Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 April 2012, Man_City vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   79  +50      89.53     2.61    55.96    85.82   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   74  +53      84.31     2.70    58.81    14.18    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +25      74.10     2.75    30.52     0.00     0.25    89.78    97.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.35     2.89    22.88     0.00     0.00     6.39    58.70    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.26     2.79     6.95     0.00     0.00     0.57    12.19    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.60     2.68    22.62     0.00     0.00     3.25    31.24    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.08     2.80     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.34     2.92     6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.54     2.76    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   43   -6      47.91     2.74    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   42   +1      48.96     2.79     1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.11     2.83   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       33   39   -8      45.42     2.88    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         33   39   -9      45.15     2.72   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35   -9      42.51     3.12   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
QPR             33   31  -18      35.02     2.48   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.52R    0.23  
Wigan           33   31  -26      35.91     2.64   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.78R    0.55  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.74     3.13   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.04R    0.63  
Blackburn       33   28  -25      33.40     2.67   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.37R    1.78  
Wolverhampton   33   22  -39      26.14     2.61   -43.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   96.81  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Brighton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      42   82  +36      88.95     2.62    38.18    62.03    96.38   100.00    97.44P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   82  +27      88.23     2.54    28.07    37.04    91.04   100.00    93.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         42   76  +25      82.96     2.60    27.11     0.93    12.53   100.00    40.20P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   70  +25      76.96     2.58    27.21     0.00     0.05    99.23    31.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   67  +15      73.60     2.69    16.72     0.00     0.00    87.80    17.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   65   +9      71.82     2.62    10.98     0.00     0.00    67.28    12.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   63   +6      68.09     2.54     5.45     0.00     0.00    11.20     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   63   +0      68.84     2.58     0.54     0.00     0.00    15.24     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   62  +12      67.66     2.66    12.25     0.00     0.00    12.55     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   61   +1      66.53     2.52     1.14     0.00     0.00     3.08     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   60   -6      64.93     2.56    -6.75     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   59   +7      64.91     2.58     7.51     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58   -9      63.21     2.63    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   57   -4      62.02     2.60    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   56   -6      61.40     2.63    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   54   -3      58.59     2.48    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   48   -5      52.82     2.63    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         42   47   -7      52.21     2.63    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   47  -20      51.51     2.52   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   46  -15      50.72     2.51   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Bristol_City     42   43  -26      46.93     2.39   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.06R    0.00  
Coventry         42   39  -17      43.67     2.44   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.36R    0.79  
Portsmouth       42   34   -8      39.89     2.59    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.87R   14.91  
Doncaster        42   32  -37      36.11     2.46   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   84.30  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Rochdale vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        42   91  +43      98.70     2.53    46.37    94.10    99.71   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   85  +40      92.62     2.53    43.30     5.54    79.90   100.00    87.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   83  +29      90.03     2.59    31.47     0.36    20.38   100.00    43.55P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   74  +30      81.47     2.59    33.03     0.00     0.00    99.94    31.68P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   71  +33      77.69     2.63    34.79     0.00     0.00    98.26    24.17P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   66  +10      72.20     2.65    11.08     0.00     0.00    45.55     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        41   66   +0      72.35     2.87    -0.80     0.00     0.00    40.40     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   63  +12      68.74     2.62    12.41     0.00     0.00    10.76     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   60  +14      67.02     2.89    14.22     0.00     0.00     5.08     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   54   -4      59.04     2.58    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   53   -4      58.86     2.63    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      42   52   -4      57.24     2.49    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   -3      56.34     2.58    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   50   +0      54.87     2.56    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   50  -14      54.94     2.53   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Preston         42   49  -14      53.59     2.58   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Bury            42   49  -19      53.57     2.54   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Oldham          42   48  -17      53.27     2.64   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Walsall         42   46   -4      50.74     2.51    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   46  -25      50.76     2.49   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.41R    0.00  
Wycombe         42   42  -19      45.91     2.42   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R    0.09  
Exeter          42   38  -27      42.16     2.48   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.68R   16.60  
Chesterfield    42   36  -25      40.73     2.58   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   30.11  
Rochdale        42   35  -32      39.93     2.60   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   53.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              41   86  +40      95.30     2.85    43.45    98.20    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   79  +16      85.55     2.65    17.55     0.31    57.59   100.00    69.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   78  +23      86.83     2.92    25.84     1.23    79.13   100.00    85.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   76  +22      85.02     2.94    25.33     0.26    57.77   100.00    68.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   73  +22      79.84     2.52    24.10     0.00     5.53    99.93    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68  +11      73.56     2.61    11.09     0.00     0.00    76.17    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   66  +16      71.34     2.60    15.85     0.00     0.00    51.57    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   66   +7      72.12     2.63     7.92     0.00     0.00    54.81    12.14P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   62  +13      67.67     2.64    13.30     0.00     0.00    10.19     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +5      67.86     2.60     5.59     0.00     0.00     7.01     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   57   -3      63.38     2.87    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   56   -4      60.94     2.61    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   54   +9      59.19     2.59     8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   52  +10      58.30     2.84     9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   51  -15      56.54     2.63   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   51  -18      56.38     2.62   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   47  -16      51.00     2.48   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          41   45  -19      50.85     2.89   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   45  -25      49.45     2.51   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   44  -15      48.71     2.49   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.02  
Bradford             42   43   -6      47.78     2.51    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.05  
Barnet               42   39  -29      43.67     2.53   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.11R   12.03  
Macclesfield         42   36  -20      40.37     2.49   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.68R   40.28  
Hereford             42   36  -24      40.46     2.52   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.36R   47.62  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     43  102  +58     107.27     2.23    59.73    99.62   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   91  +49      98.32     2.57    51.78     0.38   100.00    34.79P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   80  +32      84.37     2.27    32.43     0.00    99.90    17.45P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   73  +33      79.80     2.61    34.96     0.00    82.96    18.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   73  +18      77.66     2.14    18.91     0.00    36.14     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          43   71   +2      74.96     2.23     1.66     0.00     5.59     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   70  +30      79.24     2.84    33.80     0.00    72.34    22.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   68  +20      72.54     2.20    20.68     0.00     0.84     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   67  +21      70.95     2.21    20.75     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67   +5      72.92     2.63     5.63     0.00     2.01     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   64  +13      69.51     2.59    13.12     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   61   +1      63.88     2.12    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   56  -14      60.10     2.28   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   50  -12      54.58     2.51   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   50  -24      53.36     2.13   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.67     2.56   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   45  -10      49.02     2.15   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          43   44  -19      48.86     2.33   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   42  -10      48.59     2.86   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.58     2.53   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   38  -30      41.07     2.18   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.72R    0.00  
Darlington         42   31  -26      36.94     2.54   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.21R    1.42  
Kettering          43   29  -53      31.68     2.03   -55.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.92  
Bath_City          43   27  -47      30.04     2.16   -48.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   64.65  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3