Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 March 2012 at 22:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2012, West_Brom vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        30   70  +50      86.58     3.45    59.48    24.39    99.51    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         29   70  +46      90.52     3.35    60.08    75.61    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   58  +22      73.75     3.57    30.10     0.00     0.49    73.37    94.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.29     3.67    24.76     0.00     0.03    22.94    80.78    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   50  +15      65.64     3.48    22.70     0.00     0.00     3.61    22.34    98.24     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       30   50   +2      60.78     3.66     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.84    76.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.50     3.77     8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    19.74     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      30   40   +5      49.76     3.52     3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   40   -2      51.85     3.68    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.36     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.78     3.54    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         30   39   -6      46.46     3.48   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   38  -12      48.69     3.68   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          29   36   -3      47.11     3.74    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       30   36   -5      45.69     3.57    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -7      43.89     3.83    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.06     3.42   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    1.34  
Bolton          29   26  -25      36.25     3.94   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.86R    2.61  
QPR             30   25  -20      30.99     3.10   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.59R   19.78  
Wigan           30   25  -28      31.68     3.23   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.32R   21.34  
Wolverhampton   30   22  -34      29.18     3.41   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.94R   54.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 March 2012, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      39   78  +37      89.96     3.51    40.44    86.19    98.00   100.00    98.67P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   73  +22      83.54     3.43    23.44     8.96    55.71    99.97    69.11P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   69  +21      82.41     3.79    24.54     4.84    44.96    99.62    62.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   62   +8      71.13     3.44     7.43     0.00     0.10    39.06     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   61   +3      72.01     3.74     3.22     0.00     0.17    46.72     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       38   60  +19      73.18     3.74    22.20     0.01     0.90    68.63    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   60  +10      71.38     3.60    12.80     0.00     0.09    46.89    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   60   +7      71.70     3.53    10.16     0.00     0.05    48.31    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   58   +6      69.72     3.64     7.21     0.00     0.03    26.15     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   57   +2      66.77     3.51     2.08     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +8      67.32     3.82     9.96     0.00     0.01    12.66     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            39   55   -8      63.60     3.44    -9.48     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   54   -9      62.21     3.48   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   53   +4      63.16     3.58     3.11     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   51   -6      62.27     3.82    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   50   +3      61.61     3.72     3.84     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -15      53.28     3.32   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Peterborough     38   44   -3      54.21     3.88    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Millwall         39   40  -10      48.53     3.43   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.93R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest    38   39  -18      48.70     3.65   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.70R    0.37  
Bristol_City     39   36  -29      43.75     3.31   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.76R    7.39  
Coventry         39   35  -17      43.29     3.31   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.63R    9.09  
Doncaster        38   31  -30      38.75     3.47   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.00R   60.31  
Portsmouth       38   30   -5      41.15     3.67    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.67R   22.67  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Brentford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        39   82  +39      95.54     3.40    44.96    89.19    98.06   100.00    98.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   74  +22      85.62     3.49    25.12     1.10    18.72    99.98    37.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   73  +32      88.26     3.66    38.57     7.42    53.79   100.00    69.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71  +33      85.67     3.76    38.61     2.19    25.53    99.99    51.35P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   67  +32      81.12     3.80    36.69     0.10     3.91    99.56    29.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        37   58   -2      69.07     3.96    -4.15     0.00     0.00    26.98     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   57  +17      70.70     4.03    19.01     0.00     0.00    52.83     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57   +4      67.67     3.55     5.60     0.00     0.00    15.05     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   52   +1      63.56     3.80     1.87     0.00     0.00     2.69     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   50   +4      62.52     4.01     4.30     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool      39   50   -3      58.62     3.38    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   -1      57.05     3.42    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.21R    0.00  
Bournemouth     38   48   -5      58.55     3.71    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
Oldham          37   48   -9      59.09     3.97   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.15R    0.00  
Preston         38   47  -10      56.28     3.72   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Yeovil          39   46  -14      54.41     3.42   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   43   -4      52.29     3.48    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   37   43  -16      53.61     3.88   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.02  
Bury            39   43  -21      50.80     3.42   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.31R    0.07  
Wycombe         39   40  -15      47.57     3.38   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.60R    1.21  
Walsall         38   39   -6      48.68     3.62    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.25R    1.13  
Rochdale        39   34  -27      42.41     3.43   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.07R   28.65  
Exeter          39   34  -29      41.53     3.34   -32.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.11R   40.45  
Chesterfield    38   33  -22      42.06     3.67   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   28.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.50     3.89    43.67    90.92    99.58   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   72  +14      83.36     3.55    16.60     1.53    49.97    99.67    63.17P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   71  +20      85.21     3.76    24.63     4.70    73.83    99.95    81.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   68  +20      83.65     4.10    25.08     2.75    58.87    99.54    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   67  +18      79.17     3.44    21.95     0.10    15.19    96.29    39.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   65  +14      74.74     3.47    14.20     0.00     1.32    70.82    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   62  +16      73.17     3.81    16.41     0.00     1.00    55.78    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   61   +4      71.72     3.56     5.64     0.00     0.12    33.73     7.98P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   58  +13      70.93     3.79    15.97     0.00     0.12    33.78     9.12P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   56   +9      67.41     3.68     9.65     0.00     0.00     7.69     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   53   +2      63.95     3.52     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   53   -2      64.61     3.93    -2.87     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51  +10      59.82     3.49     8.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   50   -3      61.07     3.75    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   49  -11      58.87     3.73   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   47  -12      53.91     3.33   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   43  -20      52.82     3.77   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.14  
Northampton          38   41  -19      49.40     3.61   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.86R    1.61  
Bradford             38   40   -5      48.95     3.61    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    1.38  
Barnet               38   39  -23      47.38     3.58   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.33R    6.20  
Dag_&_Red            39   38  -27      45.54     3.36   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.39R   12.97  
Plymouth             39   37  -17      46.17     3.45   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.56R    8.51  
Macclesfield         39   36  -15      43.29     3.32   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.55R   26.26  
Hereford             39   35  -22      42.52     3.37   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.83R   42.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     40   95  +54     105.24     3.18    57.08    81.55   100.00    87.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   86  +48     100.41     3.62    53.38    18.45   100.00    47.76P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   71  +27      81.35     3.20    30.43     0.00    82.67    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          39   69   +4      78.63     3.55     3.88     0.00    46.09     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   67  +31      82.71     3.57    38.66     0.00    89.22    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   64  +31      78.76     3.99    34.67     0.00    56.37    11.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   64  +15      72.93     3.19    16.03     0.00     5.17     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   64   +6      73.86     3.48     6.24     0.00     8.11     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   63  +19      74.28     3.50    21.58     0.00    11.78     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   58  +16      68.63     3.49    17.52     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   56  +10      67.54     3.69    11.02     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     39   56   +0      64.58     3.46    -1.89     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   55   -9      62.65     3.25    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   49   -8      58.72     3.65   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           39   45  -15      53.80     3.44   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      39   41  -25      47.26     3.20   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Stockport          40   38  -24      46.38     3.28   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        39   37  -19      44.69     3.37   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.88R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       38   36  -15      47.24     3.74   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Newport_County     37   35  -11      46.89     3.95   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   34  -28      40.75     3.29   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.36R    0.24  
Darlington         38   29  -19      39.99     3.68   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.51R    1.80  
Kettering          40   29  -46      34.62     2.96   -50.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.16R   20.41  
Bath_City          39   24  -42      30.61     3.26   -46.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   77.54  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3