Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 3 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2012, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   76  +49      91.70     2.94    59.42    89.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   71  +50      85.15     3.23    57.80    10.25    99.79    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +21      71.56     3.35    27.73     0.00     0.15    50.00    83.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +20      71.23     3.44    25.77     0.00     0.06    41.21    82.67    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   53  +17      67.01     3.17    24.38     0.00     0.00     8.46    30.60    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   53   +4      62.57     3.38     3.85     0.00     0.00     0.34     2.92    92.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43   +0      53.13     3.41     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   42   +3      53.87     3.49     6.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.15     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      31   41   +5      50.35     3.37     4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   39   -3      47.83     3.35    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   39   -4      47.98     3.36    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         31   39   -7      45.60     3.23   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           31   38  -14      47.06     3.41   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       31   36   -7      44.65     3.34    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   33   -9      42.93     3.60   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70R    0.00  
Bolton          30   29  -24      38.00     3.67   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.82R    0.49  
QPR             31   28  -19      33.46     2.90   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.35R    4.64  
Blackburn       31   28  -21      35.59     3.27   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.82R    1.76  
Wigan           31   28  -26      33.54     2.93   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.63R    9.03  
Wolverhampton   31   22  -35      27.73     3.12   -41.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R   84.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Burnley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      40   78  +34      88.47     3.23    37.28    72.70    95.13   100.00    96.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   76  +24      85.55     3.18    25.96    23.44    75.22   100.00    82.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         40   72  +21      82.20     3.24    23.80     3.81    27.78    99.91    50.03P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   66  +23      76.12     3.18    25.76     0.05     1.78    93.81    31.97P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   63  +13      73.13     3.31    16.01     0.00     0.07    72.74    15.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   63   +8      70.46     3.17     6.99     0.00     0.01    33.20     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   63   +3      71.53     3.19     3.56     0.00     0.01    44.48     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   61   +7      70.83     3.26     9.43     0.00     0.00    41.94     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   58   +2      66.37     3.13     2.35     0.00     0.00     4.80     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   57   +0      64.88     3.22    -0.74     0.00     0.00     2.53     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   57   -7      64.40     3.25    -8.31     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   56   +7      64.98     3.27     8.11     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   56   -8      63.31     3.17    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   55   -5      63.09     3.28    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   54   +1      60.56     2.99    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   53   +5      62.23     3.21     6.34     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   47   -4      54.62     3.30    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -16      52.34     3.07   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   43  -15      50.78     3.18   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.00  
Millwall         40   41  -10      48.66     3.20   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.20R    0.06  
Coventry         40   38  -15      45.49     3.10   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    1.79  
Bristol_City     40   37  -29      43.21     3.00   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.97R    7.15  
Portsmouth       40   33   -7      41.20     3.14    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.97R   18.89  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.98     3.03   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.71R   72.11  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        40   85  +41      96.52     3.14    45.96    89.71    98.95   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   79  +36      90.35     3.17    40.70     9.24    73.24   100.00    82.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   77  +24      86.80     3.21    26.42     0.73    16.93   100.00    38.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    40   74  +34      85.06     3.23    38.31     0.31    10.84   100.00    42.72P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   67  +30      77.14     3.27    32.80     0.00     0.04    95.69    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        39   64   +0      73.43     3.51    -0.34     0.00     0.00    61.68     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   60   +5      69.00     3.28     6.17     0.00     0.00    13.35     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   59  +17      69.13     3.50    17.81     0.00     0.00    19.62     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   59   +9      68.02     3.25    10.23     0.00     0.00     9.60     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   53   -1      61.41     3.25    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      40   50   -4      57.64     3.13    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth     40   50   -5      57.68     3.19    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   48   -3      55.51     3.13    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Oldham          40   48  -13      55.14     3.17   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87R    0.00  
Yeovil          40   47  -14      54.48     3.15   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Preston         40   47  -14      53.74     3.18   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.67R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   46   -1      53.96     3.20    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.00  
Bury            40   46  -19      52.71     3.16   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.98R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   46  -19      53.75     3.18   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66R    0.00  
Walsall         40   43   -4      50.19     3.08    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.22R    0.02  
Wycombe         40   41  -15      47.72     3.14   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.12R    0.34  
Rochdale        40   35  -27      42.09     3.15   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.61R   22.91  
Exeter          40   35  -29      41.30     3.06   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   31.26  
Chesterfield    40   33  -28      39.96     3.20   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.07R   45.47  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Barnet vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              39   80  +38      93.24     3.42    43.35    93.05    99.73   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.56     3.27    16.98     2.08    57.07    99.99    68.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   72  +21      84.45     3.55    25.38     2.49    61.71    99.95    71.51P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   72  +20      84.43     3.49    24.06     2.29    60.18    99.99    72.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.67     3.15    25.79     0.09    20.88    99.63    45.92P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   65  +17      73.31     3.26    17.20     0.00     0.27    66.74    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.61     3.23    10.54     0.00     0.14    66.44    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   62   +4      70.78     3.27     4.76     0.00     0.02    29.25     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +14      70.14     3.27    15.40     0.00     0.01    29.32     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   57   -1      66.21     3.46    -1.44     0.00     0.00     3.70     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56   +8      65.36     3.43     7.69     0.00     0.00     3.08     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   56   +3      65.03     3.26     4.25     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   54  +11      61.74     3.22    10.29     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   53   -4      60.75     3.20    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   50  -12      58.03     3.26   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   47  -13      52.91     3.07   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   47  -19      54.71     3.24   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          39   42  -19      49.59     3.36   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.76  
Dag_&_Red            40   41  -26      47.74     3.12   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.00R    2.00  
Bradford             40   40   -7      46.60     3.06    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.06R    2.86  
Plymouth             40   40  -16      47.59     3.15   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.84R    2.41  
Barnet               40   39  -26      45.63     3.11   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.25R   10.19  
Macclesfield         40   36  -17      42.38     3.05   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.67R   32.11  
Hereford             40   35  -23      41.69     3.10   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.40R   49.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 April 2012, Lincoln_City vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     41   98  +57     106.13     2.93    58.90    84.75   100.00    89.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   90  +50     101.09     3.09    54.58    15.25   100.00    45.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   74  +28      82.25     2.96    30.19     0.00    92.87    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   70  +32      80.16     3.24    34.90     0.00    80.67    16.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          41   70   +3      76.50     2.96     2.31     0.00    22.81     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.77     3.32    36.76     0.00    84.00    28.33P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +16      74.91     2.89    17.64     0.00    13.57     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   64  +18      71.85     2.92    19.54     0.00     1.80     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   64   +5      72.60     3.22     5.42     0.00     3.88     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   61  +17      68.37     2.91    17.74     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   60  +11      69.20     3.21    12.47     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   57   -1      61.95     2.81    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   55  -12      61.60     2.96   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   49  -10      56.05     3.14   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   47  -23      51.60     2.62   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           41   46  -19      52.53     2.91   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       41   42  -11      48.85     2.89   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Newport_County     39   41   -9      50.27     3.43    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        41   41  -17      46.50     2.85   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Stockport          41   41  -22      47.99     2.96   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   37  -28      41.62     2.68   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.95R    0.00  
Darlington         40   30  -21      38.51     3.17   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.80R    0.97  
Kettering          41   29  -48      33.28     2.63   -52.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   16.54  
Bath_City          41   24  -46      29.08     2.81   -48.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   82.49  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3