Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 2 April 2012 at 23:51:10 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 April 2012, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   76  +49      91.75     2.94    59.50    89.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   71  +50      85.14     3.25    57.77    10.15    99.77    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +21      71.57     3.35    27.76     0.00     0.17    49.94    84.03    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +20      71.25     3.45    25.80     0.00     0.06    41.54    82.80    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   53  +17      66.97     3.18    24.34     0.00     0.00     8.18    30.20    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   53   +4      62.55     3.40     3.79     0.00     0.00     0.35     2.97    91.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43   +0      53.13     3.40     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   42   +3      53.97     3.48     6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      31   41   +5      50.34     3.38     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   39   -3      47.82     3.34    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   39   -4      47.99     3.35    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         31   39   -7      45.61     3.25   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           31   38  -14      47.06     3.40   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       31   36   -7      44.67     3.33    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   33   -9      42.85     3.59   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Bolton          30   29  -24      37.99     3.67   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.98R    0.48  
QPR             31   28  -19      33.47     2.89   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.21R    4.51  
Blackburn       31   28  -21      35.54     3.26   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.11R    1.88  
Wigan           31   28  -26      33.54     2.93   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.35R    9.22  
Wolverhampton   31   22  -35      27.73     3.12   -41.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.34R   83.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      40   78  +34      88.44     3.21    37.22    72.64    95.11   100.00    96.57P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   76  +24      85.57     3.17    25.98    23.63    76.10   100.00    83.62P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         40   72  +21      82.18     3.25    23.78     3.70    27.78    99.94    50.17P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   63  +21      74.46     3.46    23.71     0.03     0.92    84.45    27.74P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   63  +13      73.11     3.31    15.94     0.00     0.07    73.73    16.76P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   63   +8      70.49     3.17     7.03     0.00     0.01    35.33     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   63   +3      71.56     3.22     3.59     0.00     0.01    46.86     7.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   61   +7      70.83     3.24     9.42     0.00     0.00    43.38     8.90P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   58   +2      66.37     3.13     2.35     0.00     0.00     5.17     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   57   +0      64.86     3.22    -0.77     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   57   -7      64.38     3.21    -8.32     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   56   +7      64.99     3.25     8.14     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   56   -8      63.31     3.18    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   55   -5      63.12     3.28    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   54   +1      60.57     3.02    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   53   +7      63.57     3.46     8.30     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   47   -4      54.61     3.27    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -16      52.33     3.07   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   43  -15      50.77     3.15   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Millwall         40   41  -10      48.64     3.19   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.41R    0.06  
Coventry         40   38  -15      45.51     3.11   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.34R    1.76  
Bristol_City     40   37  -29      43.25     2.99   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.53R    6.89  
Portsmouth       40   33   -7      41.23     3.14    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.72R   18.62  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.95     3.01   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.88R   72.67  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        40   85  +41      96.51     3.14    45.93    89.72    99.13   100.00    99.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   79  +36      90.38     3.15    40.71     9.31    76.29   100.00    84.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   77  +24      86.82     3.24    26.44     0.80    17.58   100.00    38.69P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   71  +32      83.79     3.50    36.82     0.16     6.98    99.95    40.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   67  +30      77.08     3.26    32.72     0.00     0.03    95.96    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        39   64   +0      73.39     3.50    -0.38     0.00     0.00    63.21     7.68P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   60   +5      69.02     3.25     6.19     0.00     0.00    14.26     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   59  +17      69.17     3.49    17.88     0.00     0.00    20.64     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   56   +7      66.62     3.52     8.51     0.00     0.00     5.88     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   53   -1      61.41     3.24    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      40   50   -4      57.67     3.12    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth     40   50   -5      57.66     3.18    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   48   -3      55.53     3.13    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Oldham          39   48  -11      56.27     3.44   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Yeovil          40   47  -14      54.45     3.14   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.00  
Preston         40   47  -14      53.77     3.19   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   46   -1      53.99     3.21    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   46  -17      54.74     3.43   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.00  
Bury            40   46  -19      52.71     3.15   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    0.00  
Walsall         40   43   -4      50.23     3.09    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.22R    0.02  
Wycombe         40   41  -15      47.69     3.14   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.48R    0.27  
Rochdale        40   35  -27      42.10     3.17   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.71R   22.90  
Exeter          40   35  -29      41.26     3.07   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   31.92  
Chesterfield    40   33  -28      39.98     3.18   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   44.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              38   77  +36      92.29     3.65    42.36    88.72    99.08   100.00    99.47P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.63     3.27    17.06     3.16    58.04    99.99    69.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   72  +21      84.48     3.55    25.42     4.18    62.14    99.94    71.74P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   72  +20      84.45     3.47    24.11     3.65    60.09    99.97    72.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.62     3.16    25.73     0.29    20.27    99.58    45.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   65  +17      73.34     3.26    17.24     0.00     0.23    67.03    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.57     3.23    10.48     0.00     0.14    65.99    11.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   62   +4      70.81     3.28     4.79     0.00     0.01    29.77     6.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +14      70.15     3.24    15.42     0.00     0.00    29.25     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   57   -1      66.22     3.47    -1.42     0.00     0.00     3.69     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56   +8      65.35     3.42     7.68     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   56   +3      65.04     3.24     4.25     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   54  +11      61.76     3.21    10.28     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   53   -4      60.76     3.20    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   50  -12      58.05     3.26   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   47  -13      52.87     3.07   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   47  -19      54.71     3.23   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          39   42  -19      49.62     3.37   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.76  
Dag_&_Red            40   41  -26      47.70     3.11   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.52R    2.13  
Bradford             40   40   -7      46.60     3.07    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    3.19  
Plymouth             40   40  -16      47.58     3.16   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.51R    2.47  
Barnet               39   39  -24      46.37     3.30   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.84R    7.88  
Macclesfield         40   36  -17      42.36     3.04   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.30R   32.80  
Hereford             40   35  -23      41.65     3.10   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.09R   50.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     41   98  +57     106.11     2.95    58.87    84.69   100.00    89.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   90  +50     101.08     3.08    54.59    15.31   100.00    45.24P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   74  +28      82.25     2.94    30.19     0.00    92.53    14.72P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   70  +33      81.88     3.54    36.40     0.00    89.06    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          41   70   +3      76.49     2.94     2.29     0.00    19.38     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.80     3.32    36.81     0.00    82.87    27.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +16      74.93     2.88    17.67     0.00    11.39     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   64  +18      71.86     2.90    19.54     0.00     1.39     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   64   +5      72.61     3.21     5.46     0.00     3.23     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   61  +17      68.34     2.91    17.70     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   57  +10      67.42     3.48    11.28     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   57   -1      61.95     2.81    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   55  -12      61.60     2.96   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   49  -10      56.07     3.14   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   47  -23      51.58     2.61   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           41   46  -19      52.59     2.91   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       40   42  -10      50.29     3.18    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        41   41  -17      46.45     2.84   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Stockport          41   41  -22      47.97     2.98   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Newport_County     38   38  -10      48.39     3.66   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   37  -28      41.60     2.69   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.88R    0.00  
Darlington         40   30  -21      38.50     3.16   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.40R    0.98  
Kettering          41   29  -48      33.30     2.64   -52.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   16.41  
Bath_City          41   24  -46      29.04     2.81   -48.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   82.61  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3