Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2012, Everton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   70  +46      90.46     3.36    59.98    67.62    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   69  +50      87.68     3.69    60.55    32.38    99.68    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   55  +19      72.69     3.84    27.99     0.00     0.31    63.22    89.83    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   54  +18      70.08     3.91    23.86     0.00     0.02    27.14    73.51    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   49  +15      66.63     3.73    23.74     0.00     0.00     9.55    35.10    98.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   47   +0      58.87     3.93    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.99    50.11     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +6      57.90     3.95    11.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58    45.68     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   39   +0      50.34     3.85    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.47     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      29   37   +3      48.57     3.77     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   37   -4      50.05     3.93    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           29   37  -12      48.46     3.92   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          29   36   -3      47.11     3.76    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       29   36   -3      47.32     3.87    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         29   36   -7      45.35     3.76   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -4      44.73     4.02    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.16R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   28  -18      37.21     3.66   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.42R    0.74  
QPR             29   25  -18      31.88     3.35   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.77R   10.81  
Bolton          28   23  -26      34.74     4.21   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.32R    5.52  
Wigan           29   22  -29      29.06     3.35   -38.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.33R   47.25  
Wolverhampton   29   22  -33      30.21     3.68   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.92R   35.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 March 2012, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      38   75  +35      89.24     3.72    39.90    82.97    96.90   100.00    97.91P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   70  +20      82.14     3.71    21.77     7.28    42.36    99.41    59.14P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   68  +21      82.93     4.09    24.74     9.62    56.20    99.37    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   61   +8      71.36     3.71     7.26     0.00     0.27    36.40     6.52P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        38   60  +12      72.65     3.85    14.60     0.03     0.77    55.14    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   60   +3      72.94     3.97     4.00     0.04     0.62    50.95     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       37   59  +19      74.00     3.98    22.88     0.06     2.52    69.29    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   59   +7      71.63     3.77     9.49     0.00     0.17    41.71     9.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   58   +7      70.94     3.88     8.05     0.00     0.20    33.35     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   54   +1      65.01     3.79     0.86     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   53   +5      64.45     3.81     4.07     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   52   +7      65.79     4.08     9.11     0.00     0.00     6.15     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            38   52   -9      61.95     3.69   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   51   -5      63.53     4.08    -4.74     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   51  -10      60.78     3.78   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   49   +3      61.89     3.97     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   44   -2      55.66     4.15    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   43  -16      51.67     3.61   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.01  
Millwall         38   40   -9      50.02     3.72   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.34R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    37   38  -18      49.03     3.89   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.64R    0.32  
Bristol_City     38   35  -29      43.59     3.52   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.90R    9.81  
Coventry         38   32  -19      41.44     3.55   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.80R   22.48  
Doncaster        37   31  -28      39.28     3.62   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.42R   52.82  
Portsmouth       37   30   -3      42.60     3.90    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.38R   14.46  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        38   82  +40      96.89     3.64    45.94    93.45    99.03   100.00    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   73  +32      88.26     3.65    38.52     4.89    60.98   100.00    74.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   71  +21      84.20     3.77    24.44     0.35    13.11    99.93    32.40P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   68  +32      84.12     4.05    37.74     1.14    18.15    99.88    46.48P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         37   66  +32      82.02     4.02    37.54     0.18     8.73    99.52    33.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        36   57   -2      69.20     4.21    -4.56     0.00     0.00    25.65     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   56  +17      71.14     4.27    19.15     0.00     0.01    53.52     8.33P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    38   56   +4      67.91     3.82     5.40     0.00     0.00    15.83     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      37   51   +1      64.17     4.07     2.22     0.00     0.00     3.97     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     37   48   -4      59.96     3.97    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       36   47   +2      61.05     4.24     2.54     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool      38   47   -4      56.84     3.65    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.36R    0.00  
Preston         37   46  -10      57.29     4.00   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.75R    0.00  
Yeovil          38   46  -13      55.92     3.70   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.35R    0.00  
Tranmere        38   45   -3      55.66     3.69    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Oldham          36   45  -10      57.40     4.22   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.06R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   36   43  -15      54.77     4.12   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.39R    0.05  
Scunthorpe      38   42   -4      52.84     3.78    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.89R    0.05  
Bury            38   42  -21      50.77     3.68   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.37R    0.24  
Wycombe         38   39  -15      47.46     3.64   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.03R    2.88  
Walsall         37   38   -6      48.94     3.85    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.74R    1.69  
Rochdale        38   34  -25      43.53     3.68   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.88R   25.10  
Exeter          38   34  -27      42.62     3.61   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.21R   34.38  
Chesterfield    38   33  -22      42.06     3.68   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.52R   35.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.52     3.90    43.72    94.17    99.76   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              38   69  +13      81.89     3.81    15.83     0.94    42.73    98.42    57.64P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   68  +19      83.58     3.97    23.66     2.77    65.01    99.51    75.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   67  +19      80.86     3.73    23.43     0.54    37.98    97.95    56.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   65  +17      81.92     4.36    21.92     1.56    47.45    97.85    59.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   64  +14      75.14     3.76    14.21     0.01     3.62    70.94    16.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   61  +16      73.50     4.06    16.34     0.00     2.58    57.05    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   58   +3      70.32     3.83     5.00     0.00     0.21    21.28     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   57  +13      71.44     4.06    16.19     0.00     0.58    38.16    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   56  +10      68.57     3.94    10.36     0.00     0.09    13.61     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   53   +5      65.30     3.79     7.02     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   53   -2      64.63     3.94    -2.89     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   51  +11      61.03     3.73     9.64     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   50   -2      62.66     4.03    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   46  -12      56.94     4.00   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   44  -16      52.15     3.62   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        37   43  -16      54.47     4.06   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.07  
Northampton          37   40  -19      49.85     3.89   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.10R    1.72  
Bradford             37   39   -5      49.09     3.86    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.35R    1.82  
Barnet               37   38  -23      47.63     3.84   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.26R    6.82  
Plymouth             38   36  -17      46.53     3.75   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.38R    8.33  
Macclesfield         38   35  -15      43.82     3.60   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.56R   23.50  
Hereford             38   35  -21      43.75     3.65   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.13R   28.01  
Dag_&_Red            38   35  -28      43.82     3.66   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.12R   29.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     39   92  +52     103.96     3.47    55.63    58.69   100.00    71.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   86  +49     102.60     3.83    55.58    41.31   100.00    61.90P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   71  +29      82.35     3.46    31.79     0.00    88.35    13.31P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   66  +31      83.74     3.81    39.75     0.00    92.04    32.57P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          38   66   +3      76.24     3.74     1.61     0.00    20.44     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +32      80.96     4.22    36.97     0.00    76.43    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          38   63   +6      74.26     3.77     6.27     0.00     9.46     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   62  +19      74.04     3.72    20.58     0.00     9.75     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   61  +13      71.65     3.46    14.52     0.00     2.57     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   56  +11      69.29     3.99    12.56     0.00     0.86     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       38   55  +15      66.14     3.69    15.25     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             39   55   -5      64.52     3.57    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     38   53   -4      62.46     3.69    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   46   -9      57.76     3.95   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           38   44  -15      54.15     3.73   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   38  -26      45.23     3.46   -32.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.46R    0.02  
AFC_Telford        38   36  -19      44.86     3.68   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.93R    0.04  
Newport_County     36   35   -9      48.16     4.18    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.01  
Stockport          39   35  -28      45.01     3.54   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.88R    0.14  
Lincoln_City       37   33  -17      45.72     4.01   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.92R    0.05  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   33  -28      41.38     3.58   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.65R    0.76  
Darlington         37   29  -17      41.08     3.87   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.58R    2.01  
Kettering          39   29  -45      35.51     3.23   -50.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.13R   23.20  
Bath_City          38   24  -38      31.71     3.55   -43.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.43R   73.78  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3