Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.07     2.37    58.11    85.33   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.25     2.37    62.73    14.67   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   65  +24      71.02     2.15    27.19     0.00     0.00    83.15    95.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   62  +11      66.39     2.48     9.22     0.00     0.00     4.90    28.44    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   59  +18      66.49     2.57    21.15     0.00     0.00     6.50    37.02    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   58  +18      66.39     2.33    22.86     0.00     0.00     5.46    38.80    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.09     2.81     4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.39     2.92     6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   46   +1      50.50     2.46    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   44   +1      47.69     2.11     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         35   43   -6      46.35     1.95    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         35   43  -13      45.95     2.07   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.67     2.54    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42  -16      47.17     2.56   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   36  -13      41.49     2.61   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
QPR             35   34  -18      36.17     1.75   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.54R    0.01  
Wigan           35   34  -26      37.87     2.24   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.94R    0.02  
Blackburn       35   31  -26      33.68     1.88   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.09R    0.52  
Bolton          33   30  -29      35.23     2.82   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.57R    0.59  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.34     2.33   -42.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          45   89  +30      90.22     1.27    29.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   85  +35      87.08     1.21    36.05     0.00    94.88   100.00    96.40P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         44   80  +31      83.32     1.84    31.81     0.00     5.12   100.00    36.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   74  +20      75.47     1.32    20.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.54P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   73  +25      74.50     1.30    25.20     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   72  +12      73.52     1.29    12.22     0.00     0.00    89.68    16.32P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   70   +2      71.31     1.29     1.91     0.00     0.00    10.32     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             45   68   +4      68.90     1.16     3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   65   +0      66.42     1.30     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63  +11      65.60     1.86    10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   63   -8      64.58     1.33    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   61   +3      62.83     1.28     3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   61   -2      62.43     1.33    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   61   -9      62.42     1.30    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   58   -9      59.54     1.33    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   56   -2      57.27     1.30    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -4      57.19     1.25    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   49  -10      50.18     1.29   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   48  -24      48.92     1.19   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    45   47  -17      48.49     1.29   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   47  -25      48.31     1.29   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       45   40   -7      41.22     1.26    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Coventry         45   40  -20      40.69     1.07   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        45   36  -36      37.22     1.30   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        44   97  +45     100.73     1.79    46.42   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   88  +41      91.93     1.78    42.77     0.00    74.66   100.00    84.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   87  +30      90.60     1.79    31.42     0.00    25.34   100.00    46.44P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   77  +37      80.89     1.80    38.74     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   77  +30      80.90     1.77    31.80     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       44   69  +22      71.70     1.74    21.91     0.00     0.00    70.93    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    44   67   +8      70.10     1.88     8.51     0.00     0.00    21.36     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        44   66   -3      69.20     1.84    -2.32     0.00     0.00     6.80     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   64  +11      66.86     1.85    11.18     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      44   56   -4      58.70     1.82    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        44   55   -2      57.62     1.80    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            44   55  -16      57.43     1.79   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   54   -5      56.82     1.83    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      44   53   -5      55.33     1.70    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   53  -13      55.20     1.77   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          44   51  -20      53.25     1.70   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      44   50   -4      52.75     1.82    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   50  -17      52.56     1.84   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   47  -27      49.73     1.83   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00R    0.00  
Walsall         44   46   -7      47.77     1.67    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.50R    0.00  
Wycombe         44   43  -20      44.90     1.70   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.32R    0.43  
Chesterfield    44   42  -23      44.32     1.82   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.54R    1.20  
Exeter          44   41  -26      42.72     1.67   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.65R   10.24  
Rochdale        44   38  -32      40.05     1.76   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              44   89  +38      92.74     1.79    39.42    95.58   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   85  +26      88.79     1.79    27.52     4.42    99.59   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         44   81  +24      84.45     1.81    25.05     0.00    70.46   100.00    78.30P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   80  +14      83.30     1.85    14.81     0.00    26.66   100.00    46.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.44     1.77    26.04     0.00     3.29   100.00    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   71  +13      73.92     1.82    13.27     0.00     0.00    88.35    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   70   +8      72.78     1.83     8.05     0.00     0.00    69.44    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   68  +16      70.54     1.81    15.76     0.00     0.00    27.17     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   66  +15      69.36     1.88    15.92     0.00     0.00    12.61     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   65   +4      68.15     1.82     4.66     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   64   +2      66.53     1.81     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57   -7      59.50     1.84    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   56  +10      58.33     1.72     9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   55   +8      57.59     1.81     7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   54  -10      56.92     1.86    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   51  -14      53.29     1.80   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   51  -28      53.83     1.85   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   49   -3      50.98     1.71    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   47  -25      49.14     1.72   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -23      48.07     1.78   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   45  -16      47.63     1.82   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.55     1.85   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.31R    5.73  
Hereford             44   38  -24      39.81     1.67   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.98R   44.54  
Macclesfield         44   37  -21      39.27     1.71   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.71R   49.74  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 April 2012, AFC_Telford vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     45  103  +56     104.55     1.31    56.26   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   92  +47      95.91     1.76    48.77     0.00   100.00    29.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.23     1.31    35.76     0.00   100.00    18.87P    0.00     0.00  
York               45   80  +35      81.82     1.28    35.64     0.00   100.00    22.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   77  +34      79.95     1.83    34.30     0.00    87.70    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   76  +22      77.54     1.34    22.24     0.00    12.30     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          45   73   +2      73.82     1.17     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   70  +22      70.93     1.19    21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   70  +20      71.98     1.27    20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   70  +16      71.58     1.29    16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   70   +4      72.82     1.78     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   62   +0      62.61     1.04    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   57  -16      58.41     1.31   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   54  -14      55.38     1.32   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      45   51  -25      52.72     1.32   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          45   48  -17      49.46     1.34   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   47   -9      49.36     1.80    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           45   47  -23      48.13     1.24   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       45   46  -11      47.38     1.32   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        45   46  -17      46.93     1.20   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   41  -31      42.31     1.32   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   33  -28      34.93     1.26   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bath_City          45   31  -45      32.06     1.26   -45.52     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   14.29  
Kettering          45   30  -58      30.84     1.15   -58.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.71  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3