Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 2 April 2012 at 23:51:10 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2012, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 31 76 +49 91.75 2.94 59.50 89.85 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 71 +50 85.14 3.25 57.77 10.15 99.77 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 58 +21 71.57 3.35 27.76 0.00 0.17 49.94 84.03 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 58 +20 71.25 3.45 25.80 0.00 0.06 41.54 82.80 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 53 +17 66.97 3.18 24.34 0.00 0.00 8.18 30.20 99.59 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 31 53 +4 62.55 3.40 3.79 0.00 0.00 0.35 2.97 91.89 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 43 +0 53.13 3.40 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.30 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 42 +3 53.97 3.48 6.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.40 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 31 41 +5 50.34 3.38 4.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 39 -3 47.82 3.34 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 Swansea 31 39 -4 47.99 3.35 -5.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 Norwich 31 39 -7 45.61 3.25 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 31 38 -14 47.06 3.40 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02R 0.00 West_Brom 31 36 -7 44.67 3.33 -8.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 33 -9 42.85 3.59 -11.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77R 0.00 Bolton 30 29 -24 37.99 3.67 -27.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.98R 0.48 QPR 31 28 -19 33.47 2.89 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.21R 4.51 Blackburn 31 28 -21 35.54 3.26 -24.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.11R 1.88 Wigan 31 28 -26 33.54 2.93 -33.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.35R 9.22 Wolverhampton 31 22 -35 27.73 3.12 -41.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.34R 83.92Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 40 78 +34 88.44 3.21 37.22 72.64 95.11 100.00 96.57P 0.00 0.00 Reading 40 76 +24 85.57 3.17 25.98 23.63 76.10 100.00 83.62P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 40 72 +21 82.18 3.25 23.78 3.70 27.78 99.94 50.17P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 63 +21 74.46 3.46 23.71 0.03 0.92 84.45 27.74P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 63 +13 73.11 3.31 15.94 0.00 0.07 73.73 16.76P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 40 63 +8 70.49 3.17 7.03 0.00 0.01 35.33 5.58P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 40 63 +3 71.56 3.22 3.59 0.00 0.01 46.86 7.82P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 40 61 +7 70.83 3.24 9.42 0.00 0.00 43.38 8.90P 0.00 0.00 Hull 40 58 +2 66.37 3.13 2.35 0.00 0.00 5.17 0.93P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 40 57 +0 64.86 3.22 -0.77 0.00 0.00 2.67 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Watford 40 57 -7 64.38 3.21 -8.32 0.00 0.00 2.09 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 40 56 +7 64.99 3.25 8.14 0.00 0.00 3.09 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Derby 40 56 -8 63.31 3.18 -9.36 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 40 55 -5 63.12 3.28 -5.20 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 40 54 +1 60.57 3.02 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 39 53 +7 63.57 3.46 8.30 0.00 0.00 1.95 0.43P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 47 -4 54.61 3.27 -5.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Barnsley 40 46 -16 52.33 3.07 -18.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 40 43 -15 50.77 3.15 -15.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.71R 0.00 Millwall 40 41 -10 48.64 3.19 -10.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.41R 0.06 Coventry 40 38 -15 45.51 3.11 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.34R 1.76 Bristol_City 40 37 -29 43.25 2.99 -31.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.53R 6.89 Portsmouth 40 33 -7 41.23 3.14 -6.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.72R 18.62 Doncaster 40 32 -32 37.95 3.01 -35.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.88R 72.67 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 40 85 +41 96.51 3.14 45.93 89.72 99.13 100.00 99.38P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 40 79 +36 90.38 3.15 40.71 9.31 76.29 100.00 84.91P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 77 +24 86.82 3.24 26.44 0.80 17.58 100.00 38.69P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 39 71 +32 83.79 3.50 36.82 0.16 6.98 99.95 40.16P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 67 +30 77.08 3.26 32.72 0.00 0.03 95.96 23.23P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 64 +0 73.39 3.50 -0.38 0.00 0.00 63.21 7.68P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 60 +5 69.02 3.25 6.19 0.00 0.00 14.26 1.87P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 59 +17 69.17 3.49 17.88 0.00 0.00 20.64 3.16P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 56 +7 66.62 3.52 8.51 0.00 0.00 5.88 0.91P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 53 -1 61.41 3.24 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 40 50 -4 57.67 3.12 -4.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Bournemouth 40 50 -5 57.66 3.18 -5.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Tranmere 40 48 -3 55.53 3.13 -3.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71R 0.00 Oldham 39 48 -11 56.27 3.44 -12.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14R 0.00 Yeovil 40 47 -14 54.45 3.14 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.46R 0.00 Preston 40 47 -14 53.77 3.19 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.80R 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 46 -1 53.99 3.21 -1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.30R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 46 -17 54.74 3.43 -18.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.13R 0.00 Bury 40 46 -19 52.71 3.15 -21.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.15R 0.00 Walsall 40 43 -4 50.23 3.09 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.22R 0.02 Wycombe 40 41 -15 47.69 3.14 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.48R 0.27 Rochdale 40 35 -27 42.10 3.17 -28.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.71R 22.90 Exeter 40 35 -29 41.26 3.07 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.62R 31.92 Chesterfield 40 33 -28 39.98 3.18 -29.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.14R 44.90League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 38 77 +36 92.29 3.65 42.36 88.72 99.08 100.00 99.47P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 75 +15 84.63 3.27 17.06 3.16 58.04 99.99 69.59P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 72 +21 84.48 3.55 25.42 4.18 62.14 99.94 71.74P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 72 +20 84.45 3.47 24.11 3.65 60.09 99.97 72.62P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 70 +22 80.62 3.16 25.73 0.29 20.27 99.58 45.22P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 65 +17 73.34 3.26 17.24 0.00 0.23 67.03 15.01P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 40 65 +10 73.57 3.23 10.48 0.00 0.14 65.99 11.04P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 40 62 +4 70.81 3.28 4.79 0.00 0.01 29.77 6.36P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 40 61 +14 70.15 3.24 15.42 0.00 0.00 29.25 7.26P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 57 -1 66.22 3.47 -1.42 0.00 0.00 3.69 0.66P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 39 56 +8 65.35 3.42 7.68 0.00 0.00 2.96 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 40 56 +3 65.04 3.24 4.25 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 40 54 +11 61.76 3.21 10.28 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 53 -4 60.76 3.20 -4.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 40 50 -12 58.05 3.26 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 40 47 -13 52.87 3.07 -16.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Burton_Albion 40 47 -19 54.71 3.23 -19.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Northampton 39 42 -19 49.62 3.37 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.83R 0.76 Dag_&_Red 40 41 -26 47.70 3.11 -28.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.52R 2.13 Bradford 40 40 -7 46.60 3.07 -9.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.86R 3.19 Plymouth 40 40 -16 47.58 3.16 -16.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.51R 2.47 Barnet 39 39 -24 46.37 3.30 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.84R 7.88 Macclesfield 40 36 -17 42.36 3.04 -19.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.30R 32.80 Hereford 40 35 -23 41.65 3.10 -25.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.09R 50.78Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 41 98 +57 106.11 2.95 58.87 84.69 100.00 89.57P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 90 +50 101.08 3.08 54.59 15.31 100.00 45.24P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 74 +28 82.25 2.94 30.19 0.00 92.53 14.72P 0.00 0.00 York 39 70 +33 81.88 3.54 36.40 0.00 89.06 19.26P 0.00 0.00 Southport 41 70 +3 76.49 2.94 2.29 0.00 19.38 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 67 +30 80.80 3.32 36.81 0.00 82.87 27.56P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 67 +16 74.93 2.88 17.67 0.00 11.39 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 64 +18 71.86 2.90 19.54 0.00 1.39 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 64 +5 72.61 3.21 5.46 0.00 3.23 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 61 +17 68.34 2.91 17.70 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 57 +10 67.42 3.48 11.28 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 41 57 -1 61.95 2.81 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 41 55 -12 61.60 2.96 -12.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 40 49 -10 56.07 3.14 -12.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 41 47 -23 51.58 2.61 -27.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 41 46 -19 52.59 2.91 -19.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 42 -10 50.29 3.18 -9.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 AFC_Telford 41 41 -17 46.45 2.84 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82R 0.00 Stockport 41 41 -22 47.97 2.98 -21.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58R 0.00 Newport_County 38 38 -10 48.39 3.66 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 41 37 -28 41.60 2.69 -32.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.88R 0.00 Darlington 40 30 -21 38.50 3.16 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.40R 0.98 Kettering 41 29 -48 33.30 2.64 -52.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.25R 16.41 Bath_City 41 24 -46 29.04 2.81 -48.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 82.61 Adjustments: Darlington -10 Kettering -3