Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 April 2012, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.08     2.37    58.12    85.25   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.28     2.38    62.83    14.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +24      71.54     2.54    27.41     0.00     0.00    72.42    91.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.42     2.90    23.02     0.00     0.00    17.08    61.11    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.19     2.80     6.84     0.00     0.00     1.94    12.49    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.68     2.69    22.75     0.00     0.00     8.57    34.67    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.07     2.81     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.36     2.91     6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.82     2.47     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.52     2.78    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.14     2.46   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.58     2.38    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.64     2.55    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.13     2.84   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   35  -13      42.05     2.96   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Wigan           34   34  -25      38.66     2.51   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.48R    0.01  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.05     2.12   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.25R    0.25  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.74     3.14   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.56R    0.55  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.23     2.32   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.26R    3.03  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.36     2.32   -42.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   96.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Blackpool vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          44   88  +30      91.22     1.77    30.65    77.44   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   85  +36      88.62     1.79    37.28    22.56    97.79   100.00    98.43P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         44   80  +31      83.34     1.84    31.85     0.00     2.21   100.00    34.65P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   72  +25      75.09     1.85    25.52     0.00     0.00    99.39    28.81P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   71  +16      74.18     1.87    16.66     0.00     0.00    97.79    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   71  +12      74.32     1.84    12.85     0.00     0.00    97.86    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   67   +1      69.51     1.82     0.69     0.00     0.00     4.95     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   65   +3      67.46     1.72     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   64   +0      66.53     1.81    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63  +11      65.59     1.86    10.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   +7      63.93     1.80     7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   60   -2      62.40     1.82    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   60   -9      62.71     1.87    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   60   -9      62.66     1.82    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   58   -6      61.08     1.88    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   55   -4      56.93     1.65    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   53   -5      55.51     1.84    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   48  -10      50.68     1.87   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   47  -16      49.60     1.78   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   47  -23      49.48     1.81   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   45  -26      47.46     1.77   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    0.00  
Portsmouth       44   40   -6      42.83     1.80    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.67R    0.00  
Coventry         44   40  -18      42.39     1.68   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   33  -38      35.20     1.78   -38.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Stevenage vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44     100.02     2.14    46.94    97.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.30     2.24    43.76     2.20    90.78   100.00    94.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.48     2.21    31.19     0.00     9.22   100.00    36.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.26     2.26    37.72     0.00     0.00    99.99    26.13P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.82     2.19    31.64     0.00     0.00    99.98    29.25P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.98     2.29    11.28     0.00     0.00    52.73     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       43   66  +21      70.22     2.18    21.13     0.00     0.00    25.39     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        43   66   -2      70.10     2.22    -2.09     0.00     0.00    14.56     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.10     2.25    12.03     0.00     0.00     7.35     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.85     2.23    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.18     2.24    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.35     2.26    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.47     2.11    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.55     2.21   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.30     2.17   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.58     2.18    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.47     2.16   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      53.01     2.30   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.20     2.13    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.89R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.26     2.26   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.42     1.99   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.81R    0.21  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.79     2.25   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.37R   14.53  
Exeter          43   38  -28      41.02     2.11   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.60R   40.64  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.32     2.20   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   44.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, Aldershot vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              43   89  +40      94.39     2.21    41.81    96.09   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   84  +26      89.39     2.23    27.86     3.91    97.38   100.00    98.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   80  +24      85.05     2.25    25.40     0.00    57.93   100.00    69.19P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.04     2.27    17.35     0.00    43.67   100.00    59.55P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   74  +22      79.59     2.15    24.27     0.00     1.02    99.99    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.07     2.24    13.91     0.00     0.00    94.40    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.86     2.24    15.71     0.00     0.00    47.43    10.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.45     2.27     7.47     0.00     0.00    49.34    10.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.48     2.28    13.56     0.00     0.00     6.21     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.84     2.26     4.12     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   61   -2      64.88     2.24    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.65     2.25    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.74     2.22     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.00     2.27    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   53   +9      57.00     2.19     8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.20     2.28   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.29     2.20   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.60     2.15    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.29     2.16   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Northampton          43   45  -23      48.35     2.21   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      47.98     2.25   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.01  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.20     2.14   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.93R    9.25  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.31     2.11   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.73R   38.85  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.23     2.14   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.88R   51.89  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 April 2012, AFC_Telford vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.12     1.85    58.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   92  +49      97.40     2.21    50.98     0.00   100.00    33.43P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   83  +34      85.49     1.84    33.61     0.00   100.00    18.49P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   77  +34      80.45     1.85    35.04     0.00    91.23    20.97P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.44     1.80    22.47     0.00    42.96     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   74  +33      78.83     2.24    34.06     0.00    61.94    19.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.56     1.78     1.62     0.00     0.92     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.47     2.23     6.51     0.00     2.94     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.69     1.83    21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.64     1.76    19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   67  +14      69.74     1.81    14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.73     1.66    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.87     1.87   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   53  -14      55.38     1.84   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.63     1.80   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   47  -21      49.11     1.74   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.38     1.84    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        44   45  -17      46.95     1.73   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.25     1.88   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   44  -10      48.21     2.22    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.12     1.77   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.70R    0.00  
Darlington         44   33  -26      35.96     1.76   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.30R    0.25  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.10     1.74   -58.98     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.56  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.16     1.80   -47.93     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.18  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3