Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 23 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2012, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 29 70 +46 90.48 3.36 59.99 68.31 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 69 +50 87.64 3.67 60.47 31.69 99.78 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 55 +19 72.71 3.80 28.04 0.00 0.21 63.19 90.13 99.97 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 54 +18 70.08 3.92 23.87 0.00 0.03 27.17 73.22 99.79 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 49 +15 66.64 3.73 23.71 0.00 0.00 9.54 35.15 98.13 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 29 47 +0 58.87 3.94 -0.90 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.97 49.94 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 42 +6 57.94 3.97 11.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.54 45.91 0.00 0.00 Swansea 29 39 +0 50.32 3.80 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.19 0.00R 0.00 Sunderland 29 37 +3 48.57 3.76 1.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00R 0.00 Everton 29 37 -4 50.08 3.90 -3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.79 0.00 0.00 Stoke 29 37 -12 48.43 3.88 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.02R 0.00 Fulham 29 36 -3 47.11 3.75 -5.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.00R 0.00 West_Brom 29 36 -3 47.29 3.87 -5.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.02R 0.00 Norwich 29 36 -7 45.40 3.76 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.05R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 33 -4 44.71 4.03 -7.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.15R 0.00 Blackburn 29 28 -18 37.24 3.70 -23.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.58R 0.75 QPR 29 25 -18 31.89 3.37 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.60R 10.91 Bolton 28 23 -26 34.76 4.19 -29.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.08R 5.25 Wigan 29 22 -29 29.05 3.33 -38.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.43R 47.16 Wolverhampton 29 22 -33 30.18 3.67 -39.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.05R 35.93Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2012, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 38 75 +35 89.22 3.70 39.89 82.99 96.99 100.00 97.92P 0.00 0.00 Reading 38 70 +20 82.17 3.71 21.81 7.23 42.84 99.37 59.27P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 37 68 +21 82.91 4.08 24.70 9.63 55.55 99.42 69.24P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 38 61 +8 71.35 3.70 7.26 0.00 0.31 36.35 6.59P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 38 60 +12 72.58 3.84 14.51 0.02 0.73 54.76 14.00P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 37 60 +3 72.98 3.97 4.06 0.04 0.71 51.71 10.06P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 37 59 +19 73.94 3.99 22.80 0.08 2.46 68.87 23.61P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 59 +7 71.64 3.78 9.56 0.00 0.19 42.11 9.71P 0.00 0.00 Hull 37 58 +7 70.87 3.90 7.95 0.00 0.21 32.89 6.94P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 54 +1 64.99 3.75 0.84 0.00 0.00 3.11 0.53P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 37 53 +5 64.45 3.83 4.07 0.00 0.00 2.55 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 37 52 +7 65.73 4.09 9.02 0.00 0.01 6.00 1.22P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 52 -9 61.87 3.70 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 37 51 -5 63.53 4.09 -4.78 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Watford 38 51 -10 60.86 3.78 -11.84 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 37 49 +3 61.84 3.96 3.67 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 37 44 -2 55.66 4.14 -3.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Barnsley 38 43 -16 51.67 3.62 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.53R 0.01 Millwall 38 40 -9 50.11 3.73 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.34R 0.10 Nott'm_Forest 37 38 -18 49.11 3.92 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.30R 0.39 Bristol_City 38 35 -29 43.62 3.52 -32.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.06R 9.84 Coventry 38 32 -19 41.42 3.56 -21.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.29R 22.58 Doncaster 37 31 -28 39.26 3.63 -34.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.64R 53.09 Portsmouth 37 30 -3 42.69 3.92 -2.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.70R 14.01 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 38 82 +40 96.83 3.67 45.89 93.06 99.05 100.00 99.36P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 73 +32 88.28 3.69 38.53 5.23 60.50 100.00 73.98P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 71 +21 84.28 3.77 24.55 0.38 13.46 99.91 32.89P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 37 68 +32 84.12 4.04 37.72 1.10 17.92 99.86 45.82P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 37 66 +32 82.05 4.06 37.57 0.23 9.06 99.58 34.20P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 36 57 -2 69.22 4.21 -4.50 0.00 0.00 25.91 2.88P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 36 56 +17 71.08 4.25 19.08 0.00 0.01 52.46 7.94P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 56 +4 67.97 3.85 5.50 0.00 0.00 16.26 2.08P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 51 +1 64.18 4.09 2.24 0.00 0.00 4.24 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 37 48 -4 59.94 3.98 -4.56 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.06P 0.07R 0.00 Brentford 36 47 +2 61.08 4.24 2.57 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.18P 0.06R 0.00 Hartlepool 38 47 -4 56.80 3.66 -5.63 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.36R 0.00 Preston 37 46 -10 57.22 4.00 -11.76 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.74R 0.00 Yeovil 38 46 -13 55.97 3.70 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.36R 0.00 Tranmere 38 45 -3 55.64 3.70 -3.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 1.43R 0.00 Oldham 36 45 -10 57.35 4.20 -12.06 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 1.03R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 36 43 -15 54.76 4.14 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 4.56R 0.03 Scunthorpe 38 42 -4 52.86 3.76 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.82R 0.06 Bury 38 42 -21 50.78 3.68 -24.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.13R 0.26 Wycombe 38 39 -15 47.47 3.64 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.73R 2.81 Walsall 37 38 -6 48.97 3.86 -8.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.68R 1.62 Rochdale 38 34 -25 43.47 3.68 -27.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.16R 25.31 Exeter 38 34 -27 42.62 3.59 -30.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.40R 34.51 Chesterfield 38 33 -22 42.08 3.66 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.46R 35.39League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 23 March 2012, Macclesfield vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 37 76 +36 93.52 3.88 43.74 94.08 99.79 100.00 99.87P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 38 69 +13 81.93 3.81 15.90 0.95 42.49 98.37 57.13P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 37 68 +19 83.63 3.99 23.71 2.72 65.04 99.49 75.58P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 67 +19 80.89 3.72 23.45 0.48 38.01 98.00 56.00P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 65 +17 82.00 4.38 22.04 1.75 47.91 97.92 59.94P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 38 64 +14 75.16 3.74 14.25 0.01 3.60 71.39 16.48P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 37 61 +16 73.43 4.05 16.25 0.01 2.37 56.11 14.66P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 38 58 +3 70.34 3.83 5.02 0.00 0.14 21.47 4.90P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 37 57 +13 71.55 4.07 16.34 0.00 0.54 38.88 10.94P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 37 56 +10 68.57 3.92 10.36 0.00 0.10 13.18 3.35P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 38 53 +5 65.27 3.79 6.99 0.00 0.00 2.51 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 37 53 -2 64.58 3.95 -2.95 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 38 51 +11 61.08 3.74 9.67 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 37 50 -2 62.67 4.02 -1.45 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 37 46 -12 56.93 4.01 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 38 44 -16 52.09 3.62 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60R 0.07 Burton_Albion 37 43 -16 54.48 4.06 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.05 Northampton 37 40 -19 49.88 3.88 -23.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.59R 1.65 Bradford 37 39 -5 49.11 3.87 -8.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.89R 1.73 Barnet 38 39 -23 47.41 3.58 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.29R 5.40 Macclesfield 39 36 -15 43.22 3.31 -18.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.57R 26.68 Plymouth 38 36 -17 46.45 3.72 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.94R 7.90 Hereford 38 35 -21 43.73 3.66 -24.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.87R 27.39 Dag_&_Red 38 35 -28 43.78 3.65 -31.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.88R 29.13Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 39 92 +52 103.99 3.48 55.68 59.37 100.00 72.44P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 86 +49 102.55 3.81 55.52 40.63 100.00 61.11P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 39 71 +29 82.38 3.47 31.86 0.00 88.46 13.26P 0.00 0.00 Luton 37 66 +31 83.76 3.79 39.79 0.00 92.07 32.66P 0.00 0.00 Southport 38 66 +3 76.27 3.74 1.66 0.00 20.45 1.42P 0.00 0.00 York 36 64 +32 80.99 4.25 37.00 0.00 76.10 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 38 63 +6 74.24 3.77 6.25 0.00 9.42 0.91P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 62 +19 74.09 3.73 20.69 0.00 9.98 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 39 61 +13 71.56 3.48 14.36 0.00 2.53 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 56 +11 69.32 3.98 12.60 0.00 0.91 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 38 55 +15 66.18 3.68 15.30 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 39 55 -5 64.54 3.56 -5.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 38 53 -4 62.43 3.70 -6.83 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 37 46 -9 57.73 3.97 -10.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 38 44 -15 54.14 3.73 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 38 38 -26 45.17 3.48 -32.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.76R 0.03 AFC_Telford 38 36 -19 44.86 3.67 -22.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.88R 0.04 Newport_County 36 35 -9 48.12 4.18 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.02R 0.01 Stockport 39 35 -28 45.04 3.56 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.72R 0.13 Lincoln_City 37 33 -17 45.66 4.02 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.15R 0.04 Hayes_&_Yeading 38 33 -28 41.38 3.60 -32.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.34R 0.81 Darlington 37 29 -17 41.09 3.91 -17.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.64R 2.08 Kettering 39 29 -45 35.54 3.23 -49.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.04R 22.77 Bath_City 38 24 -38 31.71 3.53 -43.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.46R 74.10 Adjustments: Darlington -10 Kettering -3