Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Blackburn vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   79  +51      92.02     2.81    58.88    96.27   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   71  +49      83.61     2.94    56.43     3.73    99.54   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +22      73.20     3.04    28.73     0.00     0.46    82.54    94.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.40     2.90    22.97     0.00     0.00    10.72    59.46    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.34     2.83     7.05     0.00     0.00     1.21    13.22    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.65     2.70    22.70     0.00     0.00     5.53    32.53    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.09     2.81     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   46   +4      54.30     2.92     6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.54     2.78    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   43   -6      47.96     2.75    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   42   +1      48.93     2.79     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.13     2.84   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       32   39   -4      46.06     3.05    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         32   39   -6      46.60     3.04    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35   -9      42.40     3.09   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.66     3.14   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.53R    0.83  
QPR             32   28  -21      33.28     2.79   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.81R    2.39  
Blackburn       33   28  -25      33.38     2.68   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.67R    2.62  
Wigan           32   28  -27      33.22     2.82   -32.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.13R    6.10  
Wolverhampton   32   22  -36      26.82     2.85   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.71R   88.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Brighton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      42   82  +36      88.97     2.62    38.20    62.40    96.46   100.00    97.47P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   82  +27      88.23     2.55    28.05    36.63    90.74   100.00    93.51P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         42   76  +25      82.98     2.61    27.13     0.96    12.74   100.00    39.80P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   70  +25      76.95     2.61    27.20     0.00     0.06    99.23    31.57P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   67  +15      73.58     2.69    16.70     0.00     0.00    87.71    17.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   65   +9      71.81     2.63    10.96     0.00     0.00    67.11    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   63   +6      68.05     2.56     5.42     0.00     0.00    11.23     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   63   +0      68.83     2.58     0.55     0.00     0.00    15.34     2.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   62  +12      67.66     2.67    12.27     0.00     0.00    12.57     2.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   61   +1      66.54     2.52     1.13     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   60   -6      64.94     2.55    -6.74     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   59   +7      64.92     2.57     7.53     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58   -9      63.23     2.61    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   57   -4      62.03     2.62    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   56   -6      61.42     2.62    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   54   -3      58.59     2.48    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   48   -5      52.82     2.64    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         42   47   -7      52.20     2.62    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   47  -20      51.54     2.53   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   46  -15      50.69     2.51   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     42   43  -26      46.90     2.38   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    0.00  
Coventry         42   39  -17      43.67     2.45   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.95R    0.74  
Portsmouth       42   34   -8      39.91     2.57    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   14.53  
Doncaster        42   32  -37      36.08     2.46   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   84.73  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Rochdale vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        42   91  +43      98.66     2.53    46.33    93.72    99.75   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   85  +40      92.60     2.54    43.26     5.88    79.51   100.00    87.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   83  +29      90.03     2.60    31.45     0.40    20.73   100.00    43.70P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   74  +30      81.48     2.58    33.03     0.00     0.00    99.97    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   71  +33      77.70     2.64    34.80     0.00     0.00    98.33    24.40P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   66  +10      72.17     2.65    11.04     0.00     0.00    45.25     6.28P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        41   66   +0      72.35     2.87    -0.81     0.00     0.00    40.69     4.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   63  +12      68.73     2.62    12.41     0.00     0.00    10.74     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   60  +14      67.03     2.89    14.22     0.00     0.00     5.01     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   54   -4      59.06     2.58    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   53   -4      58.90     2.65    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      42   52   -4      57.24     2.50    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   -3      56.31     2.57    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   50   +0      54.88     2.57    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   50  -14      54.94     2.54   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Preston         42   49  -14      53.60     2.57   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Bury            42   49  -19      53.58     2.57   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Oldham          42   48  -17      53.28     2.65   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.00  
Walsall         42   46   -4      50.72     2.52    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.58R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   46  -25      50.77     2.49   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.12R    0.00  
Wycombe         42   42  -19      45.92     2.39   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.99R    0.08  
Exeter          42   38  -27      42.16     2.48   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   16.55  
Chesterfield    42   36  -25      40.73     2.59   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   30.37  
Rochdale        42   35  -32      39.94     2.61   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   53.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              41   86  +40      95.30     2.87    43.47    98.09    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   79  +16      85.55     2.67    17.56     0.32    57.91   100.00    69.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   78  +23      86.84     2.92    25.86     1.28    78.97   100.00    85.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   76  +22      85.02     2.93    25.33     0.31    57.68   100.00    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   73  +22      79.83     2.52    24.09     0.00     5.46    99.95    35.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68  +11      73.57     2.62    11.10     0.00     0.00    75.65    12.58P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   66  +16      71.38     2.63    15.90     0.00     0.00    51.84    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   66   +7      72.12     2.64     7.91     0.00     0.00    54.93    11.92P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   62  +13      67.67     2.64    13.29     0.00     0.00    10.40     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +5      67.82     2.60     5.55     0.00     0.00     6.89     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   57   -3      63.41     2.88    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   56   -4      60.96     2.60    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   54   +9      59.20     2.61     8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   52  +10      58.30     2.83     9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   51  -15      56.52     2.63   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   51  -18      56.41     2.63   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   47  -16      51.01     2.49   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          41   45  -19      50.87     2.89   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   45  -25      49.44     2.52   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Plymouth             42   44  -15      48.69     2.50   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.01  
Bradford             42   43   -6      47.76     2.51    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.04  
Barnet               42   39  -29      43.67     2.54   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.81R   11.95  
Macclesfield         42   36  -20      40.37     2.50   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.65R   40.10  
Hereford             42   36  -24      40.42     2.50   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.66R   47.89  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 April 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     43  102  +58     107.30     2.22    59.76    99.67   100.00    99.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   91  +49      98.30     2.57    51.75     0.33   100.00    34.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   80  +32      84.38     2.29    32.43     0.00    99.89    17.77P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   73  +33      79.84     2.61    35.02     0.00    83.43    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   73  +18      77.66     2.14    18.92     0.00    35.81     5.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          43   71   +2      74.92     2.23     1.59     0.00     5.42     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   70  +30      79.23     2.82    33.78     0.00    72.46    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   68  +20      72.57     2.19    20.71     0.00     0.81     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   67  +21      70.92     2.21    20.69     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67   +5      72.92     2.61     5.62     0.00     1.97     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   64  +13      69.51     2.58    13.09     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   61   +1      63.86     2.11    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   56  -14      60.10     2.27   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   50  -12      54.59     2.49   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   50  -24      53.36     2.12   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.73     2.57   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   45  -10      49.02     2.14   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          43   44  -19      48.86     2.33   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   42  -10      48.60     2.86   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.56     2.53   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   38  -30      41.04     2.16   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.24R    0.00  
Darlington         42   31  -26      36.97     2.55   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.69R    1.39  
Kettering          43   29  -53      31.69     2.03   -55.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.36  
Bath_City          43   27  -47      30.01     2.14   -48.71     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.26  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3