Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 April 2012 at 02:43:17 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 April 2012, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   79  +51      92.03     2.81    58.86    96.06   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   71  +49      83.67     2.94    56.55     3.94    99.58    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +22      73.22     3.04    28.81     0.00     0.37    67.80    91.58   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   59  +20      70.72     3.14    25.53     0.00     0.05    25.39    76.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   56  +18      67.36     3.02    23.20     0.00     0.00     6.27    27.17    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   56   +6      64.33     3.11     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.54     4.84    98.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +0      52.62     3.11     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   43   +3      53.02     3.22     5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   42   +5      50.09     3.07     4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   42   +0      49.55     3.08    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   41  -13      48.21     3.12   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         32   40   -7      45.42     2.95   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom       32   39   -4      46.02     3.05    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         32   39   -6      46.55     3.04    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   34   -9      43.10     3.38   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Bolton          31   29  -27      36.44     3.36   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.39R    0.61  
QPR             32   28  -21      33.26     2.80   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.13R    2.68  
Blackburn       32   28  -24      34.44     2.96   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.19R    1.64  
Wigan           32   28  -27      33.24     2.82   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.11R    6.28  
Wolverhampton   32   22  -36      26.84     2.85   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   88.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2012, Birmingham vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      41   79  +34      87.53     2.95    36.46    57.63    88.72   100.00    92.05P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   79  +26      86.76     2.87    27.29    35.52    77.18   100.00    83.90P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         41   75  +25      83.55     2.92    27.42     6.78    32.90   100.00    54.05P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   69  +25      77.13     2.92    26.91     0.07     1.17    97.58    31.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        41   66  +15      74.80     2.97    18.07     0.00     0.02    88.83    18.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   64   +9      72.68     2.95    11.71     0.00     0.00    67.74    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   63   +7      69.29     2.86     6.28     0.00     0.00    17.15     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   63   +1      70.09     2.89     1.42     0.00     0.00    21.92     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   59  +11      66.02     3.00    11.20     0.00     0.00     3.76     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   58   +0      65.01     2.83     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   57   -2      63.85     2.94    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            41   57   -8      62.84     2.86    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   57   -9      63.10     2.90   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   56   +6      63.62     2.90     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   -5      62.78     2.96    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   54   -1      59.67     2.79    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   48   -4      54.42     2.99    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   46  -20      51.17     2.76   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Millwall         41   44   -8      50.31     2.92    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   43  -16      48.91     2.86   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.79R    0.01  
Bristol_City     41   40  -28      45.30     2.73   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.10R    0.79  
Coventry         41   39  -15      45.02     2.77   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.04R    1.41  
Portsmouth       41   34   -7      41.46     2.91    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.50R   13.75  
Doncaster        41   32  -36      37.16     2.79   -38.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.49R   84.04  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2012, Brentford vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        41   88  +42      97.76     2.84    46.39    92.39    99.46   100.00    99.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   82  +37      91.51     2.86    41.05     6.96    77.01   100.00    85.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   80  +26      88.84     2.93    29.08     0.65    22.52   100.00    43.75P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   74  +32      83.20     2.92    35.55     0.00     1.02    99.99    34.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   68  +30      76.49     2.96    32.40     0.00     0.00    94.70    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        40   65   +0      72.91     3.19    -0.54     0.00     0.00    52.93     6.29P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    41   63   +8      70.77     2.96     9.38     0.00     0.00    27.64     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   62  +12      69.22     2.95    12.60     0.00     0.00    15.66     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   59  +14      67.63     3.20    14.57     0.00     0.00     9.07     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      41   54   -1      60.73     2.94    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +0      57.29     2.85    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool      41   51   -4      57.52     2.83    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth     41   50   -6      56.93     2.96    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   50  -12      56.02     2.83   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   49   +0      55.10     2.91    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Preston         41   48  -14      53.70     2.89   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
Oldham          41   48  -14      54.19     2.92   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74R    0.00  
Walsall         41   46   -3      51.42     2.77    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.00  
Bury            41   46  -22      51.67     2.87   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.37R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   46  -22      52.21     2.84   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.35R    0.00  
Wycombe         41   42  -15      47.35     2.80   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.25R    0.02  
Rochdale        41   35  -29      40.89     2.85   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   25.07  
Exeter          41   35  -30      40.43     2.79   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   29.08  
Chesterfield    41   33  -29      38.94     2.92   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   45.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 6 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              40   83  +39      94.57     3.11    43.90    96.59    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   78  +16      85.90     2.98    17.56     1.44    71.70   100.00    79.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   75  +22      85.70     3.22    25.60     1.57    72.88   100.00    81.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   73  +21      83.78     3.24    24.91     0.39    49.27   100.00    62.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   70  +20      78.92     2.83    23.24     0.00     6.04    99.34    35.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           41   68  +12      74.74     2.93    11.79     0.00     0.15    83.16    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   65  +16      71.75     2.94    15.94     0.00     0.01    53.39    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   63   +4      70.70     2.96     5.23     0.00     0.00    31.17     7.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   62  +14      69.67     2.96    15.26     0.00     0.00    27.96     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   59   +4      66.43     2.94     4.91     0.00     0.00     3.52     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   57   -2      64.76     3.18    -2.57     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   54  +10      60.67     2.94     9.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   53   -5      59.72     2.94    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   51  -12      57.70     2.95   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   49   +9      57.18     3.13     8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   48  -19      54.60     2.95   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   47  -14      51.76     2.76   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          40   45  -18      51.42     3.07   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.02  
Bradford             41   43   -5      48.59     2.78    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -26      47.14     2.77   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    1.22  
Plymouth             41   41  -16      47.15     2.84   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.90  
Barnet               41   39  -28      44.68     2.83   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.97R   12.02  
Macclesfield         41   36  -19      41.30     2.78   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.33R   39.87  
Hereford             41   36  -23      41.40     2.80   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.97R   45.83  

Adjustments:
Port_Vale            -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2012, Braintree_Town vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     42  101  +58     107.87     2.58    60.09    98.59   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   90  +49      98.53     2.87    51.55     1.41   100.00    36.45P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   77  +31      83.37     2.63    32.41     0.00    98.68    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   70  +31      78.69     2.94    33.75     0.00    73.29    16.25P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   70  +17      76.52     2.52    18.64     0.00    32.35     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          42   70   +2      75.25     2.61     1.53     0.00    14.20     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   67  +28      78.61     3.05    33.52     0.00    70.28    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   67   +7      73.95     2.91     7.03     0.00     9.65     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   65  +18      71.36     2.57    19.35     0.00     1.09     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   64  +19      69.55     2.59    19.08     0.00     0.36     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   61  +11      68.55     2.88    12.06     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     42   60   +1      64.19     2.54    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   55  -14      60.59     2.65   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      42   50  -22      54.30     2.48   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   49  -12      55.10     2.87   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.71     2.55   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          42   44  -18      49.68     2.63   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County     40   42   -9      49.43     3.12   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   42  -15      47.41     2.54   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.56     2.53   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   38  -28      41.51     2.36   -31.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.15R    0.00  
Darlington         41   31  -21      38.25     2.86   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.00R    1.46  
Kettering          42   29  -51      32.35     2.31   -54.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   39.75  
Bath_City          42   27  -45      31.05     2.50   -47.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   58.79  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3