Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2012, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   73  +47      91.08     3.17    59.20    78.68    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   70  +50      86.60     3.44    59.49    21.32    99.48    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   58  +22      73.73     3.58    30.07     0.00     0.50    73.06    94.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.26     3.69    24.71     0.00     0.03    22.98    80.21    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   50  +15      65.69     3.47    22.76     0.00     0.00     3.84    22.76    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   50   +2      60.78     3.67     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.03    76.64     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.43     3.75     8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    19.16     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      30   40   +5      49.72     3.52     2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   40   -2      51.85     3.69    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.48     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.80     3.58    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         30   39   -6      46.50     3.50   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           30   38  -12      48.67     3.72   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          30   36   -4      46.74     3.63    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       30   36   -5      45.71     3.57    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -7      43.92     3.83    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.04     3.43   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.09R    1.42  
Bolton          29   26  -25      36.21     3.95   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.12R    2.84  
QPR             30   25  -20      30.96     3.10   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.64R   20.21  
Wigan           30   25  -28      31.70     3.20   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.42R   21.17  
Wolverhampton   30   22  -34      29.22     3.41   -40.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.47R   54.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Crystal_Palace vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      39   78  +37      90.00     3.50    40.49    83.93    97.24   100.00    98.12P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   73  +22      83.54     3.44    23.43     8.20    45.59    99.98    62.35P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         39   72  +23      83.88     3.50    26.25     7.86    56.34    99.98    70.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   62   +8      71.08     3.45     7.38     0.00     0.05    42.15     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   62   +3      71.71     3.46     3.31     0.00     0.04    46.98     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   60  +19      73.16     3.75    22.17     0.01     0.67    71.20    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   60  +10      71.38     3.59    12.78     0.00     0.05    50.74    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   60   +7      71.67     3.52    10.10     0.00     0.03    51.85    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   58   +4      68.25     3.38     5.03     0.00     0.00    15.29     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   57   +2      66.81     3.51     2.16     0.00     0.00     9.59     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +8      66.48     3.58     9.26     0.00     0.00     8.71     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            39   55   -8      63.61     3.45    -9.44     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   54   +4      62.25     3.30     2.39     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   54   -9      62.31     3.47   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -6      61.83     3.56    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   50   +3      61.62     3.72     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -15      53.28     3.34   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Peterborough     39   44   -5      52.95     3.56    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Millwall         39   40  -10      48.55     3.43   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76R    0.24  
Nott'm_Forest    39   40  -18      48.77     3.39   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.06R    0.23  
Bristol_City     39   36  -29      43.73     3.29   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.47R    9.74  
Coventry         39   35  -17      43.31     3.32   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.72R   10.99  
Portsmouth       39   33   -3      42.86     3.41    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.79R   12.28  
Doncaster        39   32  -30      38.86     3.26   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.50R   66.53  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 March 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        39   82  +39      95.53     3.40    44.95    87.06    97.77   100.00    98.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   76  +35      89.10     3.46    40.24     9.77    62.71   100.00    76.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   74  +22      85.63     3.51    25.13     1.02    16.20    99.99    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71  +33      85.67     3.75    38.61     2.14    22.56    99.99    50.27P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   67  +31      79.03     3.53    34.56     0.01     0.76    98.73    26.13P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        38   61   -1      71.33     3.74    -2.12     0.00     0.00    45.30     5.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   58  +17      70.13     3.77    18.73     0.00     0.00    38.91     5.90P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57   +4      67.68     3.57     5.60     0.00     0.00    12.59     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   53   +6      64.45     3.77     6.72     0.00     0.00     3.87     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   52   -1      61.97     3.51    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      39   50   -3      58.55     3.39    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth     39   49   -5      58.42     3.48    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   -1      57.02     3.44    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Oldham          38   48  -10      57.49     3.71   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.55R    0.00  
Preston         39   47  -12      54.67     3.46   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Yeovil          39   46  -14      54.41     3.41   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.86R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   46  -15      55.52     3.63   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   43   -4      52.34     3.48    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.79R    0.02  
Bury            39   43  -21      50.88     3.44   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.21R    0.08  
Walsall         39   42   -4      50.47     3.36    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.40R    0.12  
Wycombe         39   40  -15      47.64     3.40   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.86R    1.04  
Rochdale        39   34  -27      42.42     3.43   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.77R   27.02  
Exeter          39   34  -29      41.50     3.35   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.07R   37.93  
Chesterfield    39   33  -25      41.37     3.49   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.14R   33.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.53     3.88    43.73    89.99    99.47   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   72  +14      83.34     3.54    16.57     1.19    43.53    99.66    58.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         38   71  +21      85.19     3.79    25.97     4.43    70.92    99.91    78.09P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   71  +20      85.26     3.73    24.69     4.33    70.74    99.93    79.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   67  +18      79.16     3.44    21.93     0.06    12.51    96.32    37.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   65  +18      75.05     3.53    18.73     0.00     1.70    75.86    18.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   65  +14      74.79     3.49    14.25     0.00     1.03    70.75    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   61   +4      71.71     3.54     5.61     0.00     0.10    31.45     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   58  +12      69.10     3.52    14.29     0.00     0.00    15.32     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   56   +9      67.40     3.72     9.65     0.00     0.00     7.31     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   56   -1      66.10     3.68    -2.07     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   53   +2      63.92     3.53     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51  +10      59.76     3.47     8.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   50   -5      59.49     3.50    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   49  -12      57.64     3.45   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   47  -12      53.89     3.34   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   46  -19      54.88     3.52   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Northampton          38   41  -19      49.42     3.58   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    1.49  
Bradford             39   40   -6      47.72     3.34    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.71R    2.30  
Barnet               38   39  -23      47.42     3.59   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.67R    5.76  
Dag_&_Red            39   38  -27      45.52     3.35   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.07R   12.63  
Plymouth             39   37  -17      46.12     3.44   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.72R    8.75  
Macclesfield         39   36  -15      43.24     3.29   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.42R   26.60  
Hereford             39   35  -22      42.54     3.35   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.92R   42.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     40   95  +54     105.21     3.19    57.05    74.13   100.00    82.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   89  +50     101.74     3.36    54.99    25.87   100.00    52.65P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   71  +27      81.39     3.22    30.49     0.00    82.54    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          40   70   +4      78.44     3.22     4.24     0.00    41.89     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   67  +32      79.79     3.76    34.76     0.00    67.19    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   67  +31      82.67     3.56    38.64     0.00    89.04    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   64  +19      73.52     3.22    20.96     0.00     6.32     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   64  +15      72.98     3.18    16.11     0.00     4.93     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   64   +6      73.88     3.50     6.26     0.00     7.89     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   58  +14      67.00     3.21    15.14     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   57   +0      63.96     3.15    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   56  +10      67.48     3.70    10.94     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   55   -9      62.71     3.22    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   49   -9      56.78     3.35   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           40   46  -15      53.71     3.17   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      40   44  -24      49.39     2.91   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        40   40  -17      46.69     3.13   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   39  -14      48.93     3.46   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Stockport          40   38  -24      46.38     3.28   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.00  
Newport_County     37   35  -11      46.85     3.95   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   34  -29      39.45     2.98   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.86R    0.24  
Darlington         39   29  -21      38.93     3.47   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.75R    1.90  
Kettering          40   29  -46      34.57     2.97   -50.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.30R   14.99  
Bath_City          40   24  -43      29.79     3.03   -46.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   82.87  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3