Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2012, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   73  +47      91.06     3.16    59.18    78.95   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   70  +50      86.56     3.44    59.43    21.05    99.48    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   58  +22      73.75     3.58    30.10     0.00     0.51    73.17    94.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.28     3.70    24.75     0.00     0.02    22.95    80.33    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   50  +15      65.67     3.48    22.73     0.00     0.00     3.75    22.67    98.27     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   50   +2      60.77     3.66     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.02    76.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.46     3.74     8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    19.20     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      30   40   +5      49.76     3.54     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   40   -2      51.86     3.68    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.34     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.76     3.56    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         30   39   -6      46.50     3.49   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           30   38  -12      48.69     3.70   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          30   36   -4      46.71     3.63    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       30   36   -5      45.68     3.59    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -7      43.94     3.83    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.05     3.40   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.94R    1.41  
Bolton          29   26  -25      36.17     3.93   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.22R    2.80  
QPR             30   25  -20      30.99     3.09   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.67R   20.02  
Wigan           30   25  -28      31.70     3.22   -35.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.33R   21.17  
Wolverhampton   30   22  -34      29.22     3.43   -40.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.60R   54.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Crystal_Palace vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      39   78  +37      90.01     3.52    40.50    83.95    97.06   100.00    97.99P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   73  +22      83.51     3.42    23.37     8.12    45.18    99.98    61.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         39   72  +23      83.92     3.53    26.31     7.93    57.01    99.98    71.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   62   +8      71.11     3.46     7.41     0.00     0.08    42.66     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   62   +3      71.73     3.46     3.34     0.00     0.03    46.96     8.55P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   60  +19      73.14     3.73    22.17     0.00     0.57    70.79    23.29P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   60  +10      71.39     3.61    12.79     0.00     0.04    50.83    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   60   +7      71.67     3.52    10.10     0.00     0.04    51.68    11.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   58   +4      68.29     3.40     5.08     0.00     0.00    15.74     3.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   57   +2      66.83     3.52     2.17     0.00     0.00     9.50     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +8      66.42     3.55     9.19     0.00     0.00     8.34     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            39   55   -8      63.55     3.45    -9.52     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   54   +4      62.26     3.32     2.41     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   54   -9      62.28     3.48   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   -6      61.83     3.53    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   50   +3      61.62     3.73     3.88     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -15      53.28     3.35   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Peterborough     39   44   -5      52.97     3.59    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Millwall         39   40  -10      48.52     3.41   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.90R    0.25  
Nott'm_Forest    39   40  -18      48.73     3.39   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.23R    0.21  
Bristol_City     39   36  -29      43.80     3.30   -31.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.75R    9.44  
Coventry         39   35  -17      43.32     3.32   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.00R   11.05  
Portsmouth       39   33   -3      42.87     3.43    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.78R   12.58  
Doncaster        39   32  -30      38.87     3.24   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.60R   66.46  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, MK_Dons vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        39   82  +39      95.56     3.42    44.94    89.18    98.07   100.00    98.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   74  +22      85.67     3.51    25.16     1.15    19.14    99.99    38.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   73  +32      88.32     3.67    38.62     7.53    55.68   100.00    71.18P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71  +33      85.66     3.77    38.60     2.13    26.17    99.97    52.58P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   67  +31      79.00     3.54    34.53     0.01     0.95    98.74    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        38   61   -1      71.34     3.75    -2.06     0.00     0.00    45.54     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       38   58  +17      70.10     3.77    18.72     0.00     0.00    38.85     5.62P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57   +4      67.72     3.56     5.65     0.00     0.00    12.60     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   53   +6      64.37     3.77     6.63     0.00     0.00     3.66     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      39   52   -1      62.00     3.54    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      39   50   -3      58.57     3.39    -4.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth     39   49   -5      58.45     3.49    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   -1      57.08     3.44    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.26R    0.00  
Oldham          38   48  -10      57.46     3.70   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.50R    0.00  
Preston         39   47  -12      54.72     3.44   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.00  
Yeovil          39   46  -14      54.40     3.40   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   38   46  -15      55.47     3.61   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   43   -4      52.33     3.50    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.03  
Bury            39   43  -21      50.83     3.42   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.09R    0.08  
Walsall         39   42   -4      50.45     3.35    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.88R    0.17  
Wycombe         39   40  -15      47.59     3.40   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.92R    1.20  
Rochdale        39   34  -27      42.42     3.43   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.83R   28.87  
Exeter          39   34  -29      41.47     3.34   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.12R   41.22  
Chesterfield    38   33  -22      42.08     3.66   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.66R   28.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.57     3.88    43.77    90.12    99.41   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   72  +14      83.31     3.55    16.54     1.27    43.32    99.65    58.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         38   71  +21      85.13     3.83    25.88     4.26    70.45    99.86    77.78P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   71  +20      85.26     3.73    24.73     4.29    71.01    99.91    80.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   67  +18      79.15     3.47    21.92     0.06    12.83    96.15    37.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   65  +18      75.09     3.54    18.77     0.00     1.78    75.97    18.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   65  +14      74.81     3.49    14.28     0.00     1.10    70.78    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   61   +4      71.72     3.56     5.64     0.00     0.09    31.56     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   58  +12      69.13     3.53    14.32     0.00     0.00    15.50     3.91P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   56   +9      67.34     3.70     9.56     0.00     0.00     6.94     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   56   -1      66.14     3.70    -2.05     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   53   +2      63.89     3.51     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51  +10      59.79     3.47     8.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   50   -5      59.51     3.48    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       39   49  -12      57.61     3.45   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   47  -12      53.94     3.35   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   46  -19      54.85     3.53   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Northampton          38   41  -19      49.40     3.60   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.54R    1.57  
Bradford             39   40   -6      47.75     3.32    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.79R    2.43  
Barnet               38   39  -23      47.35     3.57   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.18R    6.04  
Dag_&_Red            39   38  -27      45.55     3.36   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.92R   12.61  
Plymouth             39   37  -17      46.06     3.45   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.09R    8.98  
Macclesfield         39   36  -15      43.27     3.31   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.11R   26.68  
Hereford             39   35  -22      42.58     3.37   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.30R   41.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     40   95  +54     105.25     3.18    57.10    74.40   100.00    83.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   89  +50     101.75     3.37    55.04    25.60   100.00    52.73P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   71  +27      81.40     3.22    30.46     0.00    82.54    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          40   70   +4      78.47     3.26     4.27     0.00    42.21     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   67  +32      79.80     3.77    34.78     0.00    67.04    14.05P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   67  +31      82.65     3.56    38.56     0.00    88.87    32.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   64  +19      73.48     3.23    20.89     0.00     6.44     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   64  +15      73.01     3.19    16.19     0.00     4.97     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   64   +6      73.87     3.48     6.29     0.00     7.74     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       40   58  +14      67.01     3.20    15.14     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     40   57   +0      63.99     3.14    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   56  +10      67.53     3.69    10.98     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   55   -9      62.68     3.23    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   49   -9      56.78     3.36   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           40   46  -15      53.72     3.19   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      40   44  -24      49.36     2.91   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        40   40  -17      46.73     3.12   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       39   39  -14      48.81     3.46   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Stockport          40   38  -24      46.38     3.29   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Newport_County     37   35  -11      46.81     3.95   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   34  -29      39.45     2.98   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.04R    0.26  
Darlington         39   29  -21      38.97     3.45   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.27R    1.77  
Kettering          40   29  -46      34.55     2.97   -50.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.49R   15.07  
Bath_City          40   24  -43      29.79     3.03   -46.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   82.90  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3