Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2012, Man_City vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   79  +50      89.52     2.61    55.95    86.09   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   74  +53      84.29     2.70    58.81    13.91    99.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +25      74.08     2.74    30.48     0.00     0.19    89.74    97.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.38     2.90    22.95     0.00     0.00     6.43    58.39    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.26     2.82     6.94     0.00     0.00     0.65    12.31    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.62     2.68    22.65     0.00     0.00     3.18    31.40    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.12     2.81     4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.35     2.91     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.51     2.78    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   43   -6      47.95     2.74    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   42   +1      48.96     2.81     1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.11     2.83   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       33   39   -8      45.45     2.88    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         33   39   -9      45.13     2.72   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35   -9      42.46     3.07   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
QPR             33   31  -18      35.04     2.49   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.27R    0.23  
Wigan           33   31  -26      35.90     2.64   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.97R    0.59  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.72     3.13   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.29R    0.65  
Blackburn       33   28  -25      33.39     2.67   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.15R    1.68  
Wolverhampton   33   22  -39      26.12     2.61   -43.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   96.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Brighton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      42   82  +36      88.98     2.62    38.22    62.73    96.58   100.00    97.66P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   82  +27      88.20     2.55    28.02    36.34    90.58   100.00    93.28P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         42   76  +25      82.98     2.60    27.13     0.93    12.80   100.00    40.14P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   70  +25      76.95     2.59    27.18     0.00     0.05    99.29    31.31P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   67  +15      73.59     2.69    16.71     0.00     0.00    87.74    17.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   65   +9      71.79     2.63    10.94     0.00     0.00    66.91    12.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   63   +6      68.08     2.55     5.45     0.00     0.00    10.92     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   63   +0      68.82     2.59     0.54     0.00     0.00    15.26     2.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   62  +12      67.68     2.66    12.26     0.00     0.00    13.01     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   61   +1      66.56     2.52     1.16     0.00     0.00     3.12     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   60   -6      64.95     2.56    -6.74     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   59   +7      64.91     2.57     7.52     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58   -9      63.23     2.62    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   57   -4      62.03     2.60    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   56   -6      61.41     2.63    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   54   -3      58.63     2.48    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   48   -5      52.80     2.63    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         42   47   -7      52.20     2.62    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   47  -20      51.52     2.54   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   46  -15      50.75     2.51   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     42   43  -26      46.92     2.39   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.07R    0.00  
Coventry         42   39  -17      43.67     2.45   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.34R    0.81  
Portsmouth       42   34   -8      39.87     2.58    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.77R   14.83  
Doncaster        42   32  -37      36.10     2.46   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   84.36  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Rochdale vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        42   91  +43      98.68     2.54    46.38    93.85    99.75   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   85  +40      92.61     2.52    43.29     5.83    79.59   100.00    87.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   83  +29      90.02     2.58    31.44     0.32    20.64   100.00    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   74  +30      81.43     2.58    32.96     0.00     0.01    99.94    31.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   71  +33      77.67     2.63    34.74     0.00     0.00    98.11    24.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   66  +10      72.19     2.64    11.08     0.00     0.00    45.36     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        41   66   +0      72.38     2.87    -0.77     0.00     0.00    41.02     4.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   63  +12      68.74     2.64    12.41     0.00     0.00    10.66     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   60  +14      67.01     2.89    14.18     0.00     0.00     4.91     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   54   -4      59.02     2.59    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   53   -4      58.87     2.64    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      42   52   -4      57.23     2.51    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   -3      56.37     2.58    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   50   +0      54.87     2.57    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   50  -14      54.98     2.53   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Preston         42   49  -14      53.60     2.58   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Bury            42   49  -19      53.56     2.54   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Oldham          42   48  -17      53.30     2.65   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
Walsall         42   46   -4      50.74     2.53    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.28R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   46  -25      50.80     2.49   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.00  
Wycombe         42   42  -19      45.89     2.40   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.24R    0.12  
Exeter          42   38  -27      42.15     2.47   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   16.29  
Chesterfield    42   36  -25      40.72     2.59   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.73R   30.12  
Rochdale        42   35  -32      39.91     2.58   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   53.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              41   86  +40      95.33     2.87    43.51    98.15    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   79  +16      85.56     2.66    17.58     0.31    57.69   100.00    69.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   78  +23      86.84     2.92    25.86     1.25    78.90   100.00    85.74P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   76  +22      85.04     2.92    25.36     0.29    57.86   100.00    69.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   73  +22      79.85     2.54    24.11     0.00     5.57    99.90    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68  +11      73.58     2.61    11.11     0.00     0.00    75.75    12.76P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   66  +16      71.37     2.62    15.90     0.00     0.00    51.97    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   66   +7      72.11     2.62     7.88     0.00     0.00    54.95    11.95P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   62  +13      67.64     2.64    13.24     0.00     0.00    10.18     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +5      67.84     2.60     5.58     0.00     0.00     6.95     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   57   -3      63.37     2.87    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   56   -4      60.95     2.61    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   54   +9      59.17     2.61     8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   52  +10      58.33     2.83     9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   51  -15      56.52     2.64   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   51  -18      56.39     2.61   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   47  -16      50.99     2.49   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   45  -19      50.87     2.90   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            42   45  -25      49.42     2.50   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   44  -15      48.70     2.51   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.01  
Bradford             42   43   -6      47.76     2.51    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.21R    0.03  
Barnet               42   39  -29      43.68     2.54   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.16R   12.05  
Macclesfield         42   36  -20      40.41     2.50   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.52R   39.75  
Hereford             42   36  -24      40.44     2.51   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.38R   48.14  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     43  102  +58     107.27     2.24    59.74    99.63   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   91  +49      98.33     2.56    51.78     0.37   100.00    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   80  +32      84.37     2.28    32.40     0.00    99.91    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   73  +33      79.84     2.61    35.01     0.00    83.09    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   73  +18      77.66     2.14    18.88     0.00    36.02     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          43   71   +2      74.95     2.23     1.64     0.00     5.49     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   70  +30      79.24     2.82    33.81     0.00    72.59    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   68  +20      72.55     2.19    20.68     0.00     0.74     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   67  +21      70.91     2.21    20.69     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67   +5      72.95     2.62     5.66     0.00     1.92     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   64  +13      69.49     2.59    13.08     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   61   +1      63.89     2.13    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   56  -14      60.11     2.28   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   50  -12      54.55     2.49   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   50  -24      53.36     2.13   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.71     2.56   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   45  -10      49.03     2.15   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          43   44  -19      48.83     2.32   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   42  -10      48.56     2.84   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.59     2.54   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   38  -30      41.06     2.17   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.38R    0.00  
Darlington         42   31  -26      36.99     2.53   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.55R    1.35  
Kettering          43   29  -53      31.68     2.02   -55.39     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.24  
Bath_City          43   27  -47      30.00     2.15   -48.71     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.41  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3