Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2012, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   76  +49      91.70     2.95    59.41    89.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   71  +50      85.16     3.25    57.80    10.43    99.80    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +21      71.55     3.34    27.74     0.00     0.13    49.40    83.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +20      71.29     3.43    25.83     0.00     0.07    42.02    83.31    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   53  +17      66.93     3.20    24.26     0.00     0.00     8.23    29.87    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   53   +4      62.56     3.40     3.81     0.00     0.00     0.37     2.94    91.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43   +0      53.15     3.42     0.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   42   +3      53.92     3.49     6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      31   41   +5      50.32     3.39     4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   39   -3      47.81     3.37    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   39   -4      48.02     3.36    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         31   39   -7      45.62     3.23   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           31   38  -14      47.10     3.42   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       31   36   -7      44.66     3.33    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   33   -9      42.85     3.59   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Bolton          30   29  -24      37.97     3.66   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.10R    0.48  
QPR             31   28  -19      33.47     2.90   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.21R    4.46  
Blackburn       31   28  -21      35.56     3.26   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.92R    1.78  
Wigan           31   28  -26      33.55     2.94   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.36R    9.05  
Wolverhampton   31   22  -35      27.73     3.10   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.37R   84.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Burnley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      40   78  +34      88.47     3.22    37.24    72.76    95.15   100.00    96.72P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   76  +24      85.59     3.16    25.99    23.60    75.46   100.00    82.76P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         40   72  +21      82.17     3.25    23.78     3.60    27.44    99.93    49.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   66  +23      76.08     3.20    25.69     0.04     1.87    93.65    31.69P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   63  +13      73.17     3.33    16.07     0.00     0.07    73.08    15.93P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   63   +8      70.48     3.19     7.04     0.00     0.01    33.33     5.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   63   +3      71.51     3.17     3.54     0.00     0.00    44.34     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   61   +7      70.82     3.26     9.37     0.00     0.00    41.79     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   58   +2      66.35     3.13     2.30     0.00     0.00     4.85     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   57   +0      64.83     3.21    -0.81     0.00     0.00     2.47     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   57   -7      64.42     3.23    -8.29     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   56   +7      65.01     3.26     8.16     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   56   -8      63.33     3.19    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   55   -5      63.07     3.26    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   54   +1      60.61     3.03    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   53   +5      62.16     3.20     6.23     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   47   -4      54.65     3.29    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -16      52.33     3.06   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   43  -15      50.79     3.16   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61R    0.01  
Millwall         40   41  -10      48.63     3.19   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.22R    0.06  
Coventry         40   38  -15      45.49     3.09   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.43R    1.79  
Bristol_City     40   37  -29      43.22     3.00   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.77R    7.01  
Portsmouth       40   33   -7      41.21     3.15    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R   18.86  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.97     3.02   -35.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.85R   72.26  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        40   85  +41      96.54     3.14    45.98    89.73    99.01   100.00    99.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   79  +36      90.38     3.17    40.75     9.27    73.26   100.00    82.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   77  +24      86.82     3.21    26.43     0.68    16.78   100.00    37.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   74  +34      85.08     3.22    38.34     0.32    10.93   100.00    43.08P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   67  +30      77.13     3.27    32.79     0.00     0.02    95.66    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        39   64   +0      73.39     3.51    -0.42     0.00     0.00    61.37     7.19P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   60   +5      69.05     3.27     6.22     0.00     0.00    13.75     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   59  +17      69.18     3.50    17.88     0.00     0.00    19.92     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   59   +9      67.97     3.24    10.17     0.00     0.00     9.22     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   53   -1      61.36     3.27    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      40   50   -4      57.71     3.12    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth     40   50   -5      57.67     3.19    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   48   -3      55.55     3.14    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Oldham          40   48  -13      55.10     3.19   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Yeovil          40   47  -14      54.44     3.13   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.00  
Preston         40   47  -14      53.76     3.16   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.61R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   46   -1      53.95     3.20    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.00  
Bury            40   46  -19      52.69     3.15   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   46  -19      53.68     3.18   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.54R    0.00  
Walsall         40   43   -4      50.16     3.08    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.70R    0.02  
Wycombe         40   41  -15      47.75     3.14   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.62R    0.31  
Rochdale        40   35  -27      42.09     3.16   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.54R   23.22  
Exeter          40   35  -29      41.32     3.09   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   31.64  
Chesterfield    40   33  -28      39.98     3.19   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   44.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Barnet vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              39   80  +38      93.32     3.42    43.47    93.28    99.71   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.60     3.28    17.03     2.06    57.65    99.99    69.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   72  +21      84.46     3.56    25.37     2.40    61.61    99.98    71.29P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   72  +20      84.45     3.48    24.09     2.16    60.27    99.94    72.89P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.63     3.15    25.73     0.10    20.35    99.60    45.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   65  +17      73.31     3.27    17.19     0.00     0.26    66.73    14.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.61     3.23    10.56     0.00     0.15    66.37    11.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   62   +4      70.80     3.26     4.80     0.00     0.01    29.24     6.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +14      70.16     3.28    15.44     0.00     0.00    29.63     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   57   -1      66.21     3.46    -1.45     0.00     0.00     3.70     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56   +8      65.37     3.41     7.70     0.00     0.00     3.04     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   56   +3      65.00     3.24     4.21     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   54  +11      61.74     3.22    10.24     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   53   -4      60.75     3.20    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   50  -12      58.03     3.26   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   47  -13      52.90     3.07   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   47  -19      54.72     3.24   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          39   42  -19      49.60     3.34   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.63  
Dag_&_Red            40   41  -26      47.67     3.12   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.29R    2.03  
Bradford             40   40   -7      46.57     3.06    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.40R    2.95  
Plymouth             40   40  -16      47.58     3.14   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.80R    2.38  
Barnet               40   39  -26      45.63     3.10   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.89R   10.36  
Macclesfield         40   36  -17      42.39     3.05   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.40R   31.67  
Hereford             40   35  -23      41.66     3.10   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.73R   49.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Lincoln_City vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     41   98  +57     106.12     2.92    58.89    84.95   100.00    89.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   90  +50     101.09     3.09    54.60    15.05   100.00    45.67P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   74  +28      82.26     2.94    30.21     0.00    93.19    14.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   70  +32      80.15     3.23    34.89     0.00    80.70    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          41   70   +3      76.52     2.93     2.34     0.00    23.05     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.74     3.31    36.72     0.00    83.84    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +16      74.89     2.88    17.62     0.00    13.14     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   64  +18      71.82     2.91    19.46     0.00     1.79     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   64   +5      72.62     3.23     5.45     0.00     3.93     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   61  +17      68.39     2.90    17.77     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   60  +11      69.23     3.20    12.52     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   57   -1      61.95     2.80    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   55  -12      61.57     2.96   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   49  -10      56.09     3.14   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   47  -23      51.58     2.64   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           41   46  -19      52.54     2.90   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       41   42  -11      48.84     2.88   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Newport_County     39   41   -9      50.33     3.43    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        41   41  -17      46.46     2.84   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Stockport          41   41  -22      48.00     2.96   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   37  -28      41.61     2.71   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.13R    0.00  
Darlington         40   30  -21      38.51     3.17   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.49R    1.05  
Kettering          41   29  -48      33.28     2.63   -52.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.32R   16.40  
Bath_City          41   24  -46      29.07     2.82   -48.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   82.55  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3