Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 31 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 73 +47 90.98 3.20 59.01 85.40 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 71 +50 85.21 3.25 57.89 14.60 99.84 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 58 +21 71.53 3.33 27.72 0.00 0.11 55.61 85.68 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 55 +18 70.23 3.70 24.65 0.00 0.05 33.97 76.08 99.92 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 53 +17 66.98 3.19 24.34 0.00 0.00 10.19 36.20 99.38 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 30 50 +2 60.72 3.66 1.47 0.00 0.00 0.24 2.00 74.75 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 43 +0 53.18 3.41 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.35 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 42 +5 55.50 3.75 8.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 18.71 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 31 41 +5 50.33 3.37 4.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 39 -2 48.74 3.54 -4.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 31 39 -3 47.80 3.35 -4.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00R 0.00 Norwich 31 39 -7 45.57 3.23 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 31 38 -14 47.13 3.42 -14.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02R 0.00 West_Brom 31 36 -7 44.64 3.33 -9.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23R 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 33 -9 42.87 3.61 -11.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82R 0.00 Bolton 30 29 -24 38.02 3.68 -27.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.87R 0.53 Blackburn 30 28 -19 36.02 3.43 -24.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.55R 1.55 QPR 31 28 -19 33.45 2.89 -26.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.90R 4.71 Wigan 31 28 -26 33.59 2.93 -33.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.12R 8.99 Wolverhampton 31 22 -35 27.75 3.12 -41.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.47R 84.22Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 40 78 +34 88.42 3.21 37.21 72.40 95.21 100.00 96.71P 0.00 0.00 Reading 40 76 +24 85.58 3.16 25.99 23.78 76.23 100.00 83.37P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 40 72 +21 82.19 3.23 23.81 3.81 27.64 99.93 50.06P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 63 +21 74.42 3.47 23.65 0.01 0.83 83.87 27.45P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 40 63 +13 73.16 3.32 16.05 0.00 0.07 73.79 16.89P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 40 63 +8 70.52 3.17 7.10 0.00 0.02 35.82 5.82P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 40 63 +3 71.58 3.20 3.62 0.00 0.01 46.53 7.88P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 40 61 +7 70.81 3.28 9.40 0.00 0.00 43.40 9.07P 0.00 0.00 Hull 40 58 +2 66.37 3.12 2.35 0.00 0.00 5.20 0.82P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 40 57 +0 64.83 3.21 -0.80 0.00 0.00 2.72 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Watford 40 57 -7 64.41 3.22 -8.31 0.00 0.00 2.17 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 40 56 +7 65.00 3.27 8.12 0.00 0.00 3.03 0.57P 0.00 0.00 Derby 40 56 -8 63.33 3.20 -9.34 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 40 55 -5 63.14 3.25 -5.15 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 40 54 +1 60.61 3.02 -1.07 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 39 53 +7 63.58 3.49 8.32 0.00 0.00 2.15 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 47 -4 54.61 3.29 -5.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Barnsley 40 46 -16 52.31 3.06 -18.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 40 43 -15 50.78 3.16 -15.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.62R 0.00 Millwall 40 41 -10 48.65 3.17 -10.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.85R 0.04 Coventry 40 38 -15 45.49 3.08 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.11R 1.72 Bristol_City 40 37 -29 43.20 2.98 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.14R 6.85 Portsmouth 40 33 -7 41.20 3.15 -6.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.05R 18.55 Doncaster 40 32 -32 37.91 3.01 -35.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.86R 72.84 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 40 85 +41 96.51 3.14 45.97 89.71 99.17 100.00 99.44P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 40 79 +36 90.39 3.16 40.75 9.42 76.44 100.00 85.09P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 77 +24 86.81 3.22 26.42 0.71 17.40 100.00 38.95P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 39 71 +32 83.81 3.48 36.85 0.16 6.95 99.96 39.86P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 67 +30 77.11 3.26 32.75 0.00 0.03 95.97 23.46P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 64 +0 73.38 3.51 -0.44 0.00 0.00 63.06 7.20P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 60 +5 69.01 3.28 6.17 0.00 0.00 14.28 1.80P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 59 +17 69.17 3.48 17.87 0.00 0.00 20.74 3.16P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 56 +7 66.65 3.52 8.57 0.00 0.00 5.92 1.02P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 53 -1 61.43 3.25 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 40 50 -4 57.64 3.10 -4.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Bournemouth 40 50 -5 57.71 3.18 -5.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Tranmere 40 48 -3 55.51 3.14 -3.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67R 0.00 Oldham 39 48 -11 56.26 3.45 -12.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19R 0.00 Yeovil 40 47 -14 54.45 3.14 -15.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.00 Preston 40 47 -14 53.76 3.18 -16.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.66R 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 46 -1 53.96 3.20 -1.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.34R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 46 -17 54.80 3.43 -18.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.92R 0.00 Bury 40 46 -19 52.64 3.14 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.24R 0.00 Walsall 40 43 -4 50.20 3.09 -5.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.71R 0.02 Wycombe 40 41 -15 47.71 3.14 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.31R 0.31 Rochdale 40 35 -27 42.04 3.15 -28.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.72R 23.49 Exeter 40 35 -29 41.27 3.05 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.67R 31.75 Chesterfield 40 33 -28 40.02 3.20 -29.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.07R 44.42League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 38 77 +36 92.35 3.65 42.44 88.82 99.22 100.00 99.55P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 75 +15 84.57 3.27 17.00 3.25 57.48 99.98 69.05P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 72 +21 84.45 3.53 25.36 3.93 61.86 99.94 71.74P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 72 +20 84.46 3.47 24.09 3.73 60.71 99.96 73.18P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 70 +22 80.62 3.13 25.73 0.26 20.35 99.61 45.67P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 65 +17 73.30 3.25 17.19 0.00 0.29 66.66 14.67P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 40 65 +10 73.56 3.25 10.46 0.00 0.10 65.89 10.96P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 40 62 +4 70.82 3.28 4.81 0.00 0.01 29.97 6.31P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 40 61 +14 70.13 3.28 15.38 0.00 0.00 29.35 7.11P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 57 -1 66.20 3.47 -1.44 0.00 0.00 3.68 0.73P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 39 56 +8 65.35 3.42 7.66 0.00 0.00 3.01 0.61P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 40 56 +3 65.02 3.26 4.23 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 40 54 +11 61.77 3.21 10.29 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 53 -4 60.74 3.20 -4.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 40 50 -12 58.03 3.26 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 40 47 -13 52.89 3.06 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 40 47 -19 54.68 3.22 -19.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Northampton 39 42 -19 49.59 3.37 -22.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.91R 0.83 Dag_&_Red 40 41 -26 47.75 3.12 -28.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.57R 1.99 Bradford 40 40 -7 46.60 3.06 -9.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.98R 3.14 Plymouth 40 40 -16 47.59 3.16 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.38R 2.52 Barnet 39 39 -24 46.37 3.33 -27.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.07R 8.01 Macclesfield 40 36 -17 42.38 3.04 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.26R 33.02 Hereford 40 35 -23 41.71 3.11 -25.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.80R 50.49Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 41 98 +57 106.09 2.95 58.85 84.37 100.00 89.57P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 90 +50 101.11 3.09 54.59 15.63 100.00 45.33P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 74 +28 82.26 2.95 30.20 0.00 92.41 14.56P 0.00 0.00 York 39 70 +33 81.87 3.53 36.42 0.00 89.20 19.73P 0.00 0.00 Southport 41 70 +3 76.47 2.95 2.28 0.00 19.13 1.36P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 67 +30 80.74 3.32 36.71 0.00 82.59 27.11P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 67 +16 74.93 2.89 17.67 0.00 11.82 1.81P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 64 +18 71.83 2.90 19.49 0.00 1.43 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 64 +5 72.64 3.22 5.49 0.00 3.32 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 61 +17 68.35 2.90 17.73 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 57 +10 67.39 3.47 11.23 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 41 57 -1 61.97 2.80 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 41 55 -12 61.61 2.95 -12.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 40 49 -10 56.09 3.14 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 41 47 -23 51.58 2.63 -27.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 41 46 -19 52.61 2.92 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 42 -10 50.25 3.18 -10.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 AFC_Telford 41 41 -17 46.48 2.84 -19.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.96R 0.00 Stockport 41 41 -22 48.01 2.98 -21.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54R 0.00 Newport_County 38 38 -10 48.33 3.66 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 41 37 -28 41.60 2.69 -32.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.15R 0.00 Darlington 40 30 -21 38.56 3.17 -20.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.94R 0.97 Kettering 41 29 -48 33.32 2.63 -52.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.22R 15.91 Bath_City 41 24 -46 29.04 2.81 -48.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 83.12 Adjustments: Darlington -10 Kettering -3