Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 15 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 April 2012, Man_Utd vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   82  +54      90.08     2.35    58.12    85.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.29     2.36    62.85    14.72    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +25      74.11     2.75    30.57     0.00     0.03    89.51    97.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.40     2.88    22.99     0.00     0.00     6.47    58.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.18     2.80     6.82     0.00     0.00     0.57    11.55    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.66     2.69    22.72     0.00     0.00     3.45    31.81    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.09     2.79     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.35     2.93     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.87     2.48     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.50     2.78    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.18     2.46   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.56     2.36    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.67     2.54    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.16     2.84   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   35  -13      42.00     2.97   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.06     2.14   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.83R    0.20  
Wigan           33   31  -26      35.92     2.65   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.50R    0.46  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.70     3.12   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.03R    0.53  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.26     2.32   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.55R    2.90  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.39     2.32   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   95.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          43   85  +29      90.10     2.19    30.40    74.09    96.98   100.00    97.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   82  +34      87.34     2.24    35.82    23.83    83.18   100.00    88.13P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         43   79  +31      84.25     2.25    32.64     2.08    19.84   100.00    47.22P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   71  +25      75.79     2.29    26.01     0.00     0.00    98.63    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   68  +15      73.03     2.30    16.43     0.00     0.00    84.07    16.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   68  +10      73.18     2.24    11.56     0.00     0.00    84.33    15.95P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   66   +1      70.54     2.22     1.63     0.00     0.00    27.24     3.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +0      67.08     2.25    -0.03     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   62  +11      66.20     2.30    11.09     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   62   +1      66.20     2.16     1.13     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   60   +7      64.08     2.22     6.88     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   60   -1      63.37     2.22    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   60   -7      63.56     2.18    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   59   -9      62.86     2.26    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   -6      61.17     2.27    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   55   -3      58.10     2.07    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   50   -6      53.87     2.25    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   48   -8      51.73     2.27    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   47  -15      50.46     2.11   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -21      50.46     2.17   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Bristol_City     43   44  -26      47.28     2.13   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.38R    0.00  
Coventry         43   40  -17      43.80     2.13   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.00R    0.23  
Portsmouth       43   37   -7      41.36     2.22    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.36R    1.24  
Doncaster        43   32  -38      34.93     2.10   -39.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.53  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Brentford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44      99.98     2.14    46.87    97.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.30     2.23    43.77     2.22    90.95   100.00    94.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.48     2.21    31.20     0.00     9.05   100.00    35.97P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.25     2.25    37.69     0.00     0.00    99.95    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.83     2.19    31.64     0.00     0.00    99.97    29.54P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.99     2.31    11.30     0.00     0.00    50.22     6.85P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        42   66   -1      71.24     2.55    -1.42     0.00     0.00    29.78     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.10     2.25    12.03     0.00     0.00     6.21     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   63  +20      68.83     2.55    20.48     0.00     0.00    13.87     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.85     2.23    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.18     2.23    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.35     2.26    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.49     2.12    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.59     2.22   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.29     2.17   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.58     2.18    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.47     2.15   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      52.98     2.28   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.22     2.14    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.86R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.24     2.25   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.76R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.42     1.98   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.91R    0.23  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.79     2.26   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.22R   14.61  
Exeter          43   38  -28      41.01     2.12   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   41.41  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.36     2.21   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.18R   43.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Aldershot vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              42   89  +41      96.21     2.57    43.44    99.32   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   81  +25      88.16     2.58    27.45     0.68    93.49   100.00    95.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.07     2.28    17.40     0.00    58.06   100.00    69.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   77  +22      83.95     2.62    24.23     0.00    46.25   100.00    60.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   74  +22      79.58     2.15    24.24     0.00     2.20    99.99    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.06     2.24    13.93     0.00     0.00    94.35    16.75P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.88     2.23    15.75     0.00     0.00    48.26    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.46     2.26     7.48     0.00     0.00    49.18    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.42     2.28    13.47     0.00     0.00     5.91     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.84     2.27     4.11     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   58   -3      62.79     2.54    -3.92     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.64     2.25    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.73     2.24     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.03     2.28    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   53  +10      57.97     2.51     9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.20     2.27   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.23     2.19   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.58     2.15    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.29     2.16   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Northampton          42   45  -21      49.25     2.54   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      47.98     2.24   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.23     2.14   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.92R    9.01  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.31     2.12   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.05R   39.03  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.25     2.15   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.61R   51.95  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.14     1.86    58.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   92  +49      97.42     2.20    50.98     0.00   100.00    35.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   83  +34      85.51     1.85    33.62     0.00   100.00    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.44     1.80    22.49     0.00    58.04     9.90P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   74  +33      78.82     2.27    34.04     0.00    75.30    17.19P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.55     1.78     1.59     0.00     2.66     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   71  +30      78.08     2.53    32.51     0.00    57.87    18.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.51     2.24     6.57     0.00     5.96     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.70     1.83    21.49     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.64     1.76    19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   67  +15      71.07     2.22    15.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.72     1.65    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.88     1.87   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   53  -11      55.95     2.11   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.64     1.80   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           43   47  -20      50.34     2.18   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.36     1.84    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.25     1.88   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   43  -10      48.82     2.60    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        43   42  -18      45.44     2.17   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.11     1.77   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    0.00  
Darlington         43   32  -26      36.08     2.21   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.82R    0.39  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.10     1.75   -58.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.15  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.14     1.79   -47.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.46  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3