Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2012, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   73  +47      91.05     3.16    59.20    78.68    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   70  +50      86.57     3.43    59.41    21.32    99.47    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   58  +22      73.77     3.59    30.17     0.00     0.51    73.74    95.01   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.21     3.69    24.62     0.00     0.02    22.44    79.92    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   50  +15      65.69     3.46    22.77     0.00     0.00     3.73    23.06    98.40     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   50   +2      60.77     3.66     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.94    76.74     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.44     3.76     8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    19.25     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      30   40   +5      49.77     3.54     3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   40   -2      51.83     3.67    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.79     3.57    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         30   39   -6      46.54     3.50   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   38  -12      48.69     3.71   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          30   36   -4      46.71     3.64    -4.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       30   36   -5      45.68     3.57    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -7      43.88     3.84    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.07     3.41   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.75R    1.37  
Bolton          29   26  -25      36.23     3.94   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.99R    2.78  
QPR             30   25  -20      30.99     3.10   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.58R   19.64  
Wigan           30   25  -28      31.71     3.21   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.48R   21.03  
Wolverhampton   30   22  -34      29.17     3.42   -40.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.94R   55.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 March 2012, Doncaster vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      39   78  +37      90.04     3.50    40.57    84.37    97.22   100.00    98.10P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   73  +22      83.48     3.43    23.32     7.74    45.25    99.96    61.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         39   72  +23      83.86     3.52    26.23     7.88    56.30    99.98    70.39P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   63  +21      74.40     3.48    23.62     0.01     1.08    81.70    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   62   +8      71.09     3.46     7.40     0.00     0.07    40.16     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   62   +3      71.71     3.45     3.32     0.00     0.02    45.09     7.75P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   60  +10      71.35     3.60    12.72     0.00     0.03    48.58    10.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   60   +7      71.68     3.54    10.13     0.00     0.03    50.38    11.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   58   +4      68.27     3.39     5.07     0.00     0.00    14.20     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   57   +2      66.80     3.50     2.17     0.00     0.00     8.81     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +8      66.46     3.56     9.27     0.00     0.00     7.91     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            39   55   -8      63.59     3.44    -9.48     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   54   +4      62.26     3.32     2.39     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   54   -9      62.32     3.48   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -6      61.83     3.54    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   50   +3      61.63     3.73     3.88     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -15      53.33     3.36   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Peterborough     39   44   -5      52.93     3.58    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Millwall         39   40  -10      48.50     3.41   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.66R    0.13  
Nott'm_Forest    39   40  -18      48.79     3.40   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.66R    0.12  
Bristol_City     39   36  -29      43.72     3.30   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.75R    7.10  
Coventry         39   35  -17      43.29     3.32   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.25R    8.54  
Portsmouth       39   33   -3      42.87     3.42    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.92R    9.77  
Doncaster        40   32  -32      37.95     3.01   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.05R   74.36  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 March 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        39   82  +39      95.58     3.40    45.00    87.35    97.81   100.00    98.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   76  +35      89.16     3.45    40.34     9.63    63.18   100.00    76.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   74  +22      85.61     3.50    25.11     0.98    15.89    99.98    35.67P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71  +33      85.65     3.78    38.58     2.03    22.38    99.99    50.05P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   67  +31      79.00     3.51    34.52     0.01     0.74    98.81    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        38   61   -1      71.32     3.76    -2.10     0.00     0.00    45.13     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   58  +17      70.12     3.78    18.71     0.00     0.00    39.24     6.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57   +4      67.68     3.57     5.60     0.00     0.00    12.37     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   53   +6      64.39     3.76     6.66     0.00     0.00     3.79     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   52   -1      61.98     3.54    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      39   50   -3      58.61     3.37    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth     39   49   -5      58.38     3.48    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   -1      57.09     3.44    -1.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.26R    0.00  
Oldham          38   48  -10      57.46     3.70   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.54R    0.00  
Preston         39   47  -12      54.74     3.43   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
Yeovil          39   46  -14      54.41     3.42   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   46  -15      55.54     3.63   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   43   -4      52.32     3.50    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.85R    0.01  
Bury            39   43  -21      50.85     3.43   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.23R    0.06  
Walsall         39   42   -4      50.46     3.38    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.47R    0.15  
Wycombe         39   40  -15      47.64     3.40   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.83R    1.00  
Rochdale        39   34  -27      42.37     3.42   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.92R   27.54  
Exeter          39   34  -29      41.50     3.35   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.98R   37.92  
Chesterfield    39   33  -25      41.38     3.46   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.19R   33.33  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 March 2012, Barnet vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.49     3.88    43.64    89.36    99.26   100.00    99.57P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   75  +15      84.55     3.26    16.96     2.05    52.11    99.97    65.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         38   71  +21      85.13     3.83    25.87     4.16    64.70    99.91    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   71  +20      85.25     3.73    24.68     4.30    65.00    99.95    75.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   70  +22      80.61     3.15    25.69     0.12    17.69    99.36    43.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   65  +18      74.96     3.53    18.60     0.00     1.06    77.10    17.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   65  +10      73.56     3.24    10.47     0.00     0.12    59.50    10.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   61   +4      71.73     3.55     5.67     0.00     0.06    35.36     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   58  +12      69.08     3.52    14.26     0.00     0.00    16.68     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   56   +9      67.37     3.69     9.61     0.00     0.00     7.98     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   56   -1      66.11     3.67    -2.07     0.00     0.00     3.27     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   53   +2      63.97     3.51     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51  +10      59.79     3.46     8.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   50   -5      59.54     3.51    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   49  -12      57.64     3.46   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   47  -12      53.91     3.35   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   46  -19      54.86     3.52   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Northampton          38   41  -19      49.47     3.60   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.04R    1.41  
Bradford             39   40   -6      47.75     3.34    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.37R    2.23  
Barnet               39   39  -24      46.38     3.32   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.36R    8.40  
Dag_&_Red            39   38  -27      45.55     3.38   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.96R   12.06  
Plymouth             39   37  -17      46.20     3.45   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.13R    8.07  
Macclesfield         39   36  -15      43.22     3.28   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.33R   26.28  
Hereford             39   35  -22      42.54     3.36   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.75R   41.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 March 2012, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     40   95  +54     105.24     3.19    57.07    74.54   100.00    83.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   89  +50     101.70     3.35    54.94    25.46   100.00    52.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   71  +27      81.36     3.22    30.42     0.00    80.96    13.37P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   70  +33      81.95     3.52    36.55     0.00    85.32    19.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          40   70   +4      78.44     3.25     4.24     0.00    38.74     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   67  +30      80.80     3.30    36.85     0.00    77.63    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   64  +19      73.51     3.23    20.97     0.00     5.33     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   64  +15      72.98     3.19    16.10     0.00     4.54     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   64   +6      73.91     3.49     6.31     0.00     7.32     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   58  +14      66.94     3.19    15.04     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   57   +0      63.96     3.14    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   56  +10      67.49     3.71    10.93     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   55   -9      62.66     3.24    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   49   -9      56.83     3.37   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           40   46  -15      53.72     3.18   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      40   44  -24      49.38     2.91   -29.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        40   40  -17      46.70     3.12   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   39  -14      48.90     3.43   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Stockport          40   38  -24      46.40     3.28   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Newport_County     37   35  -11      46.82     3.94   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.07R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   34  -29      39.46     2.97   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.29R    0.20  
Darlington         39   29  -21      38.89     3.42   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.33R    1.65  
Kettering          40   29  -46      34.60     2.97   -50.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.42R   14.73  
Bath_City          40   24  -43      29.81     3.03   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   83.42  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3