Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Aston_Villa vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   79  +51      92.05     2.80    58.89    96.26   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   71  +49      83.63     2.93    56.47     3.74    99.59   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +22      73.19     3.02    28.74     0.00     0.41    82.74    94.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   59  +19      68.40     2.88    22.95     0.00     0.00    10.40    59.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   59   +8      65.31     2.82     7.02     0.00     0.00     1.22    12.95    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   57  +18      66.66     2.70    22.70     0.00     0.00     5.64    32.60    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +4      54.06     2.81     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   43   +3      52.95     3.21     5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   43   +0      49.55     2.78    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   43   -6      47.96     2.74    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   42   +1      48.89     2.79     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   42  -13      48.17     2.85   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       32   39   -4      46.04     3.05    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         32   39   -6      46.59     3.04    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   35   -9      42.46     3.07   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Bolton          32   29  -29      35.64     3.12   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.78R    0.85  
QPR             32   28  -21      33.27     2.81   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.79R    2.54  
Blackburn       32   28  -24      34.42     2.96   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.18R    1.57  
Wigan           32   28  -27      33.23     2.79   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.22R    6.18  
Wolverhampton   32   22  -36      26.83     2.85   -41.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.86R   88.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      42   82  +36      88.98     2.61    38.23    72.88    97.05   100.00    97.95P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   79  +26      86.72     2.89    27.22    25.54    80.24   100.00    86.21P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         42   76  +25      82.96     2.59    27.08     1.58    22.33   100.00    46.84P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   70  +25      76.94     2.60    27.18     0.00     0.38    98.91    31.35P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   67  +15      73.59     2.67    16.72     0.00     0.00    85.66    17.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   65   +9      71.80     2.63    10.95     0.00     0.00    63.11    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   63   +7      69.30     2.88     6.28     0.00     0.00    21.66     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   63   +0      68.80     2.57     0.51     0.00     0.00    13.30     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   62  +12      67.65     2.66    12.23     0.00     0.00    11.32     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   61   +1      66.58     2.52     1.19     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   60   -6      64.95     2.56    -6.71     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   59   +7      64.92     2.57     7.54     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58   -9      63.22     2.62    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   57   -4      62.04     2.60    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   56   -6      61.42     2.62    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   54   -3      58.60     2.48    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   48   -5      52.78     2.63    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   47  -20      51.49     2.53   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   46  -15      50.71     2.51   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Millwall         41   44   -8      50.37     2.92    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.50R    0.00  
Bristol_City     42   43  -26      46.95     2.41   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.60R    0.00  
Coventry         42   39  -17      43.66     2.45   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.05R    1.18  
Portsmouth       41   34   -7      41.43     2.92    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.97R    8.55  
Doncaster        42   32  -37      36.12     2.47   -38.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   90.27  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Bournemouth vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        42   91  +43      98.70     2.53    46.38    96.21    99.79   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   83  +29      90.05     2.60    31.50     0.37    31.09   100.00    51.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   82  +37      91.49     2.85    41.00     3.42    69.09   100.00    80.51P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   74  +30      81.46     2.58    33.01     0.00     0.03    99.97    30.86P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   71  +33      77.70     2.64    34.79     0.00     0.00    98.25    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    42   66  +10      72.16     2.64    11.03     0.00     0.00    44.90     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        41   66   +0      72.36     2.88    -0.81     0.00     0.00    40.97     4.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   63  +12      68.76     2.63    12.44     0.00     0.00    10.96     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       41   60  +14      66.99     2.89    14.19     0.00     0.00     4.95     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      42   54   -4      59.06     2.58    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   53   -4      58.88     2.65    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      42   52   -4      57.25     2.50    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        42   51   -3      56.33     2.57    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      42   50   +0      54.86     2.55    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          42   50  -14      54.96     2.53   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Preston         42   49  -14      53.59     2.58   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Bury            42   49  -19      53.58     2.56   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Oldham          42   48  -17      53.30     2.65   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.00  
Walsall         42   46   -4      50.72     2.53    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.53R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   46  -25      50.78     2.49   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.55R    0.00  
Wycombe         42   42  -19      45.88     2.38   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.51R    0.21  
Exeter          42   38  -27      42.15     2.49   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   20.84  
Chesterfield    42   36  -25      40.70     2.59   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   35.16  
Rochdale        41   35  -29      40.81     2.85   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   43.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              41   86  +40      95.30     2.87    43.47    98.14    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   79  +16      85.55     2.67    17.58     0.32    57.91   100.00    69.75P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   78  +23      86.83     2.91    25.86     1.22    79.05   100.00    85.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   76  +22      85.02     2.94    25.34     0.32    57.53   100.00    68.82P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   73  +22      79.83     2.54    24.06     0.00     5.52    99.93    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   68  +11      73.58     2.61    11.12     0.00     0.00    76.07    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   66  +16      71.34     2.61    15.87     0.00     0.00    51.66    10.74P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   66   +7      72.11     2.64     7.89     0.00     0.00    54.53    11.93P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   62  +13      67.69     2.64    13.32     0.00     0.00    10.42     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +5      67.84     2.59     5.57     0.00     0.00     7.01     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   57   -3      63.42     2.88    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   56   -4      60.96     2.60    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   54   +9      59.17     2.60     8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   52  +10      58.32     2.86     9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       42   51  -15      56.52     2.65   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   51  -18      56.37     2.62   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   47  -16      50.99     2.49   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          41   45  -19      50.85     2.89   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   45  -25      49.41     2.52   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.01  
Plymouth             42   44  -15      48.70     2.51   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Bradford             42   43   -6      47.76     2.52    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.05  
Barnet               42   39  -29      43.70     2.52   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.71R   11.78  
Macclesfield         42   36  -20      40.41     2.49   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.60R   39.78  
Hereford             42   36  -24      40.45     2.52   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.67R   48.38  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 April 2012, Alfreton_Town vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     42  101  +58     107.81     2.59    60.00    98.47   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   90  +49      98.50     2.89    51.51     1.53   100.00    35.48P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   80  +32      84.39     2.28    32.43     0.00    99.90    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   73  +33      79.85     2.61    35.03     0.00    83.30    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   73  +18      77.66     2.13    18.92     0.00    36.13     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          43   71   +2      74.95     2.22     1.65     0.00     5.43     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   70  +30      79.21     2.83    33.75     0.00    72.24    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   68  +20      72.54     2.20    20.65     0.00     0.71     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       43   67  +21      70.93     2.22    20.71     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   67   +5      72.94     2.62     5.64     0.00     2.05     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   64  +13      69.50     2.59    13.10     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     43   61   +1      63.86     2.13    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   56  -14      60.10     2.27   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   50  -12      54.57     2.49   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      43   50  -24      53.39     2.12   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.72     2.56   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       43   45  -10      48.99     2.15   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          43   44  -19      48.85     2.33   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   42  -10      48.58     2.85   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.57     2.53   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   38  -30      41.08     2.19   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.07R    0.00  
Darlington         42   31  -26      36.96     2.54   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.88R    1.31  
Kettering          43   29  -53      31.67     2.01   -55.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   33.65  
Bath_City          43   27  -47      30.01     2.15   -48.71     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.04  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3