Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 29 March 2012 at 22:50:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2012, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 73 +47 91.06 3.18 59.20 78.51 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 70 +50 86.59 3.43 59.50 21.49 99.45 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 58 +22 73.81 3.58 30.21 0.00 0.52 73.49 94.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 55 +18 70.25 3.70 24.71 0.00 0.02 22.62 80.28 99.90 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 50 +15 65.67 3.46 22.78 0.00 0.00 3.75 22.65 98.38 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 30 50 +2 60.81 3.66 1.64 0.00 0.00 0.15 2.04 76.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 42 +5 55.42 3.75 8.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 18.94 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 30 40 +5 49.77 3.54 3.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 40 -2 51.85 3.67 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 39 -2 48.80 3.56 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.00 0.00 Norwich 30 39 -6 46.48 3.48 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 38 -12 48.68 3.69 -12.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 30 36 -4 46.72 3.64 -4.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 30 36 -5 45.65 3.58 -7.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05R 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 33 -7 43.92 3.83 -9.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.20R 0.00 Blackburn 30 28 -19 36.08 3.42 -24.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.47R 1.28 Bolton 29 26 -25 36.20 3.93 -28.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.91R 2.66 QPR 30 25 -20 30.95 3.08 -29.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.98R 19.87 Wigan 30 25 -28 31.67 3.21 -35.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.68R 21.32 Wolverhampton 30 22 -34 29.18 3.41 -40.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.69R 54.87Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Crystal_Palace vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 39 78 +37 90.02 3.50 40.50 84.17 97.32 100.00 98.18P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 73 +22 83.49 3.42 23.37 7.92 45.20 99.98 61.75P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 39 72 +23 83.88 3.51 26.26 7.91 56.66 99.95 70.69P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 39 62 +8 71.12 3.46 7.43 0.00 0.06 42.36 7.42P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 39 62 +3 71.67 3.46 3.27 0.00 0.03 46.21 8.05P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 60 +19 73.18 3.71 22.23 0.01 0.66 71.29 23.20P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 39 60 +10 71.40 3.60 12.84 0.00 0.05 50.98 11.70P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 60 +7 71.71 3.55 10.18 0.00 0.03 52.16 12.12P 0.00 0.00 Hull 39 58 +4 68.25 3.42 5.03 0.00 0.00 15.27 2.87P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 57 +2 66.81 3.52 2.17 0.00 0.00 9.37 1.63P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 39 56 +8 66.45 3.56 9.23 0.00 0.00 8.59 1.84P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 55 -8 63.60 3.46 -9.46 0.00 0.00 1.27 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 39 54 +4 62.28 3.33 2.41 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 54 -9 62.31 3.48 -11.09 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 52 -6 61.82 3.57 -5.68 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 38 50 +3 61.63 3.73 3.87 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 46 -15 53.26 3.31 -18.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Peterborough 39 44 -5 52.96 3.58 -6.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53R 0.01 Millwall 39 40 -10 48.59 3.43 -11.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.53R 0.21 Nott'm_Forest 39 40 -18 48.77 3.41 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.92R 0.21 Bristol_City 39 36 -29 43.72 3.30 -31.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.47R 9.47 Coventry 39 35 -17 43.33 3.32 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.65R 10.73 Portsmouth 39 33 -3 42.84 3.42 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.91R 12.29 Doncaster 39 32 -30 38.83 3.23 -34.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.81R 67.08 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 March 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 39 82 +39 95.56 3.39 44.97 87.34 97.80 100.00 98.52P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 76 +35 89.10 3.46 40.27 9.47 62.91 100.00 76.19P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 74 +22 85.63 3.51 25.12 1.02 16.11 100.00 35.92P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 38 71 +33 85.68 3.78 38.62 2.16 22.50 99.97 50.11P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 39 67 +31 79.05 3.53 34.60 0.01 0.68 98.75 26.19P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 38 61 -1 71.36 3.76 -2.03 0.00 0.00 45.70 5.17P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 38 58 +17 70.10 3.77 18.69 0.00 0.00 38.71 5.71P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 39 57 +4 67.67 3.56 5.59 0.00 0.00 12.27 1.53P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 38 53 +6 64.45 3.79 6.73 0.00 0.00 3.94 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 39 52 -1 61.98 3.54 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 50 -3 58.58 3.36 -4.43 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Bournemouth 39 49 -5 58.42 3.46 -5.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.13R 0.00 Tranmere 39 48 -1 57.10 3.44 -1.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.30R 0.00 Oldham 38 48 -10 57.44 3.70 -12.28 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.54R 0.00 Preston 39 47 -12 54.67 3.42 -14.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.02R 0.00 Yeovil 39 46 -14 54.41 3.40 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.84R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 38 46 -15 55.50 3.64 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92R 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 43 -4 52.27 3.49 -4.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.15R 0.01 Bury 39 43 -21 50.88 3.43 -23.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.92R 0.04 Walsall 39 42 -4 50.48 3.36 -5.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.22R 0.12 Wycombe 39 40 -15 47.62 3.40 -18.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.14R 1.03 Rochdale 39 34 -27 42.38 3.43 -28.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.80R 27.12 Exeter 39 34 -29 41.54 3.35 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.99R 37.84 Chesterfield 39 33 -25 41.35 3.49 -26.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.01R 33.83League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 37 76 +36 93.59 3.85 43.83 90.27 99.56 100.00 99.75P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 39 72 +14 83.37 3.55 16.62 1.19 43.84 99.64 58.98P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 38 71 +21 85.20 3.85 26.00 4.50 70.91 99.87 78.18P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 71 +20 85.24 3.73 24.68 3.99 70.36 99.95 79.28P 0.00 0.00 Southend 39 67 +18 79.14 3.45 21.92 0.06 12.49 96.35 37.72P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 65 +18 75.00 3.54 18.66 0.00 1.76 75.55 18.39P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 39 65 +14 74.74 3.51 14.19 0.00 0.98 70.48 13.86P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 39 61 +4 71.73 3.55 5.64 0.00 0.09 32.44 7.46P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 39 58 +12 69.06 3.51 14.22 0.00 0.00 15.22 4.02P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 38 56 +9 67.37 3.68 9.61 0.00 0.00 7.06 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 38 56 -1 66.07 3.67 -2.13 0.00 0.00 2.78 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 39 53 +2 63.92 3.54 4.02 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 51 +10 59.79 3.48 8.79 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 39 50 -5 59.50 3.50 -5.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 49 -12 57.63 3.44 -13.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 47 -12 53.94 3.34 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 46 -19 54.84 3.52 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Northampton 38 41 -19 49.45 3.62 -23.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.67R 1.50 Bradford 39 40 -6 47.73 3.32 -8.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.76R 2.21 Barnet 38 39 -23 47.38 3.60 -27.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.04R 6.15 Dag_&_Red 39 38 -27 45.58 3.37 -30.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.38R 12.48 Plymouth 39 37 -17 46.18 3.44 -17.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.98R 8.37 Macclesfield 39 36 -15 43.23 3.30 -18.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.69R 26.89 Hereford 39 35 -22 42.50 3.37 -25.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.42R 42.41Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 40 95 +54 105.23 3.20 57.08 74.35 100.00 83.01P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 39 89 +50 101.75 3.35 55.01 25.65 100.00 52.67P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 71 +27 81.36 3.21 30.45 0.00 82.40 12.56P 0.00 0.00 Southport 40 70 +4 78.47 3.24 4.29 0.00 42.13 2.83P 0.00 0.00 York 38 67 +32 79.81 3.76 34.80 0.00 67.17 14.07P 0.00 0.00 Luton 38 67 +31 82.63 3.57 38.55 0.00 88.91 32.38P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 40 64 +19 73.51 3.23 20.96 0.00 6.31 1.04P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 40 64 +15 72.98 3.18 16.12 0.00 5.11 0.76P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 39 64 +6 73.88 3.47 6.28 0.00 7.80 0.68P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 40 58 +14 66.96 3.20 15.08 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 57 +0 64.00 3.14 -2.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 38 56 +10 67.51 3.70 10.95 0.00 0.14 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 40 55 -9 62.68 3.25 -9.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 49 -9 56.74 3.35 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 40 46 -15 53.70 3.17 -15.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 40 44 -24 49.39 2.93 -29.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 AFC_Telford 40 40 -17 46.72 3.13 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80R 0.00 Lincoln_City 39 39 -14 48.87 3.46 -13.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46R 0.00 Stockport 40 38 -24 46.36 3.27 -23.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00R 0.00 Newport_County 37 35 -11 46.82 3.98 -11.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.08R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 40 34 -29 39.48 2.98 -33.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.73R 0.25 Darlington 39 29 -21 38.96 3.44 -20.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.76R 1.69 Kettering 40 29 -46 34.62 2.96 -50.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.50R 14.76 Bath_City 40 24 -43 29.80 3.04 -46.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.63R 83.30 Adjustments: Darlington -10 Kettering -3