Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 20 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 April 2012, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.08     2.37    58.11    85.20   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.29     2.37    62.83    14.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +24      71.51     2.55    27.37     0.00     0.00    72.04    91.40   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.41     2.89    23.00     0.00     0.00    16.95    60.85    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.20     2.81     6.83     0.00     0.00     1.91    12.88    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.69     2.69    22.79     0.00     0.00     9.10    34.87    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.08     2.80     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.33     2.92     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.86     2.48     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.48     2.78    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.17     2.48   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.57     2.37    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.66     2.54    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.14     2.84   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   35  -13      42.02     2.96   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Wigan           34   34  -25      38.66     2.51   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.51R    0.00  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.05     2.14   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.12R    0.24  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.72     3.14   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.72R    0.55  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.23     2.32   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.25R    2.95  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.35     2.32   -42.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   96.26  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Blackpool vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44   88  +30      91.19     1.78    30.62    76.96   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   85  +36      88.62     1.79    37.29    23.04    97.79   100.00    98.42P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         44   80  +31      83.35     1.82    31.85     0.00     2.21   100.00    34.66P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   72  +25      75.11     1.84    25.54     0.00     0.00    99.43    28.82P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   71  +16      74.19     1.87    16.67     0.00     0.00    97.81    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   71  +12      74.30     1.84    12.84     0.00     0.00    97.82    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   67   +1      69.48     1.82     0.66     0.00     0.00     4.92     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   65   +3      67.47     1.73     2.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   64   +0      66.53     1.80    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63  +11      65.59     1.87    10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   +7      63.91     1.80     7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   60   -2      62.41     1.82    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   60   -9      62.73     1.86    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   60   -9      62.66     1.82    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   -6      61.08     1.87    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   55   -4      56.96     1.67    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   53   -5      55.54     1.84    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   48  -10      50.68     1.87   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   47  -16      49.59     1.77   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   47  -23      49.50     1.82   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   45  -26      47.44     1.76   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.73R    0.00  
Portsmouth       44   40   -6      42.83     1.81    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.74R    0.00  
Coventry         44   40  -18      42.40     1.68   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.53R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   33  -38      35.17     1.77   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Stevenage vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44     100.00     2.14    46.90    97.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.33     2.24    43.80     2.31    90.91   100.00    94.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.48     2.20    31.18     0.00     9.09   100.00    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.24     2.25    37.67     0.00     0.00    99.99    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.84     2.20    31.65     0.00     0.00    99.99    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.99     2.29    11.29     0.00     0.00    52.80     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   66  +21      70.24     2.18    21.17     0.00     0.00    25.63     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   66   -2      70.09     2.21    -2.10     0.00     0.00    14.37     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.08     2.25    12.02     0.00     0.00     7.23     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.83     2.22    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.17     2.23    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.33     2.26    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.50     2.12    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.57     2.23   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.27     2.16   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.59     2.18    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.48     2.16   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      53.01     2.28   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.21     2.14    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.94R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.24     2.26   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.83R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.43     1.98   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.89R    0.23  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.81     2.26   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.18R   14.36  
Exeter          43   38  -28      41.00     2.12   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   41.26  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.32     2.21   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   44.15  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 April 2012, Southend vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              43   89  +40      94.39     2.23    41.80    96.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   84  +26      89.42     2.22    27.90     3.99    97.40   100.00    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   80  +24      85.03     2.27    25.37     0.00    56.58   100.00    68.14P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.07     2.28    17.38     0.00    44.45   100.00    59.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   77  +25      80.45     1.77    26.05     0.00     1.57   100.00    35.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.05     2.24    13.88     0.00     0.00    94.53    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.86     2.24    15.71     0.00     0.00    47.61     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.44     2.26     7.45     0.00     0.00    49.08    10.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.47     2.27    13.56     0.00     0.00     6.05     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.84     2.27     4.12     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   61   -2      64.88     2.24    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.64     2.24    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.72     2.22     8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.03     2.27    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   53   +9      56.99     2.18     8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.23     2.27   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.28     2.20   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.61     2.14    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.30     2.16   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Northampton          43   45  -23      48.37     2.22   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      48.01     2.24   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Barnet               44   40  -32      42.54     1.85   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.43R   12.42  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.26     2.11   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.45R   38.22  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.25     2.15   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.86R   49.36  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 April 2012, Mansfield vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.12     1.86    58.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   92  +47      95.93     1.76    48.80     0.00   100.00    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   86  +36      87.23     1.31    35.77     0.00   100.00    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   77  +34      80.48     1.85    35.07     0.00    91.55    20.91P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.41     1.80    22.43     0.00    42.26     7.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   74  +33      78.83     2.25    34.07     0.00    62.14    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.57     1.78     1.62     0.00     0.97     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.49     2.23     6.55     0.00     3.08     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.69     1.83    21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.62     1.77    19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   67  +14      69.72     1.81    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.72     1.66    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.84     1.87   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   53  -14      55.38     1.83   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.63     1.80   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   47  -21      49.12     1.75   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.39     1.85    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        44   45  -17      46.94     1.73   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.26     1.88   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   44  -10      48.26     2.23    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.11     1.77   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.87R    0.00  
Darlington         44   33  -26      35.97     1.76   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.13R    0.27  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.11     1.75   -58.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.25  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.16     1.79   -47.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.48  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3