Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 April 2012, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.11     2.36    58.18    85.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.28     2.37    62.80    14.45   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +24      71.51     2.55    27.37     0.00     0.00    72.25    91.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.39     2.88    22.98     0.00     0.00    17.06    60.87    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.18     2.80     6.80     0.00     0.00     1.97    12.64    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.67     2.68    22.74     0.00     0.00     8.73    34.75    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.05     2.82     4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.35     2.92     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.86     2.48     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.52     2.78    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.18     2.48   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.54     2.36    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.64     2.55    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.16     2.85   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   35  -13      42.05     2.96   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Wigan           34   34  -25      38.66     2.50   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.40R    0.00  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.07     2.14   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.04R    0.28  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.72     3.13   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.69R    0.53  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.22     2.33   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.41R    3.00  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.36     2.32   -42.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   96.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          43   85  +29      90.10     2.19    30.40    73.61    96.98   100.00    97.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   82  +34      87.37     2.25    35.86    24.20    83.36   100.00    88.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         43   79  +31      84.25     2.25    32.62     2.18    19.66   100.00    47.02P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   71  +25      75.80     2.30    26.01     0.00     0.00    98.65    29.85P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   68  +15      73.03     2.30    16.43     0.00     0.00    83.96    16.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   68  +10      73.12     2.26    11.50     0.00     0.00    83.71    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   66   +1      70.53     2.20     1.62     0.00     0.00    27.88     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +0      67.06     2.24    -0.04     0.00     0.00     2.76     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   62  +11      66.18     2.29    11.07     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   62   +1      66.22     2.16     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   60   +7      64.09     2.22     6.88     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   60   -1      63.38     2.22    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   60   -7      63.55     2.19    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   59   -9      62.87     2.27    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   -6      61.16     2.27    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   55   -3      58.10     2.07    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   50   -6      53.89     2.25    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   48   -8      51.74     2.28    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   47  -15      50.46     2.13   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -21      50.47     2.19   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Bristol_City     43   44  -26      47.27     2.13   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.19R    0.00  
Coventry         43   40  -17      43.75     2.12   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.30R    0.26  
Portsmouth       43   37   -7      41.37     2.23    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.29R    1.30  
Doncaster        43   32  -38      34.94     2.11   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.44  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Brentford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44     100.03     2.13    46.93    97.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.30     2.23    43.80     2.13    90.90   100.00    94.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.49     2.21    31.19     0.00     9.10   100.00    35.69P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.28     2.26    37.73     0.00     0.00    99.94    26.40P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.83     2.19    31.65     0.00     0.00    99.97    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.96     2.29    11.27     0.00     0.00    50.06     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        42   66   -1      71.22     2.55    -1.44     0.00     0.00    29.31     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.11     2.26    12.04     0.00     0.00     6.42     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   63  +20      68.84     2.57    20.47     0.00     0.00    14.30     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.87     2.22    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.16     2.23    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.33     2.26    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.48     2.11    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.56     2.22   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.30     2.18   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.60     2.18    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.46     2.15   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      52.99     2.27   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.20     2.14    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.25     2.27   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.42     1.97   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.88R    0.25  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.82     2.27   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.12R   14.36  
Exeter          43   38  -28      41.01     2.12   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   41.00  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.32     2.20   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   44.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Aldershot vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              42   89  +41      96.22     2.57    43.42    99.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   81  +25      88.12     2.59    27.38     0.75    93.20   100.00    95.52P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.06     2.29    17.37     0.00    57.95   100.00    69.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   77  +22      83.95     2.63    24.22     0.00    46.64   100.00    60.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   74  +22      79.58     2.15    24.24     0.00     2.20   100.00    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.07     2.24    13.92     0.00     0.00    94.44    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.88     2.25    15.74     0.00     0.00    48.12    10.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.45     2.26     7.47     0.00     0.00    49.11    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.43     2.27    13.49     0.00     0.00     6.03     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.81     2.27     4.07     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   58   -3      62.82     2.54    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.65     2.24    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.73     2.23     8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.03     2.27    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   53  +10      57.96     2.51     9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.19     2.27   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.28     2.19   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.57     2.14    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.33     2.19   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Northampton          42   45  -21      49.26     2.54   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      48.01     2.24   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.01  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.22     2.15   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.02R    9.20  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.31     2.13   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.61R   38.77  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.22     2.15   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.91R   52.01  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.12     1.85    58.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   92  +49      97.39     2.20    50.96     0.00   100.00    34.46P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   83  +34      85.52     1.85    33.65     0.00   100.00    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.41     1.79    22.45     0.00    57.43    10.10P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   74  +33      78.82     2.27    34.04     0.00    75.38    17.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.54     1.79     1.60     0.00     2.67     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   71  +30      78.11     2.52    32.57     0.00    58.45    18.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.54     2.23     6.60     0.00     5.85     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.72     1.83    21.48     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.65     1.77    19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   67  +15      71.08     2.25    15.01     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.72     1.66    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.89     1.88   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   53  -11      55.94     2.09   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.66     1.80   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           43   47  -20      50.35     2.17   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.36     1.84    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.26     1.88   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   43  -10      48.81     2.60    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        43   42  -18      45.41     2.18   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.10     1.77   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.07R    0.00  
Darlington         43   32  -26      36.09     2.17   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.93R    0.36  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.09     1.74   -59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.97  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.13     1.79   -47.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.67  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3