Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 19 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 April 2012, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.08     2.37    58.13    85.46   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.29     2.36    62.83    14.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +24      71.50     2.55    27.37     0.00     0.00    71.98    91.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.39     2.89    22.95     0.00     0.00    17.07    60.43    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.19     2.80     6.84     0.00     0.00     1.99    12.72    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.71     2.68    22.79     0.00     0.00     8.96    35.33    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.10     2.81     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.33     2.91     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.84     2.48     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.49     2.78    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.18     2.47   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.60     2.36    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.64     2.55    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.16     2.85   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   35  -13      42.03     2.96   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Wigan           34   34  -25      38.66     2.52   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.65R    0.00  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.04     2.13   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.54R    0.24  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.73     3.15   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R    0.53  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.25     2.35   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R    2.89  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.32     2.32   -42.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   96.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Blackpool vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44   88  +30      91.21     1.78    30.64    77.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   85  +36      88.60     1.78    37.25    22.41    97.71   100.00    98.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         44   80  +31      83.33     1.84    31.81     0.00     2.29   100.00    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   72  +25      75.11     1.85    25.54     0.00     0.00    99.47    28.65P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   71  +16      74.19     1.88    16.66     0.00     0.00    97.70    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   71  +12      74.31     1.85    12.86     0.00     0.00    97.66    18.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   67   +1      69.51     1.82     0.70     0.00     0.00     5.17     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   65   +3      67.47     1.73     2.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   64   +0      66.51     1.81    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63  +11      65.59     1.86    10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   +7      63.91     1.79     7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   60   -2      62.41     1.82    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   60   -9      62.71     1.87    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   60   -9      62.66     1.82    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   -6      61.07     1.88    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   55   -4      56.94     1.66    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   53   -5      55.54     1.83    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   48  -10      50.69     1.88   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   47  -16      49.61     1.78   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   47  -23      49.50     1.81   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   45  -26      47.44     1.77   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.85R    0.00  
Portsmouth       44   40   -6      42.83     1.81    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.71R    0.00  
Coventry         44   40  -18      42.41     1.68   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   33  -38      35.18     1.78   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Stevenage vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44     100.00     2.14    46.91    97.64   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.29     2.25    43.78     2.36    90.89   100.00    94.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.47     2.21    31.18     0.00     9.11   100.00    35.54P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.27     2.27    37.72     0.00     0.00    99.97    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.84     2.19    31.63     0.00     0.00    99.98    29.66P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.99     2.30    11.30     0.00     0.00    52.85     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   66  +21      70.24     2.18    21.15     0.00     0.00    25.36     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   66   -2      70.12     2.20    -2.06     0.00     0.00    14.57     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.10     2.25    12.03     0.00     0.00     7.27     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.85     2.24    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.19     2.23    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.35     2.27    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.45     2.12    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.57     2.21   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.27     2.16   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.57     2.18    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.48     2.15   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      53.02     2.28   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.20     2.13    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.86R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.26     2.26   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.86R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.43     2.00   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.78R    0.23  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.80     2.26   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.30R   14.40  
Exeter          43   38  -28      40.99     2.11   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   41.29  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.33     2.20   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   44.08  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Aldershot vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              43   89  +40      94.38     2.23    41.80    95.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   84  +26      89.41     2.23    27.88     4.02    97.47   100.00    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   80  +24      85.04     2.26    25.37     0.00    57.66   100.00    68.98P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.04     2.30    17.34     0.00    43.87   100.00    59.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   74  +22      79.59     2.15    24.26     0.00     1.00   100.00    33.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.07     2.24    13.92     0.00     0.00    94.61    16.54P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.88     2.23    15.74     0.00     0.00    47.74    10.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.45     2.26     7.48     0.00     0.00    49.25    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.46     2.28    13.53     0.00     0.00     5.87     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.82     2.28     4.08     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   61   -2      64.89     2.23    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.64     2.23    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.73     2.23     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.02     2.27    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   53   +9      56.98     2.17     8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.20     2.27   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.27     2.20   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.61     2.15    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.30     2.17   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Northampton          43   45  -23      48.40     2.23   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      47.98     2.24   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.21     2.14   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.97R    9.01  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.31     2.12   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.64R   38.97  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.23     2.15   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.84R   52.02  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, AFC_Telford vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.11     1.85    58.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   92  +49      97.40     2.21    50.96     0.00   100.00    33.84P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   83  +34      85.49     1.84    33.62     0.00   100.00    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   77  +34      80.47     1.85    35.05     0.00    91.29    20.81P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.42     1.78    22.45     0.00    42.83     7.18P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   74  +33      78.84     2.25    34.07     0.00    62.14    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.57     1.78     1.62     0.00     0.88     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.51     2.23     6.56     0.00     2.86     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.71     1.83    21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.64     1.76    19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   67  +14      69.75     1.80    14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.73     1.65    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.86     1.88   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   53  -14      55.38     1.84   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.63     1.79   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   47  -21      49.12     1.75   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.37     1.85    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        44   45  -17      46.92     1.71   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.25     1.88   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   44  -10      48.23     2.21    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.12     1.77   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.57R    0.00  
Darlington         44   33  -26      35.95     1.76   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.43R    0.26  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.11     1.75   -58.97     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.89  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.14     1.80   -47.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.85  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3