Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 April 2012 at 02:34:09 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 April 2012, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   79  +51      92.03     2.82    58.89    96.14   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   71  +49      83.68     2.92    56.57     3.86    99.58    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +22      73.21     3.04    28.79     0.00     0.38    67.83    91.53   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   59  +20      70.72     3.15    25.53     0.00     0.04    25.56    76.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   56  +18      67.35     3.01    23.17     0.00     0.00     6.21    27.35    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   56   +6      64.33     3.10     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.42     4.61    98.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +0      52.57     3.10     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   43   +3      53.00     3.23     5.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   42   +5      50.12     3.08     4.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   42   +0      49.60     3.07    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   41  -13      48.22     3.12   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         32   40   -7      45.41     2.93   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       32   39   -4      46.06     3.06    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         32   39   -6      46.52     3.05    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   34   -9      43.08     3.40   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Bolton          31   29  -27      36.45     3.36   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.53R    0.61  
QPR             32   28  -21      33.26     2.81   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.19R    2.71  
Blackburn       32   28  -24      34.44     2.97   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.96R    1.64  
Wigan           32   28  -27      33.24     2.82   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.05R    6.17  
Wolverhampton   32   22  -36      26.82     2.84   -41.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   88.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2012, Birmingham vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      41   79  +34      87.52     2.95    36.44    58.10    88.54   100.00    91.89P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   79  +26      86.71     2.86    27.24    34.75    77.36   100.00    84.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         41   75  +25      83.54     2.94    27.41     7.12    32.87   100.00    53.79P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   69  +25      77.15     2.91    26.92     0.04     1.22    97.56    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        41   66  +15      74.73     2.97    17.97     0.00     0.01    88.17    18.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   64   +9      72.72     2.94    11.76     0.00     0.00    67.76    13.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   63   +7      69.34     2.87     6.33     0.00     0.00    17.30     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   63   +1      70.15     2.87     1.54     0.00     0.00    22.31     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   59  +11      66.04     2.99    11.25     0.00     0.00     3.80     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   58   +0      64.99     2.85     0.28     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   57   -2      63.87     2.96    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            41   57   -8      62.83     2.86    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   57   -9      63.06     2.89   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   56   +6      63.63     2.90     7.02     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   -5      62.78     2.96    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   54   -1      59.68     2.78    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   48   -4      54.41     2.98    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   46  -20      51.17     2.77   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Millwall         41   44   -8      50.30     2.91    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   43  -16      48.90     2.87   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    0.01  
Bristol_City     41   40  -28      45.32     2.72   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.68R    0.74  
Coventry         41   39  -15      45.02     2.77   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.24R    1.33  
Portsmouth       41   34   -7      41.47     2.92    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.38R   13.26  
Doncaster        41   32  -36      37.08     2.76   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   84.66  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2012, Brentford vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        41   88  +42      97.69     2.86    46.26    91.81    99.47   100.00    99.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   82  +37      91.54     2.85    41.06     7.44    76.92   100.00    85.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   80  +26      88.90     2.92    29.18     0.75    22.64   100.00    44.15P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    41   74  +32      83.20     2.92    35.56     0.00     0.97    99.99    34.89P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   68  +30      76.47     2.94    32.36     0.00     0.00    94.42    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        40   65   +0      72.96     3.21    -0.48     0.00     0.00    53.65     6.42P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    41   63   +8      70.79     2.96     9.39     0.00     0.00    27.55     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   62  +12      69.22     2.94    12.60     0.00     0.00    15.40     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       40   59  +14      67.58     3.20    14.52     0.00     0.00     8.98     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      41   54   -1      60.69     2.96    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        41   51   +0      57.28     2.86    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool      41   51   -4      57.58     2.84    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth     41   50   -6      56.88     2.94    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil          41   50  -12      56.01     2.85   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      41   49   +0      55.12     2.90    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Preston         41   48  -14      53.72     2.88   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.00  
Oldham          41   48  -14      54.14     2.90   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Walsall         41   46   -3      51.47     2.76    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.36R    0.00  
Bury            41   46  -22      51.72     2.87   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.44R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   46  -22      52.21     2.84   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.54R    0.00  
Wycombe         41   42  -15      47.40     2.80   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.89R    0.03  
Rochdale        41   35  -29      40.89     2.84   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   24.61  
Exeter          41   35  -30      40.38     2.81   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   29.63  
Chesterfield    41   33  -29      38.93     2.91   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   45.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 6 April 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              40   83  +39      94.56     3.11    43.89    96.44    99.94   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   78  +16      85.87     2.98    17.50     1.40    70.81   100.00    78.86P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   75  +22      85.79     3.19    25.70     1.71    73.65   100.00    82.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   73  +21      83.82     3.26    24.96     0.45    49.37    99.99    62.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   70  +20      78.90     2.86    23.20     0.00     6.08    99.21    35.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           41   68  +12      74.72     2.92    11.78     0.00     0.15    81.97    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   65  +16      71.74     2.94    15.92     0.00     0.01    51.25    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   63   +4      70.72     2.97     5.27     0.00     0.00    29.89     6.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   62  +14      69.70     2.96    15.30     0.00     0.00    26.52     6.74P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   59   +9      67.12     3.11     8.85     0.00     0.00     6.82     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   59   +4      66.45     2.93     4.93     0.00     0.00     3.11     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   57   -2      64.74     3.20    -2.59     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   54  +10      60.69     2.95     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   53   -5      59.73     2.94    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       41   51  -12      57.73     2.94   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   48  -19      54.57     2.95   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   47  -14      51.74     2.76   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          40   45  -18      51.41     3.09   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.01  
Bradford             41   43   -5      48.56     2.79    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -26      47.12     2.78   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.14R    1.26  
Plymouth             41   41  -16      47.13     2.84   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.99  
Barnet               41   39  -28      44.70     2.84   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.88R   11.79  
Macclesfield         41   36  -19      41.34     2.78   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.00R   39.60  
Hereford             41   36  -23      41.39     2.81   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.99R   46.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 April 2012, Braintree_Town vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     42  101  +58     107.85     2.60    60.04    98.46   100.00    99.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   90  +49      98.50     2.88    51.52     1.54   100.00    36.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   77  +31      83.38     2.63    32.43     0.00    98.61    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   70  +31      78.66     2.94    33.71     0.00    73.50    16.39P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   70  +17      76.47     2.52    18.55     0.00    31.98     5.19P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          42   70   +2      75.22     2.61     1.48     0.00    14.09     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   67  +28      78.61     3.03    33.54     0.00    70.46    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   67   +7      73.93     2.91     6.99     0.00     9.79     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   65  +18      71.39     2.57    19.40     0.00     1.14     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       42   64  +19      69.53     2.59    19.04     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   61  +11      68.55     2.88    12.07     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     42   60   +1      64.21     2.54    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   55  -14      60.57     2.65   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      42   50  -22      54.30     2.47   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   49  -12      55.09     2.88   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -20      50.73     2.56   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport          42   44  -18      49.65     2.64   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County     40   42   -9      49.53     3.13   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       42   42  -15      47.42     2.52   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        42   42  -17      46.57     2.54   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   38  -28      41.54     2.38   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.38R    0.00  
Darlington         41   31  -21      38.29     2.87   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.73R    1.46  
Kettering          42   29  -51      32.36     2.29   -54.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   39.09  
Bath_City          42   27  -45      31.03     2.50   -47.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   59.44  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3