Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Norwich vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   79  +50      89.47     2.60    55.82    80.32   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   77  +58      85.31     2.37    62.88    19.68    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +25      74.10     2.75    30.58     0.00     0.03    89.70    97.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.38     2.89    22.94     0.00     0.00     6.46    58.56    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.23     2.81     6.87     0.00     0.00     0.56    11.84    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.65     2.68    22.70     0.00     0.00     3.27    31.73    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.08     2.82     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.33     2.91     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   43   +1      47.85     2.49     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.54     2.79    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         34   43  -11      47.16     2.47   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   42   -6      46.58     2.36    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       34   42   -7      46.59     2.53    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.11     2.82   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35   -9      42.55     3.08   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
QPR             34   31  -19      34.06     2.14   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.54R    0.20  
Wigan           33   31  -26      35.89     2.65   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.92R    0.45  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.71     3.15   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.20R    0.49  
Blackburn       34   28  -28      32.27     2.33   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R    2.85  
Wolverhampton   34   23  -39      26.39     2.32   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   96.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          43   85  +29      90.11     2.18    30.39    74.14    96.91   100.00    97.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   82  +34      87.35     2.25    35.86    23.77    83.23   100.00    88.32P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         43   79  +31      84.25     2.26    32.62     2.09    19.86   100.00    46.80P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   71  +25      75.82     2.29    26.04     0.00     0.00    98.56    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   68  +15      73.07     2.31    16.49     0.00     0.00    84.38    16.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   68  +10      73.14     2.25    11.53     0.00     0.00    84.19    15.65P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   66   +1      70.53     2.22     1.62     0.00     0.00    27.15     3.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +0      67.05     2.25    -0.04     0.00     0.00     2.73     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   62  +11      66.18     2.30    11.08     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   62   +1      66.20     2.14     1.13     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   60   +7      64.05     2.21     6.83     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   60   -1      63.38     2.22    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   60   -7      63.58     2.19    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   59   -9      62.88     2.27    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   -6      61.15     2.29    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   55   -3      58.09     2.07    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   50   -6      53.85     2.25    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   48   -8      51.70     2.26    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   47  -15      50.45     2.12   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   47  -21      50.47     2.16   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Bristol_City     43   44  -26      47.30     2.14   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.28R    0.00  
Coventry         43   40  -17      43.79     2.13   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.28R    0.26  
Portsmouth       43   37   -7      41.37     2.23    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.20R    1.12  
Doncaster        43   32  -38      34.94     2.11   -39.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.62  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Brentford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        43   94  +44     100.02     2.14    46.91    97.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   88  +42      93.33     2.23    43.82     2.25    90.83   100.00    94.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   84  +29      89.50     2.21    31.20     0.00     9.17   100.00    36.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   74  +36      79.25     2.25    37.69     0.00     0.00    99.95    26.50P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   74  +29      79.83     2.19    31.62     0.00     0.00    99.97    29.24P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    43   67  +10      71.99     2.29    11.29     0.00     0.00    50.14     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        42   66   -1      71.25     2.56    -1.40     0.00     0.00    29.42     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   64  +12      68.12     2.26    12.04     0.00     0.00     6.42     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       42   63  +20      68.80     2.56    20.42     0.00     0.00    14.10     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      43   55   -4      58.86     2.22    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        43   54   -2      58.16     2.22    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   53   -5      57.37     2.28    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      43   52   -5      55.49     2.10    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   52  -13      55.55     2.22   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury            43   52  -18      55.30     2.17   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      43   50   -3      53.58     2.17    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          43   50  -20      53.48     2.15   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          43   49  -17      52.99     2.28   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Walsall         43   46   -5      49.21     2.13    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.86R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   46  -27      50.23     2.28   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.16R    0.00  
Wycombe         43   43  -19      45.41     1.98   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R    0.26  
Chesterfield    43   39  -24      42.80     2.27   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.19R   14.47  
Exeter          43   38  -28      40.99     2.11   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   41.17  
Rochdale        43   38  -31      41.34     2.22   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R   44.11  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Aldershot vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              42   89  +41      96.20     2.58    43.42    99.22   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   81  +25      88.17     2.60    27.44     0.78    93.57   100.00    95.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   80  +16      85.05     2.29    17.38     0.00    57.86   100.00    69.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         42   77  +22      83.96     2.62    24.23     0.00    46.50   100.00    60.59P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   74  +22      79.59     2.15    24.26     0.00     2.07    99.99    34.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   71  +14      75.07     2.24    13.91     0.00     0.00    94.36    16.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   67  +16      70.89     2.24    15.75     0.00     0.00    48.14    10.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   67   +7      71.47     2.26     7.49     0.00     0.00    49.29    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   63  +13      67.42     2.28    13.47     0.00     0.00     5.87     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62   +3      66.84     2.27     4.11     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   58   -3      62.79     2.55    -3.92     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   56   -7      59.65     2.25    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   55   +9      58.74     2.22     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       43   54   -9      58.02     2.27    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   53  +10      57.96     2.50     9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   51  -24      55.21     2.27   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   48  -16      51.26     2.19   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   46   -4      49.58     2.15    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   46  -25      49.32     2.17   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Northampton          42   45  -21      49.28     2.54   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth             43   44  -16      47.99     2.25   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.01  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.20     2.13   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.18R    8.94  
Macclesfield         43   37  -20      40.32     2.13   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.56R   38.63  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.22     2.14   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.78R   52.42  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.13     1.86    58.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   92  +49      97.39     2.21    50.96     0.00   100.00    34.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   83  +34      85.50     1.85    33.61     0.00   100.00    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   76  +23      78.45     1.81    22.51     0.00    58.08    10.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   74  +33      78.84     2.28    34.07     0.00    75.51    16.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          44   72   +2      74.55     1.78     1.60     0.00     2.66     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   71  +30      78.07     2.53    32.52     0.00    57.91    18.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   70   +6      74.50     2.22     6.56     0.00     5.67     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   69  +20      72.71     1.82    21.49     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   67  +20      69.65     1.76    19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   67  +15      71.06     2.23    14.98     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     44   62   +1      63.73     1.65    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   56  -16      58.89     1.87   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   53  -11      55.94     2.10   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      44   51  -24      53.64     1.80   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           43   47  -20      50.35     2.17   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.37     1.85    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          44   45  -19      48.25     1.88   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   43  -10      48.82     2.60    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford        43   42  -18      45.43     2.18   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   38  -32      40.11     1.77   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.00R    0.00  
Darlington         43   32  -26      36.08     2.18   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R    0.41  
Kettering          44   29  -58      31.10     1.75   -58.99     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.51  
Bath_City          44   28  -47      30.16     1.80   -47.93     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.08  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3