Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 26 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 March 2012, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 73 +47 91.02 3.18 59.18 78.62 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 70 +50 86.55 3.45 59.40 21.38 99.38 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 58 +22 73.78 3.58 30.16 0.00 0.60 73.55 95.01 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 55 +18 70.29 3.68 24.77 0.00 0.03 22.51 80.42 99.94 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 50 +15 65.68 3.47 22.76 0.00 0.00 3.81 22.46 98.31 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 30 50 +2 60.75 3.68 1.57 0.00 0.00 0.13 2.04 76.40 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 42 +5 55.45 3.73 8.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 19.51 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 30 40 +5 49.76 3.53 3.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 40 -2 51.88 3.67 -0.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 39 -2 48.81 3.56 -4.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.00 0.00 Norwich 30 39 -6 46.51 3.50 -12.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 30 38 -12 48.73 3.72 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 30 36 -4 46.69 3.62 -4.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00R 0.00 West_Brom 30 36 -5 45.64 3.58 -7.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.05R 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 33 -7 43.89 3.83 -9.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.23R 0.00 Blackburn 30 28 -19 36.08 3.44 -24.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.97R 1.26 Bolton 29 26 -25 36.20 3.91 -28.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.84R 2.61 QPR 30 25 -20 30.97 3.12 -29.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.79R 20.03 Wigan 30 25 -28 31.72 3.22 -35.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.29R 20.99 Wolverhampton 30 22 -34 29.17 3.43 -40.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.81R 55.10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2012, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 39 78 +37 89.98 3.50 40.45 86.24 97.93 100.00 98.61P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 73 +22 83.59 3.43 23.47 8.76 56.07 99.96 69.53P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 38 69 +21 82.42 3.81 24.52 4.99 44.54 99.60 61.77P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 39 62 +8 71.10 3.45 7.41 0.00 0.14 38.68 6.79P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 61 +3 72.03 3.73 3.22 0.00 0.17 47.04 8.88P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 60 +19 73.15 3.73 22.17 0.00 1.00 68.03 22.16P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 39 60 +10 71.40 3.60 12.82 0.00 0.08 47.54 11.15P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 60 +7 71.69 3.52 10.13 0.00 0.06 48.20 11.01P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 58 +6 69.70 3.64 7.20 0.00 0.03 26.05 5.29P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 57 +2 66.80 3.51 2.11 0.00 0.00 8.25 1.52P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 38 55 +8 67.29 3.82 9.91 0.00 0.00 12.50 2.68P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 55 -8 63.60 3.45 -9.46 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 54 -9 62.23 3.48 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 53 +4 63.13 3.56 3.10 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 51 -6 62.28 3.83 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 38 50 +3 61.60 3.72 3.83 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 46 -15 53.31 3.34 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Peterborough 38 44 -3 54.20 3.85 -4.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Millwall 39 40 -10 48.56 3.44 -11.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.75R 0.15 Nott'm_Forest 38 39 -18 48.69 3.65 -19.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.57R 0.32 Bristol_City 39 36 -29 43.76 3.31 -31.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.59R 7.43 Coventry 39 35 -17 43.26 3.29 -18.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.96R 8.78 Doncaster 38 31 -30 38.72 3.46 -34.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.35R 60.47 Portsmouth 38 30 -5 41.15 3.69 -4.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.39R 22.85 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Brentford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 39 82 +39 95.57 3.42 44.99 89.28 97.94 100.00 98.61P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 74 +22 85.62 3.50 25.10 1.01 18.30 99.99 37.01P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 73 +32 88.28 3.68 38.57 7.25 54.05 100.00 69.88P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 38 71 +33 85.69 3.75 38.63 2.39 25.73 100.00 51.49P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 38 67 +32 81.06 3.79 36.61 0.08 3.98 99.60 29.26P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 58 -2 69.07 3.97 -4.17 0.00 0.00 26.77 2.97P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 37 57 +17 70.72 4.03 19.06 0.00 0.00 52.98 8.04P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 39 57 +4 67.67 3.57 5.61 0.00 0.00 15.19 1.97P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 38 52 +1 63.48 3.82 1.79 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 50 +4 62.46 3.97 4.23 0.00 0.00 2.32 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 39 50 -3 58.58 3.37 -4.41 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Tranmere 39 48 -1 57.06 3.42 -1.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.23R 0.00 Bournemouth 38 48 -5 58.56 3.72 -5.56 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.11R 0.00 Oldham 37 48 -9 59.08 3.96 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 0.16R 0.00 Preston 38 47 -10 56.31 3.72 -12.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.68R 0.00 Yeovil 39 46 -14 54.38 3.40 -15.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.27R 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 43 -4 52.29 3.49 -4.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.59R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 37 43 -16 53.68 3.86 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.55R 0.02 Bury 39 43 -21 50.82 3.42 -23.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.52R 0.07 Wycombe 39 40 -15 47.63 3.42 -18.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.77R 1.18 Walsall 38 39 -6 48.63 3.62 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.12R 1.09 Rochdale 39 34 -27 42.42 3.42 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.09R 28.83 Exeter 39 34 -29 41.53 3.34 -32.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.88R 40.28 Chesterfield 38 33 -22 42.08 3.66 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.00R 28.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 37 76 +36 93.48 3.89 43.67 91.09 99.56 100.00 99.73P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 39 72 +14 83.33 3.56 16.55 1.43 49.04 99.66 62.97P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 71 +20 85.27 3.72 24.73 4.65 74.61 99.93 82.41P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 68 +20 83.67 4.09 25.09 2.75 58.89 99.50 68.82P 0.00 0.00 Southend 39 67 +18 79.21 3.45 21.99 0.07 15.48 96.32 39.81P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 39 65 +14 74.72 3.48 14.16 0.00 1.19 70.49 13.85P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 38 62 +16 73.16 3.79 16.41 0.00 0.96 55.93 13.34P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 39 61 +4 71.75 3.56 5.64 0.00 0.17 34.02 7.84P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 38 58 +13 70.88 3.80 15.89 0.00 0.10 33.47 8.80P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 38 56 +9 67.38 3.70 9.63 0.00 0.00 7.97 1.85P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 39 53 +2 63.88 3.52 3.94 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 37 53 -2 64.58 3.95 -2.95 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.36P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 51 +10 59.86 3.47 8.89 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 38 50 -3 61.08 3.75 -2.79 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 38 49 -11 58.88 3.73 -12.76 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 47 -12 53.89 3.34 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Burton_Albion 38 43 -20 52.83 3.78 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84R 0.12 Northampton 38 41 -19 49.49 3.62 -23.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.57R 1.56 Bradford 38 40 -5 48.99 3.63 -7.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.64R 1.38 Barnet 38 39 -23 47.40 3.60 -27.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.13R 6.17 Dag_&_Red 39 38 -27 45.58 3.36 -30.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.22R 12.69 Plymouth 39 37 -17 46.14 3.44 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.73R 8.79 Macclesfield 39 36 -15 43.21 3.28 -18.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.42R 27.24 Hereford 39 35 -22 42.56 3.36 -25.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.41R 42.04Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 40 95 +54 105.28 3.17 57.14 82.26 100.00 88.14P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 86 +48 100.34 3.59 53.29 17.74 100.00 47.07P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 71 +27 81.35 3.20 30.40 0.00 82.66 12.96P 0.00 0.00 Southport 39 69 +4 78.61 3.56 3.86 0.00 46.29 3.29P 0.00 0.00 Luton 38 67 +31 82.71 3.59 38.68 0.00 88.88 32.95P 0.00 0.00 York 37 64 +31 78.73 4.01 34.63 0.00 56.19 11.91P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 40 64 +15 72.95 3.17 16.05 0.00 5.23 0.82P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 39 64 +6 73.87 3.50 6.25 0.00 8.38 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 63 +19 74.26 3.51 21.56 0.00 11.79 1.93P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 39 58 +16 68.65 3.50 17.53 0.00 0.42 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 38 56 +10 67.52 3.69 10.98 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 39 56 +0 64.55 3.43 -1.91 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 40 55 -9 62.68 3.23 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 38 49 -8 58.77 3.68 -10.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 39 45 -15 53.82 3.45 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 39 41 -25 47.31 3.21 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95R 0.00 Stockport 40 38 -24 46.39 3.29 -23.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.88R 0.00 AFC_Telford 39 37 -19 44.68 3.39 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.93R 0.01 Lincoln_City 38 36 -15 47.22 3.73 -14.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.05R 0.00 Newport_County 37 35 -11 46.87 3.95 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.04R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 39 34 -28 40.78 3.29 -33.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.14R 0.25 Darlington 38 29 -19 40.02 3.66 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.38R 1.65 Kettering 40 29 -46 34.64 2.98 -50.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.10R 19.99 Bath_City 39 24 -42 30.55 3.26 -46.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.53R 78.10 Adjustments: Darlington -10 Kettering -3