Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 April 2012 at 22:50:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2012, Man_City vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   79  +50      89.54     2.59    55.97    86.18   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   74  +53      84.29     2.69    58.81    13.82    99.76   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +25      74.07     2.77    30.47     0.00     0.24    89.71    97.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.32     2.89    22.85     0.00     0.00     6.36    58.15    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.26     2.80     6.93     0.00     0.00     0.66    12.38    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.60     2.69    22.64     0.00     0.00     3.27    31.62    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.09     2.82     4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.35     2.91     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.53     2.77    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   43   -6      47.96     2.75    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   42   +1      48.94     2.79     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.10     2.83   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       33   39   -8      45.44     2.89    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         33   39   -9      45.13     2.71   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35   -9      42.48     3.09   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
QPR             33   31  -18      35.04     2.49   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.46R    0.22  
Wigan           33   31  -26      35.89     2.65   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.21R    0.56  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.77     3.13   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.56R    0.59  
Blackburn       33   28  -25      33.38     2.67   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.53R    1.80  
Wolverhampton   33   22  -39      26.14     2.60   -43.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   96.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 13 April 2012, Southampton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          43   85  +29      90.09     2.19    30.39    74.53    98.31   100.00    98.82P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   82  +34      87.34     2.25    35.83    24.61    92.28   100.00    94.53P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         42   76  +25      82.96     2.61    27.10     0.86     9.38   100.00    37.97P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   70  +25      76.94     2.60    27.18     0.00     0.03    99.19    31.41P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   67  +15      73.59     2.69    16.71     0.00     0.00    87.58    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   65   +9      71.80     2.62    10.96     0.00     0.00    66.88    12.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   63   +6      68.07     2.55     5.44     0.00     0.00    11.06     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   63   +0      68.87     2.59     0.59     0.00     0.00    15.71     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   62  +12      67.69     2.66    12.29     0.00     0.00    12.59     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   61   +1      66.53     2.53     1.12     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   60   -6      64.95     2.56    -6.71     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   59   +7      64.90     2.59     7.51     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58   -9      63.22     2.62    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   57   -4      62.04     2.62    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   56   -6      61.43     2.62    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   54   -3      58.57     2.47    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   48   -5      52.84     2.64    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         42   47   -7      52.18     2.61    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   47  -20      51.52     2.53   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   46  -15      50.72     2.52   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City     42   43  -26      46.92     2.40   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.23R    0.00  
Coventry         42   39  -17      43.69     2.45   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.11R    0.71  
Portsmouth       42   34   -8      39.87     2.59    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.76R   14.72  
Doncaster        42   32  -37      36.08     2.45   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   84.57  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Rochdale vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        42   91  +43      98.68     2.53    46.37    93.75    99.73   100.00    99.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   85  +40      92.62     2.53    43.29     5.88    79.43   100.00    87.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   83  +29      90.08     2.59    31.55     0.37    20.83   100.00    44.40P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   74  +30      81.45     2.60    32.99     0.00     0.00    99.97    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   71  +33      77.70     2.65    34.80     0.00     0.00    98.20    24.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   66  +10      72.16     2.64    11.04     0.00     0.00    45.09     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        41   66   +0      72.35     2.89    -0.81     0.00     0.00    40.68     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   63  +12      68.76     2.63    12.43     0.00     0.00    11.04     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   60  +14      66.98     2.89    14.14     0.00     0.00     5.02     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   54   -4      59.05     2.59    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   53   -4      58.87     2.65    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      42   52   -4      57.26     2.51    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   -3      56.32     2.56    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   50   +0      54.87     2.56    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   50  -14      54.95     2.53   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Preston         42   49  -14      53.59     2.57   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Bury            42   49  -19      53.57     2.55   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Oldham          42   48  -17      53.29     2.64   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.93R    0.00  
Walsall         42   46   -4      50.72     2.52    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.53R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   46  -25      50.80     2.49   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.00  
Wycombe         42   42  -19      45.89     2.40   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.22R    0.10  
Exeter          42   38  -27      42.15     2.47   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   16.37  
Chesterfield    42   36  -25      40.73     2.58   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.73R   30.05  
Rochdale        42   35  -32      39.92     2.58   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   53.47  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 13 April 2012, Barnet vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              41   86  +40      95.34     2.86    43.50    98.17    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   79  +16      85.57     2.65    17.58     0.29    57.86   100.00    69.62P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   78  +23      86.84     2.93    25.86     1.25    79.02   100.00    85.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   76  +22      85.00     2.94    25.32     0.29    57.57   100.00    68.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   73  +22      79.85     2.54    24.13     0.00     5.57    99.95    36.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68  +11      73.57     2.61    11.09     0.00     0.00    75.73    12.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   66  +16      71.35     2.61    15.87     0.00     0.00    51.76    10.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   66   +7      72.13     2.64     7.91     0.00     0.00    55.12    12.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   62  +13      67.66     2.64    13.29     0.00     0.00    10.33     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +5      67.83     2.60     5.55     0.00     0.00     6.74     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   57   -3      63.42     2.88    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   56   -4      60.96     2.61    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   54   +9      59.18     2.60     8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   52  +10      58.32     2.84     9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   51  -15      56.51     2.61   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   51  -18      56.35     2.61   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   47  -16      50.97     2.48   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   45  -19      50.83     2.88   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   45  -25      49.44     2.52   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   44  -15      48.70     2.50   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Bradford             42   43   -6      47.75     2.52    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.03  
Barnet               43   40  -29      43.19     2.13   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.06R    8.90  
Hereford             43   37  -24      40.20     2.14   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.38R   50.76  
Macclesfield         42   36  -20      40.38     2.47   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.43R   40.30  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 13 April 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     44  103  +58     106.15     1.86    58.59    99.52   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   91  +49      98.31     2.56    51.76     0.48   100.00    34.49P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   80  +32      84.39     2.28    32.45     0.00    99.90    17.53P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   73  +33      79.80     2.61    34.99     0.00    83.06    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   73  +18      77.66     2.14    18.89     0.00    36.14     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          43   71   +2      74.94     2.23     1.62     0.00     5.54     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   70  +30      79.23     2.83    33.78     0.00    72.38    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   68  +20      72.56     2.18    20.70     0.00     0.77     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   67  +21      70.93     2.22    20.72     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67   +5      72.94     2.61     5.63     0.00     1.98     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   64  +13      69.52     2.59    13.12     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   61   +1      63.87     2.12    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   56  -14      60.11     2.28   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   50  -12      54.58     2.48   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   50  -24      53.38     2.14   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       44   46  -10      49.35     1.84    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.72     2.56   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          43   44  -19      48.85     2.33   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   42  -10      48.56     2.85   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.56     2.54   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   38  -30      41.04     2.17   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.31R    0.00  
Darlington         42   31  -26      36.97     2.54   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.59R    1.36  
Kettering          43   29  -53      31.67     2.02   -55.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.91  
Bath_City          43   27  -47      30.02     2.15   -48.69     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   64.72  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3