Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 April 2012, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.11     2.38    58.16    85.47   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.26     2.36    62.80    14.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +24      71.49     2.56    27.35     0.00     0.00    71.98    91.56   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.36     2.88    22.93     0.00     0.00    16.98    60.68    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.19     2.80     6.84     0.00     0.00     1.99    12.88    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.66     2.68    22.72     0.00     0.00     9.05    34.88    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.06     2.81     4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.35     2.91     6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.84     2.48     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.49     2.78    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.21     2.48   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.55     2.36    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.68     2.54    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.13     2.85   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   35  -13      42.03     2.96   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Wigan           34   34  -25      38.65     2.51   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.51R    0.01  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.10     2.14   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.47R    0.28  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.74     3.14   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.84R    0.57  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.21     2.32   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R    2.89  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.38     2.32   -42.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   96.26  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Blackpool vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44   88  +30      91.19     1.77    30.64    77.10   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   85  +36      88.62     1.78    37.28    22.90    97.76   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         44   80  +31      83.33     1.83    31.85     0.00     2.24   100.00    34.51P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   72  +25      75.10     1.85    25.51     0.00     0.00    99.40    28.64P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   71  +16      74.17     1.87    16.64     0.00     0.00    97.77    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   71  +12      74.32     1.84    12.86     0.00     0.00    97.80    18.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   67   +1      69.49     1.82     0.66     0.00     0.00     5.01     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   65   +3      67.47     1.74     2.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   64   +0      66.54     1.81    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63  +11      65.58     1.86    10.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   +7      63.92     1.79     7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   60   -2      62.42     1.82    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   60   -9      62.72     1.87    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   60   -9      62.67     1.82    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   -6      61.08     1.88    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   55   -4      56.95     1.66    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   53   -5      55.53     1.84    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   48  -10      50.69     1.87   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   47  -16      49.61     1.78   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   47  -23      49.48     1.82   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   45  -26      47.45     1.76   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.89R    0.00  
Portsmouth       44   40   -6      42.83     1.82    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.61R    0.00  
Coventry         44   40  -18      42.40     1.68   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.50R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   33  -38      35.19     1.78   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Stevenage vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44     100.02     2.14    46.91    97.89   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.30     2.24    43.76     2.11    90.77   100.00    94.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.48     2.21    31.16     0.00     9.23   100.00    35.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.26     2.25    37.72     0.00     0.00    99.98    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.84     2.19    31.66     0.00     0.00    99.98    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.98     2.29    11.29     0.00     0.00    52.55     7.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   66  +21      70.25     2.18    21.16     0.00     0.00    25.76     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   66   -2      70.08     2.21    -2.12     0.00     0.00    14.14     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.09     2.26    12.02     0.00     0.00     7.58     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.88     2.24    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.18     2.23    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.34     2.26    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.48     2.12    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.55     2.22   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.25     2.15   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.56     2.17    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.47     2.16   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      53.02     2.28   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.22     2.15    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.25     2.25   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.02R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.44     1.99   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.52R    0.22  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.80     2.26   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.28R   14.44  
Exeter          43   38  -28      41.02     2.12   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.56R   40.87  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.33     2.21   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.20R   44.47  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Aldershot vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              43   89  +40      94.40     2.23    41.82    96.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   84  +26      89.41     2.22    27.87     3.96    97.47   100.00    98.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   80  +24      85.06     2.25    25.41     0.00    57.35   100.00    69.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.07     2.27    17.39     0.00    44.16   100.00    59.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   74  +22      79.60     2.15    24.29     0.00     1.02    99.99    33.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.05     2.24    13.89     0.00     0.00    94.37    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.87     2.23    15.73     0.00     0.00    47.90    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.44     2.26     7.48     0.00     0.00    49.17    10.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.43     2.29    13.50     0.00     0.00     5.99     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.80     2.27     4.06     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   61   -2      64.89     2.25    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.64     2.24    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.75     2.22     8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.02     2.27    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   53   +9      56.98     2.17     8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.20     2.27   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.27     2.19   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.61     2.17    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.29     2.16   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Northampton          43   45  -23      48.41     2.23   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      47.99     2.25   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.20     2.14   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.19R    9.10  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.30     2.11   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.56R   38.59  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.21     2.14   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.75R   52.30  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, AFC_Telford vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.11     1.86    58.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   92  +49      97.40     2.20    50.97     0.00   100.00    33.53P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   83  +34      85.49     1.84    33.60     0.00   100.00    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   77  +34      80.46     1.85    35.05     0.00    91.33    20.69P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.42     1.79    22.46     0.00    42.86     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   74  +33      78.82     2.25    34.07     0.00    62.09    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.57     1.78     1.64     0.00     0.84     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.48     2.23     6.52     0.00     2.88     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.69     1.83    21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.65     1.76    19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   67  +14      69.74     1.82    14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.73     1.65    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.87     1.88   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   53  -14      55.38     1.83   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.64     1.80   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   47  -21      49.11     1.75   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.38     1.84    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        44   45  -17      46.95     1.73   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.26     1.88   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   44  -10      48.21     2.23    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.11     1.77   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.66R    0.00  
Darlington         44   33  -26      35.96     1.75   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.34R    0.27  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.10     1.75   -58.98     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.18  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.15     1.79   -47.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.55  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3