Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 5 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2012, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   76  +49      91.69     2.95    59.42    89.69   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   71  +50      85.16     3.23    57.81    10.31    99.78    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +21      71.55     3.36    27.74     0.00     0.15    49.36    83.92    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +20      71.26     3.44    25.83     0.00     0.07    41.98    82.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   53  +17      66.99     3.18    24.38     0.00     0.00     8.30    30.36    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   53   +4      62.53     3.39     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.37     2.88    91.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43   +0      53.15     3.41     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   42   +3      53.93     3.48     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.32     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      31   41   +5      50.38     3.39     4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   39   -3      47.76     3.36    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   39   -4      47.99     3.37    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         31   39   -7      45.61     3.25   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           31   38  -14      47.10     3.40   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       31   36   -7      44.67     3.33    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   33   -9      42.88     3.60   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Bolton          30   29  -24      37.99     3.64   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.83R    0.46  
QPR             31   28  -19      33.45     2.90   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.49R    4.55  
Blackburn       31   28  -21      35.53     3.25   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.18R    1.77  
Wigan           31   28  -26      33.57     2.93   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.14R    9.06  
Wolverhampton   31   22  -35      27.73     3.11   -41.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.34R   84.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Burnley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      40   78  +34      88.45     3.23    37.26    72.87    94.84   100.00    96.43P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   76  +24      85.55     3.16    25.93    23.29    75.48   100.00    82.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         40   72  +21      82.18     3.24    23.79     3.79    27.79    99.92    50.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   66  +23      76.10     3.17    25.73     0.05     1.79    93.75    31.87P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   63  +13      73.17     3.30    16.05     0.00     0.07    73.45    16.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   63   +8      70.47     3.17     7.00     0.00     0.02    33.05     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   63   +3      71.56     3.19     3.59     0.00     0.01    44.74     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   61   +7      70.83     3.26     9.40     0.00     0.00    41.65     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   58   +2      66.30     3.13     2.27     0.00     0.00     4.68     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   57   +0      64.81     3.21    -0.84     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   57   -7      64.42     3.23    -8.31     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   56   +7      65.05     3.26     8.20     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   56   -8      63.34     3.18    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   55   -5      63.08     3.27    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   54   +1      60.58     3.02    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   53   +5      62.23     3.21     6.35     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   47   -4      54.64     3.28    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -16      52.34     3.07   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   43  -15      50.77     3.17   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.00  
Millwall         40   41  -10      48.67     3.19   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.04  
Coventry         40   38  -15      45.49     3.11   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.37R    1.76  
Bristol_City     40   37  -29      43.24     2.99   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.49R    6.81  
Portsmouth       40   33   -7      41.20     3.14    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.21R   18.75  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.92     3.02   -35.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.80R   72.63  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        40   85  +41      96.51     3.15    45.92    89.51    98.94   100.00    99.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   79  +36      90.40     3.17    40.77     9.48    73.51   100.00    82.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   77  +24      86.81     3.23    26.42     0.68    16.62   100.00    37.77P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   74  +34      85.05     3.23    38.30     0.33    10.89    99.99    42.47P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   67  +30      77.15     3.26    32.81     0.00     0.03    95.72    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        39   64   +0      73.41     3.52    -0.38     0.00     0.00    61.58     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   60   +5      69.00     3.29     6.16     0.00     0.00    13.54     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   59  +17      69.16     3.46    17.86     0.00     0.00    19.50     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   59   +9      68.02     3.25    10.22     0.00     0.00     9.61     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   53   -1      61.40     3.26    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      40   50   -4      57.67     3.12    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth     40   50   -5      57.69     3.18    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   48   -3      55.52     3.14    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Oldham          40   48  -13      55.12     3.17   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.00  
Yeovil          40   47  -14      54.51     3.14   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25R    0.00  
Preston         40   47  -14      53.72     3.16   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   46   -1      53.96     3.20    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.00  
Bury            40   46  -19      52.69     3.14   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.97R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   46  -19      53.69     3.17   -19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.75R    0.00  
Walsall         40   43   -4      50.24     3.09    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    0.02  
Wycombe         40   41  -15      47.76     3.14   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.71R    0.34  
Rochdale        40   35  -27      42.05     3.16   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.57R   23.16  
Exeter          40   35  -29      41.29     3.06   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   31.00  
Chesterfield    40   33  -28      39.93     3.19   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.09R   45.47  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Barnet vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              39   80  +38      93.28     3.42    43.39    93.24    99.75   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.58     3.24    17.01     1.84    57.54    99.99    69.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   72  +21      84.47     3.54    25.40     2.49    62.03    99.96    71.69P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   72  +20      84.44     3.48    24.07     2.28    59.88    99.98    72.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.65     3.14    25.78     0.15    20.39    99.61    45.40P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   65  +17      73.28     3.26    17.17     0.00     0.30    66.75    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.57     3.22    10.48     0.00     0.11    66.00    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   62   +4      70.78     3.27     4.75     0.00     0.01    29.64     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +14      70.14     3.28    15.39     0.00     0.00    29.46     7.37P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   57   -1      66.21     3.46    -1.42     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56   +8      65.40     3.41     7.71     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   56   +3      64.98     3.27     4.16     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   54  +11      61.74     3.23    10.25     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   53   -4      60.78     3.20    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   50  -12      58.05     3.25   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   47  -13      52.93     3.09   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   47  -19      54.72     3.23   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          39   42  -19      49.65     3.38   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.52R    0.70  
Dag_&_Red            40   41  -26      47.70     3.12   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.27R    1.94  
Bradford             40   40   -7      46.55     3.06    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.50R    2.94  
Plymouth             40   40  -16      47.61     3.16   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.61R    2.24  
Barnet               40   39  -26      45.61     3.11   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.44R   10.44  
Macclesfield         40   36  -17      42.37     3.04   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.37R   32.17  
Hereford             40   35  -23      41.68     3.10   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.26R   49.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Lincoln_City vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     41   98  +57     106.10     2.93    58.87    84.82   100.00    89.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   90  +50     101.11     3.09    54.60    15.18   100.00    45.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   74  +28      82.24     2.94    30.18     0.00    93.18    14.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   70  +32      80.13     3.24    34.88     0.00    80.69    16.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          41   70   +3      76.45     2.94     2.26     0.00    22.52     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.76     3.31    36.75     0.00    84.01    28.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +16      74.94     2.88    17.67     0.00    13.40     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   64  +18      71.85     2.91    19.50     0.00     1.87     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   64   +5      72.65     3.21     5.53     0.00     3.93     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   61  +17      68.37     2.92    17.76     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   60  +11      69.21     3.21    12.51     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   57   -1      61.96     2.82    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   55  -12      61.60     2.96   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   49  -10      56.07     3.14   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   47  -23      51.62     2.61   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           41   46  -19      52.55     2.89   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       41   42  -11      48.84     2.87   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Newport_County     39   41   -9      50.28     3.41    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        41   41  -17      46.46     2.84   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Stockport          41   41  -22      48.03     2.97   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   37  -28      41.59     2.69   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.29R    0.00  
Darlington         40   30  -21      38.55     3.17   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.30R    0.99  
Kettering          41   29  -48      33.29     2.63   -52.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   16.17  
Bath_City          41   24  -46      29.03     2.80   -48.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   82.85  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3