Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 April 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 April 2012, Newcastle vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   73  +47      91.04     3.19    59.10    86.23   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   71  +50      85.12     3.25    57.76    13.77    99.75    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +21      71.56     3.36    27.75     0.00     0.18    50.15    83.70    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +20      71.21     3.44    25.75     0.00     0.07    41.28    82.74    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   53  +17      66.98     3.19    24.37     0.00     0.00     8.15    30.49    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   53   +4      62.56     3.41     3.79     0.00     0.00     0.42     3.07    92.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43   +0      53.12     3.40     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   42   +3      53.93     3.49     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      31   41   +5      50.34     3.38     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   39   -3      47.83     3.34    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         31   39   -4      47.92     3.33    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         31   39   -7      45.64     3.23   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           31   38  -14      47.06     3.40   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom       31   36   -7      44.68     3.33    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   33   -9      42.91     3.60   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
Bolton          30   29  -24      38.00     3.67   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.93R    0.47  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.11     3.43   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.56R    1.40  
QPR             31   28  -19      33.47     2.89   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.94R    4.70  
Wigan           31   28  -26      33.54     2.95   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.88R    9.10  
Wolverhampton   31   22  -35      27.74     3.11   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.51R   84.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      40   78  +34      88.44     3.21    37.21    72.75    95.16   100.00    96.74P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   76  +24      85.57     3.18    25.97    23.49    76.12   100.00    83.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         40   72  +21      82.17     3.23    23.79     3.74    27.72    99.94    50.23P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   63  +21      74.40     3.48    23.63     0.02     0.91    84.16    27.50P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   63  +13      73.07     3.31    15.89     0.00     0.07    73.42    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   63   +8      70.48     3.16     7.03     0.00     0.01    35.39     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   63   +3      71.54     3.19     3.55     0.00     0.01    46.61     7.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   61   +7      70.82     3.25     9.41     0.00     0.00    43.80     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   58   +2      66.37     3.12     2.34     0.00     0.00     5.22     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   57   +0      64.86     3.20    -0.75     0.00     0.00     2.73     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   57   -7      64.44     3.23    -8.29     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   56   +7      64.98     3.27     8.11     0.00     0.00     2.98     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   56   -8      63.34     3.18    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   55   -5      63.07     3.28    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   54   +1      60.63     3.02    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   53   +7      63.63     3.48     8.42     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   47   -4      54.62     3.29    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -16      52.37     3.07   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   43  -15      50.83     3.17   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Millwall         40   41  -10      48.66     3.18   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.16R    0.05  
Coventry         40   38  -15      45.49     3.11   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.03R    1.81  
Bristol_City     40   37  -29      43.20     2.99   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.06R    6.90  
Portsmouth       40   33   -7      41.20     3.16    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.93R   18.92  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.93     2.99   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R   72.32  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        40   85  +41      96.53     3.15    45.97    89.81    99.18   100.00    99.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   79  +36      90.39     3.14    40.75     9.24    76.44   100.00    84.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   77  +24      86.83     3.21    26.46     0.72    17.37   100.00    38.57P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   71  +32      83.83     3.51    36.87     0.23     6.96    99.96    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   67  +30      77.13     3.27    32.79     0.00     0.05    95.90    23.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        39   64   +0      73.39     3.49    -0.39     0.00     0.00    63.07     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   60   +5      69.06     3.26     6.25     0.00     0.00    14.47     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   59  +17      69.18     3.49    17.88     0.00     0.00    20.71     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   56   +7      66.57     3.52     8.48     0.00     0.00     5.80     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   53   -1      61.38     3.24    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      40   50   -4      57.67     3.12    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth     40   50   -5      57.66     3.17    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   48   -3      55.51     3.15    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Oldham          39   48  -11      56.24     3.43   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Yeovil          40   47  -14      54.42     3.14   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.50R    0.00  
Preston         40   47  -14      53.77     3.18   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   46   -1      53.95     3.19    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.37R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   46  -17      54.72     3.42   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.00  
Bury            40   46  -19      52.70     3.16   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.19R    0.00  
Walsall         40   43   -4      50.22     3.08    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.27R    0.01  
Wycombe         40   41  -15      47.68     3.15   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.52R    0.35  
Rochdale        40   35  -27      42.09     3.16   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.61R   23.01  
Exeter          40   35  -29      41.27     3.07   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   32.04  
Chesterfield    40   33  -28      40.00     3.18   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.20R   44.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              38   77  +36      92.24     3.68    42.29    88.15    99.10   100.00    99.44P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.58     3.27    17.00     3.42    57.60    99.98    68.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   72  +21      84.46     3.56    25.37     4.30    61.77    99.94    71.57P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   72  +20      84.47     3.48    24.11     3.86    60.82    99.97    73.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.60     3.14    25.70     0.27    20.30    99.61    45.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   65  +17      73.32     3.24    17.21     0.00     0.27    67.03    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.59     3.23    10.52     0.00     0.13    66.19    11.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   62   +4      70.79     3.25     4.74     0.00     0.00    29.21     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +14      70.15     3.27    15.43     0.00     0.00    29.52     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   57   -1      66.23     3.47    -1.40     0.00     0.00     3.74     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56   +8      65.35     3.42     7.68     0.00     0.00     2.99     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   56   +3      65.01     3.25     4.19     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   54  +11      61.76     3.23    10.27     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   53   -4      60.77     3.19    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   50  -12      58.01     3.26   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   47  -13      52.89     3.05   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   47  -19      54.69     3.22   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          39   42  -19      49.64     3.38   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.74  
Dag_&_Red            40   41  -26      47.72     3.10   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.64R    2.07  
Bradford             40   40   -7      46.61     3.07    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.81R    3.14  
Plymouth             40   40  -16      47.64     3.18   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.37R    2.48  
Barnet               39   39  -24      46.38     3.34   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.05R    7.98  
Macclesfield         40   36  -17      42.38     3.07   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.98R   32.99  
Hereford             40   35  -23      41.67     3.12   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.16R   50.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     41   98  +57     106.10     2.94    58.86    84.74   100.00    89.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   90  +50     101.12     3.09    54.61    15.26   100.00    44.75P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   74  +28      82.29     2.94    30.27     0.00    92.69    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   70  +33      81.86     3.52    36.39     0.00    89.18    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          41   70   +3      76.46     2.93     2.28     0.00    18.95     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.77     3.32    36.80     0.00    83.01    27.48P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +16      74.92     2.88    17.65     0.00    11.52     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   64  +18      71.85     2.90    19.51     0.00     1.37     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   64   +5      72.63     3.21     5.46     0.00     3.15     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   61  +17      68.32     2.90    17.69     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   57  +10      67.45     3.47    11.32     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   57   -1      61.95     2.80    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   55  -12      61.63     2.97   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   49  -10      56.06     3.14   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   47  -23      51.58     2.63   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           41   46  -19      52.55     2.90   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       40   42  -10      50.29     3.16    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        41   41  -17      46.51     2.85   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Stockport          41   41  -22      47.95     2.95   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Newport_County     38   38  -10      48.36     3.69   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   37  -28      41.62     2.70   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.71R    0.00  
Darlington         40   30  -21      38.53     3.17   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.23R    0.95  
Kettering          41   29  -48      33.26     2.63   -52.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.27R   16.64  
Bath_City          41   24  -46      29.09     2.82   -48.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   82.41  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3