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            44   55  -16      57.41     1.78   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   54   -5      56.79     1.83    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      44   53   -5      55.33     1.70    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   53  -13      55.20     1.77   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   51  -20      53.26     1.70   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   50   -4      52.76     1.84    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -17      52.59     1.84   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   47  -27      49.71     1.83   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.00  
Walsall         44   46   -7      47.77     1.67    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.37R    0.00  
Wycombe         44   43  -20      44.90     1.71   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.31R    0.47  
Chesterfield    44   42  -23      44.32     1.82   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.68R    1.29  
Exeter          44   41  -26      42.72     1.67   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R   10.19  
Rochdale        44   38  -32      40.07     1.76   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.06  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              44   89  +38      92.73     1.79    39.39    95.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   85  +26      88.82     1.79    27.55     4.59    99.61   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   81  +24      84.45     1.82    25.06     0.00    70.57   100.00    78.45P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   80  +14      83.29     1.85    14.79     0.00    26.44   100.00    46.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.45     1.77    26.06     0.00     3.38   100.00    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71  +13      73.93     1.84    13.28     0.00     0.00    88.26    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   70   +8      72.78     1.82     8.04     0.00     0.00    69.71    15.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   68  +16      70.53     1.81    15.75     0.00     0.00    26.93     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   66  +15      69.35     1.87    15.92     0.00     0.00    12.63     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   65   +4      68.15     1.83     4.65     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   64   +2      66.54     1.81     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57   -7      59.49     1.83    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   56  +10      58.35     1.73     9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   +8      57.61     1.81     7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   54  -10      56.93     1.87    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   51  -14      53.27     1.80   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   51  -28      53.84     1.85   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   49   -3      50.99     1.71    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   47  -25      49.14     1.72   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -23      48.07     1.78   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   45  -16      47.61     1.82   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.56     1.84   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.08R    5.79  
Hereford             44   38  -24      39.83     1.67   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.08R   43.72  
Macclesfield         44   37  -21      39.26     1.71   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.83R   50.49  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     45  103  +56     104.54     1.32    56.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   92  +47      95.92     1.75    48.79     0.00   100.00    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.24     1.31    35.76     0.00   100.00    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   80  +35      81.81     1.28    35.63     0.00   100.00    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   77  +34      79.96     1.84    34.33     0.00    87.84    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   76  +22      77.53     1.34    22.24     0.00    12.16     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   73   +2      73.81     1.17     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   70  +22      70.93     1.19    21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   70  +20      71.99     1.27    20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   70  +16      71.59     1.29    16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   70   +4      72.81     1.78     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   62   +0      62.61     1.04    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   57  -16      58.39     1.32   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   54  -14      55.37     1.32   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   51  -25      52.71     1.32   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   48  -17      49.46     1.34   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   47   -9      49.36     1.79    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   47  -23      48.11     1.23   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   46  -11      47.38     1.32   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   46  -17      46.93     1.19   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   41  -31      42.30     1.32   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   33  -28      34.93     1.26   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          45   31  -45      32.06     1.27   -45.51     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   13.92  
Kettering          45   30  -58      30.83     1.15   -58.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.08  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3