Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Arsenal vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        30   70  +50      86.56     3.45    59.44    24.49    99.41    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         29   70  +46      90.50     3.36    60.08    75.51    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   58  +22      73.71     3.58    30.05     0.00     0.61    73.19    94.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +18      70.28     3.67    24.75     0.00     0.02    22.87    81.12    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   50  +15      65.68     3.48    22.79     0.00     0.00     3.91    23.02    98.73     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   47   +0      58.84     3.91    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.90    62.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   42   +5      55.47     3.76     8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    28.13     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      30   40   +5      49.77     3.54     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   40   -2      51.87     3.66    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.44     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   39   -2      48.84     3.55    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         30   39   -6      46.51     3.47   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           30   38  -12      48.72     3.69   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          29   36   -3      47.05     3.77    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       29   36   -3      47.33     3.86    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   33   -7      43.90     3.81    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.18R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   28  -19      36.03     3.44   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.33R    1.41  
Bolton          29   26  -25      36.25     3.92   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.82R    2.63  
QPR             30   25  -20      30.95     3.10   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.96R   20.23  
Wigan           30   25  -28      31.74     3.23   -35.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.87R   20.85  
Wolverhampton   30   22  -34      29.18     3.40   -40.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.82R   54.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Barnsley vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      39   78  +37      89.98     3.50    40.46    86.17    97.98   100.00    98.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   73  +22      83.52     3.43    23.40     8.82    55.03    99.95    68.55P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   69  +21      82.40     3.81    24.52     4.98    44.60    99.60    61.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   62   +8      71.14     3.46     7.46     0.00     0.12    38.61     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   61   +3      71.99     3.71     3.18     0.00     0.16    45.82     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   60  +10      71.38     3.61    12.78     0.00     0.07    46.66    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       37   59  +19      73.96     3.98    22.82     0.02     1.87    73.58    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   59   +7      71.62     3.77     9.51     0.00     0.13    46.44    10.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   58   +6      69.68     3.65     7.16     0.00     0.03    25.35     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   57   +2      66.84     3.51     2.22     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +8      67.28     3.83     9.89     0.00     0.00    12.28     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            39   55   -8      63.55     3.46    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   54   -9      62.29     3.49   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   53   +4      63.13     3.56     3.08     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   51   -6      62.30     3.82    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   50   +3      61.60     3.73     3.85     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -15      53.34     3.35   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Peterborough     38   44   -3      54.16     3.86    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Millwall         39   40  -10      48.54     3.44   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.83R    0.16  
Nott'm_Forest    38   39  -18      48.65     3.63   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.91R    0.35  
Bristol_City     39   36  -29      43.78     3.33   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.58R    7.32  
Coventry         39   35  -17      43.33     3.31   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.04R    8.85  
Doncaster        38   31  -30      38.75     3.49   -34.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.11R   60.48  
Portsmouth       38   30   -5      41.15     3.65    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.14R   22.83  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Brentford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        39   82  +39      95.56     3.41    44.98    88.98    98.12   100.00    98.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   74  +22      85.62     3.49    25.10     1.17    18.47   100.00    37.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   73  +32      88.29     3.68    38.58     7.34    54.11   100.00    69.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    38   71  +33      85.69     3.77    38.64     2.41    25.45    99.99    51.36P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         38   67  +32      81.06     3.80    36.60     0.09     3.84    99.56    29.28P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        37   58   -2      69.05     3.97    -4.19     0.00     0.00    27.08     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       37   57  +17      70.68     4.02    19.01     0.00     0.00    52.77     7.87P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    39   57   +4      67.64     3.55     5.57     0.00     0.00    15.05     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      38   52   +1      63.54     3.81     1.85     0.00     0.00     2.69     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   50   +4      62.50     3.99     4.29     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool      39   50   -3      58.61     3.38    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        39   48   -1      57.03     3.41    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.21R    0.00  
Bournemouth     38   48   -5      58.55     3.70    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham          37   48   -9      59.08     3.98   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.18R    0.00  
Preston         38   47  -10      56.32     3.73   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Yeovil          39   46  -14      54.42     3.41   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.26R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      39   43   -4      52.29     3.49    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   37   43  -16      53.65     3.89   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.03  
Bury            39   43  -21      50.87     3.43   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.95R    0.05  
Wycombe         39   40  -15      47.59     3.39   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.24R    1.15  
Walsall         38   39   -6      48.65     3.62    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.00R    1.12  
Rochdale        39   34  -27      42.42     3.42   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.09R   29.06  
Exeter          39   34  -29      41.54     3.37   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.97R   40.26  
Chesterfield    38   33  -22      42.07     3.66   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.02R   28.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.55     3.90    43.75    91.41    99.60   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   72  +14      83.33     3.55    16.57     1.39    49.42    99.65    62.83P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   71  +20      85.18     3.75    24.62     4.36    73.78    99.92    81.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         37   68  +20      83.66     4.07    25.10     2.78    59.27    99.52    69.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   67  +18      79.17     3.44    21.93     0.07    15.33    96.35    40.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   65  +14      74.73     3.48    14.17     0.00     1.31    70.49    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   62  +16      73.23     3.78    16.45     0.00     0.98    56.79    13.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   61   +4      71.70     3.55     5.63     0.00     0.18    33.59     7.82P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   58  +13      70.91     3.80    15.96     0.00     0.13    33.34     8.93P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   56   +9      67.36     3.69     9.58     0.00     0.00     7.71     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   53   +2      63.91     3.53     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   53   -2      64.57     3.95    -2.93     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   51  +10      59.77     3.45     8.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   50   -3      61.05     3.77    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       38   49  -11      58.91     3.74   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   47  -12      53.94     3.36   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   43  -20      52.85     3.78   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.14  
Northampton          38   41  -19      49.45     3.62   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.49R    1.51  
Bradford             38   40   -5      48.99     3.62    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.75R    1.47  
Barnet               38   39  -23      47.41     3.59   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.27R    6.18  
Dag_&_Red            39   38  -27      45.57     3.36   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.57R   12.63  
Plymouth             39   37  -17      46.15     3.44   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.68R    8.79  
Macclesfield         39   36  -15      43.27     3.29   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.74R   26.73  
Hereford             39   35  -22      42.55     3.37   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.57R   42.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     40   95  +54     105.25     3.18    57.10    81.68   100.00    87.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   86  +48     100.36     3.62    53.31    18.32   100.00    47.95P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   71  +27      81.37     3.23    30.44     0.00    82.54    13.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          39   69   +4      78.62     3.54     3.86     0.00    46.26     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   67  +31      82.66     3.57    38.59     0.00    88.98    32.42P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   64  +31      78.77     4.02    34.67     0.00    56.40    12.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   64  +15      72.96     3.18    16.07     0.00     5.36     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   64   +6      73.89     3.50     6.28     0.00     8.27     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   63  +19      74.29     3.49    21.61     0.00    11.62     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       39   58  +16      68.64     3.50    17.53     0.00     0.36     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   56  +10      67.60     3.71    11.10     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     39   56   +0      64.61     3.44    -1.82     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             40   55   -9      62.65     3.24    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   38   49   -8      58.73     3.65   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           39   45  -15      53.80     3.46   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      39   41  -25      47.29     3.18   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Stockport          40   38  -24      46.38     3.28   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        39   37  -19      44.66     3.39   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.97R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       38   36  -15      47.27     3.73   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.04R    0.00  
Newport_County     37   35  -11      46.87     3.92   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   34  -28      40.71     3.28   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.41R    0.28  
Darlington         38   29  -19      40.00     3.68   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.28R    1.79  
Kettering          40   29  -46      34.59     2.96   -50.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   20.07  
Bath_City          39   24  -42      30.56     3.27   -46.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.50R   77.85  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3