Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 March 2012 at 22:50:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2012, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   73  +47      91.06     3.18    59.20    78.51   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   70  +50      86.59     3.43    59.50    21.49    99.45    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   58  +22      73.81     3.58    30.21     0.00     0.52    73.49    94.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.25     3.70    24.71     0.00     0.02    22.62    80.28    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   50  +15      65.67     3.46    22.78     0.00     0.00     3.75    22.65    98.38     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   50   +2      60.81     3.66     1.64     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.04    76.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.42     3.75     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.94     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      30   40   +5      49.77     3.54     3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   40   -2      51.85     3.67    -0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.44     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.80     3.56    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         30   39   -6      46.48     3.48   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   38  -12      48.68     3.69   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          30   36   -4      46.72     3.64    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       30   36   -5      45.65     3.58    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -7      43.92     3.83    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.08     3.42   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.47R    1.28  
Bolton          29   26  -25      36.20     3.93   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.91R    2.66  
QPR             30   25  -20      30.95     3.08   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.98R   19.87  
Wigan           30   25  -28      31.67     3.21   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.68R   21.32  
Wolverhampton   30   22  -34      29.18     3.41   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.69R   54.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Crystal_Palace vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      39   78  +37      90.02     3.50    40.50    84.17    97.32   100.00    98.18P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   73  +22      83.49     3.42    23.37     7.92    45.20    99.98    61.75P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         39   72  +23      83.88     3.51    26.26     7.91    56.66    99.95    70.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   62   +8      71.12     3.46     7.43     0.00     0.06    42.36     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   62   +3      71.67     3.46     3.27     0.00     0.03    46.21     8.05P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   60  +19      73.18     3.71    22.23     0.01     0.66    71.29    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   60  +10      71.40     3.60    12.84     0.00     0.05    50.98    11.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   60   +7      71.71     3.55    10.18     0.00     0.03    52.16    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   58   +4      68.25     3.42     5.03     0.00     0.00    15.27     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   57   +2      66.81     3.52     2.17     0.00     0.00     9.37     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +8      66.45     3.56     9.23     0.00     0.00     8.59     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            39   55   -8      63.60     3.46    -9.46     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   54   +4      62.28     3.33     2.41     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   54   -9      62.31     3.48   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -6      61.82     3.57    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   50   +3      61.63     3.73     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -15      53.26     3.31   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Peterborough     39   44   -5      52.96     3.58    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.01  
Millwall         39   40  -10      48.59     3.43   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.53R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest    39   40  -18      48.77     3.41   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.92R    0.21  
Bristol_City     39   36  -29      43.72     3.30   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.47R    9.47  
Coventry         39   35  -17      43.33     3.32   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.65R   10.73  
Portsmouth       39   33   -3      42.84     3.42    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.91R   12.29  
Doncaster        39   32  -30      38.83     3.23   -34.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.81R   67.08  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 March 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        39   82  +39      95.56     3.39    44.97    87.34    97.80   100.00    98.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   76  +35      89.10     3.46    40.27     9.47    62.91   100.00    76.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   74  +22      85.63     3.51    25.12     1.02    16.11   100.00    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71  +33      85.68     3.78    38.62     2.16    22.50    99.97    50.11P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   67  +31      79.05     3.53    34.60     0.01     0.68    98.75    26.19P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        38   61   -1      71.36     3.76    -2.03     0.00     0.00    45.70     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   58  +17      70.10     3.77    18.69     0.00     0.00    38.71     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57   +4      67.67     3.56     5.59     0.00     0.00    12.27     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   53   +6      64.45     3.79     6.73     0.00     0.00     3.94     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   52   -1      61.98     3.54    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      39   50   -3      58.58     3.36    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth     39   49   -5      58.42     3.46    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.13R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   -1      57.10     3.44    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Oldham          38   48  -10      57.44     3.70   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.54R    0.00  
Preston         39   47  -12      54.67     3.42   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Yeovil          39   46  -14      54.41     3.40   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   38   46  -15      55.50     3.64   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   43   -4      52.27     3.49    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    0.01  
Bury            39   43  -21      50.88     3.43   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.92R    0.04  
Walsall         39   42   -4      50.48     3.36    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.22R    0.12  
Wycombe         39   40  -15      47.62     3.40   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.14R    1.03  
Rochdale        39   34  -27      42.38     3.43   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.80R   27.12  
Exeter          39   34  -29      41.54     3.35   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.99R   37.84  
Chesterfield    39   33  -25      41.35     3.49   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.01R   33.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.59     3.85    43.83    90.27    99.56   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   72  +14      83.37     3.55    16.62     1.19    43.84    99.64    58.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         38   71  +21      85.20     3.85    26.00     4.50    70.91    99.87    78.18P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   71  +20      85.24     3.73    24.68     3.99    70.36    99.95    79.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   67  +18      79.14     3.45    21.92     0.06    12.49    96.35    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   65  +18      75.00     3.54    18.66     0.00     1.76    75.55    18.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   65  +14      74.74     3.51    14.19     0.00     0.98    70.48    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   61   +4      71.73     3.55     5.64     0.00     0.09    32.44     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   58  +12      69.06     3.51    14.22     0.00     0.00    15.22     4.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   56   +9      67.37     3.68     9.61     0.00     0.00     7.06     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   56   -1      66.07     3.67    -2.13     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   53   +2      63.92     3.54     4.02     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51  +10      59.79     3.48     8.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   50   -5      59.50     3.50    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   49  -12      57.63     3.44   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   47  -12      53.94     3.34   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   46  -19      54.84     3.52   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Northampton          38   41  -19      49.45     3.62   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.67R    1.50  
Bradford             39   40   -6      47.73     3.32    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.76R    2.21  
Barnet               38   39  -23      47.38     3.60   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.04R    6.15  
Dag_&_Red            39   38  -27      45.58     3.37   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.38R   12.48  
Plymouth             39   37  -17      46.18     3.44   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.98R    8.37  
Macclesfield         39   36  -15      43.23     3.30   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.69R   26.89  
Hereford             39   35  -22      42.50     3.37   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.42R   42.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     40   95  +54     105.23     3.20    57.08    74.35   100.00    83.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   89  +50     101.75     3.35    55.01    25.65   100.00    52.67P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   71  +27      81.36     3.21    30.45     0.00    82.40    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          40   70   +4      78.47     3.24     4.29     0.00    42.13     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   67  +32      79.81     3.76    34.80     0.00    67.17    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   67  +31      82.63     3.57    38.55     0.00    88.91    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   64  +19      73.51     3.23    20.96     0.00     6.31     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   64  +15      72.98     3.18    16.12     0.00     5.11     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   64   +6      73.88     3.47     6.28     0.00     7.80     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   58  +14      66.96     3.20    15.08     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   57   +0      64.00     3.14    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   56  +10      67.51     3.70    10.95     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   55   -9      62.68     3.25    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   49   -9      56.74     3.35   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           40   46  -15      53.70     3.17   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      40   44  -24      49.39     2.93   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        40   40  -17      46.72     3.13   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   39  -14      48.87     3.46   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Stockport          40   38  -24      46.36     3.27   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     37   35  -11      46.82     3.98   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   34  -29      39.48     2.98   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.73R    0.25  
Darlington         39   29  -21      38.96     3.44   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.76R    1.69  
Kettering          40   29  -46      34.62     2.96   -50.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.50R   14.76  
Bath_City          40   24  -43      29.80     3.04   -46.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.63R   83.30  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3