Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 31 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   73  +47      90.98     3.20    59.01    85.40   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   71  +50      85.21     3.25    57.89    14.60    99.84   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +21      71.53     3.33    27.72     0.00     0.11    55.61    85.68    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.23     3.70    24.65     0.00     0.05    33.97    76.08    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   53  +17      66.98     3.19    24.34     0.00     0.00    10.19    36.20    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   50   +2      60.72     3.66     1.47     0.00     0.00     0.24     2.00    74.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   43   +0      53.18     3.41     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.50     3.75     8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    18.71     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      31   41   +5      50.33     3.37     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.74     3.54    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          31   39   -3      47.80     3.35    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         31   39   -7      45.57     3.23   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           31   38  -14      47.13     3.42   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       31   36   -7      44.64     3.33    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   33   -9      42.87     3.61   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Bolton          30   29  -24      38.02     3.68   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.87R    0.53  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.02     3.43   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.55R    1.55  
QPR             31   28  -19      33.45     2.89   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.90R    4.71  
Wigan           31   28  -26      33.59     2.93   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.12R    8.99  
Wolverhampton   31   22  -35      27.75     3.12   -41.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   84.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      40   78  +34      88.42     3.21    37.21    72.40    95.21   100.00    96.71P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   76  +24      85.58     3.16    25.99    23.78    76.23   100.00    83.37P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         40   72  +21      82.19     3.23    23.81     3.81    27.64    99.93    50.06P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   63  +21      74.42     3.47    23.65     0.01     0.83    83.87    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   63  +13      73.16     3.32    16.05     0.00     0.07    73.79    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   63   +8      70.52     3.17     7.10     0.00     0.02    35.82     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   63   +3      71.58     3.20     3.62     0.00     0.01    46.53     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   61   +7      70.81     3.28     9.40     0.00     0.00    43.40     9.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   58   +2      66.37     3.12     2.35     0.00     0.00     5.20     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   57   +0      64.83     3.21    -0.80     0.00     0.00     2.72     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   57   -7      64.41     3.22    -8.31     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   56   +7      65.00     3.27     8.12     0.00     0.00     3.03     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            40   56   -8      63.33     3.20    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   55   -5      63.14     3.25    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   54   +1      60.61     3.02    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   53   +7      63.58     3.49     8.32     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   47   -4      54.61     3.29    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -16      52.31     3.06   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   43  -15      50.78     3.16   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.62R    0.00  
Millwall         40   41  -10      48.65     3.17   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.85R    0.04  
Coventry         40   38  -15      45.49     3.08   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.11R    1.72  
Bristol_City     40   37  -29      43.20     2.98   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.14R    6.85  
Portsmouth       40   33   -7      41.20     3.15    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.05R   18.55  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.91     3.01   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   72.84  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        40   85  +41      96.51     3.14    45.97    89.71    99.17   100.00    99.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   79  +36      90.39     3.16    40.75     9.42    76.44   100.00    85.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   77  +24      86.81     3.22    26.42     0.71    17.40   100.00    38.95P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    39   71  +32      83.81     3.48    36.85     0.16     6.95    99.96    39.86P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   67  +30      77.11     3.26    32.75     0.00     0.03    95.97    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        39   64   +0      73.38     3.51    -0.44     0.00     0.00    63.06     7.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    40   60   +5      69.01     3.28     6.17     0.00     0.00    14.28     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       39   59  +17      69.17     3.48    17.87     0.00     0.00    20.74     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   56   +7      66.65     3.52     8.57     0.00     0.00     5.92     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      40   53   -1      61.43     3.25    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      40   50   -4      57.64     3.10    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth     40   50   -5      57.71     3.18    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Tranmere        40   48   -3      55.51     3.14    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Oldham          39   48  -11      56.26     3.45   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Yeovil          40   47  -14      54.45     3.14   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Preston         40   47  -14      53.76     3.18   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.66R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      40   46   -1      53.96     3.20    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   46  -17      54.80     3.43   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.00  
Bury            40   46  -19      52.64     3.14   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.24R    0.00  
Walsall         40   43   -4      50.20     3.09    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.71R    0.02  
Wycombe         40   41  -15      47.71     3.14   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.31R    0.31  
Rochdale        40   35  -27      42.04     3.15   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   23.49  
Exeter          40   35  -29      41.27     3.05   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R   31.75  
Chesterfield    40   33  -28      40.02     3.20   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.07R   44.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              38   77  +36      92.35     3.65    42.44    88.82    99.22   100.00    99.55P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.57     3.27    17.00     3.25    57.48    99.98    69.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   72  +21      84.45     3.53    25.36     3.93    61.86    99.94    71.74P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   72  +20      84.46     3.47    24.09     3.73    60.71    99.96    73.18P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.62     3.13    25.73     0.26    20.35    99.61    45.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   65  +17      73.30     3.25    17.19     0.00     0.29    66.66    14.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.56     3.25    10.46     0.00     0.10    65.89    10.96P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   62   +4      70.82     3.28     4.81     0.00     0.01    29.97     6.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +14      70.13     3.28    15.38     0.00     0.00    29.35     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   57   -1      66.20     3.47    -1.44     0.00     0.00     3.68     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56   +8      65.35     3.42     7.66     0.00     0.00     3.01     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   56   +3      65.02     3.26     4.23     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   54  +11      61.77     3.21    10.29     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   53   -4      60.74     3.20    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       40   50  -12      58.03     3.26   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   47  -13      52.89     3.06   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   47  -19      54.68     3.22   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          39   42  -19      49.59     3.37   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.83  
Dag_&_Red            40   41  -26      47.75     3.12   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57R    1.99  
Bradford             40   40   -7      46.60     3.06    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.98R    3.14  
Plymouth             40   40  -16      47.59     3.16   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.38R    2.52  
Barnet               39   39  -24      46.37     3.33   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.07R    8.01  
Macclesfield         40   36  -17      42.38     3.04   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.26R   33.02  
Hereford             40   35  -23      41.71     3.11   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.80R   50.49  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     41   98  +57     106.09     2.95    58.85    84.37   100.00    89.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   90  +50     101.11     3.09    54.59    15.63   100.00    45.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   74  +28      82.26     2.95    30.20     0.00    92.41    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   70  +33      81.87     3.53    36.42     0.00    89.20    19.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          41   70   +3      76.47     2.95     2.28     0.00    19.13     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.74     3.32    36.71     0.00    82.59    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +16      74.93     2.89    17.67     0.00    11.82     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   64  +18      71.83     2.90    19.49     0.00     1.43     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   64   +5      72.64     3.22     5.49     0.00     3.32     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       41   61  +17      68.35     2.90    17.73     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   57  +10      67.39     3.47    11.23     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     41   57   -1      61.97     2.80    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   55  -12      61.61     2.95   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   49  -10      56.09     3.14   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      41   47  -23      51.58     2.63   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           41   46  -19      52.61     2.92   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City       40   42  -10      50.25     3.18   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        41   41  -17      46.48     2.84   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Stockport          41   41  -22      48.01     2.98   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Newport_County     38   38  -10      48.33     3.66   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   37  -28      41.60     2.69   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.15R    0.00  
Darlington         40   30  -21      38.56     3.17   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.94R    0.97  
Kettering          41   29  -48      33.32     2.63   -52.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   15.91  
Bath_City          41   24  -46      29.04     2.81   -48.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   83.12  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3