Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   70  +46      90.52     3.37    60.05    75.25    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   66  +49      86.37     3.96    59.96    24.75    99.30    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   53  +18      71.27     4.13    25.13     0.00     0.30    40.84    77.65    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   52  +18      71.25     4.09    27.31     0.00     0.36    43.97    78.32    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   49  +16      67.67     3.96    24.23     0.00     0.05    14.93    41.45    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   47   +0      58.82     3.91    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.83    38.69     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   42   +7      59.86     4.17    13.06     0.00     0.00     0.21     1.75    58.59     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   39   +0      50.28     3.83    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      29   37   +3      48.63     3.77     1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         28   37   -3      51.32     4.16    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   36   -3      47.08     3.76    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom       29   36   -3      47.32     3.85    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         29   36   -7      45.34     3.74   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           28   36  -12      48.14     4.05   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -4      44.68     4.04    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   28  -18      37.21     3.69   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.41R    0.46  
Bolton          28   23  -26      34.71     4.19   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.72R    4.47  
QPR             28   22  -19      29.59     3.54   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.38R   26.60  
Wigan           29   22  -29      29.10     3.35   -38.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.22R   38.87  
Wolverhampton   29   22  -33      30.22     3.67   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.12R   29.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Brighton vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      38   75  +35      89.22     3.72    39.86    82.87    96.70   100.00    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   70  +20      82.16     3.72    21.81     7.47    42.24    99.26    58.61P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   68  +21      82.92     4.07    24.74     9.48    55.64    99.29    68.89P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   61   +8      71.37     3.71     7.28     0.00     0.28    33.57     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   60   +3      72.97     3.98     4.04     0.03     0.61    48.32     9.20P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       37   59  +19      73.93     3.98    22.76     0.06     2.35    66.35    22.71P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        37   59  +12      73.39     4.11    15.20     0.07     1.47    59.17    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   58   +7      72.66     4.00    10.49     0.01     0.53    49.35    11.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   58   +7      70.90     3.86     8.02     0.00     0.16    30.41     6.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   54   +1      65.01     3.74     0.86     0.00     0.00     2.53     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   53   +5      64.48     3.82     4.12     0.00     0.00     2.14     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            38   52   -9      61.94     3.69   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +7      65.77     4.30     8.47     0.00     0.01     6.46     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   51  -10      60.73     3.76   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   49   +4      63.27     4.26     4.71     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   48   -6      61.87     4.33    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   44   -2      55.69     4.15    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   43  -16      51.69     3.63   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32R    0.01  
Millwall         38   40   -9      50.05     3.71   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.25R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    37   38  -18      49.12     3.91   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.22R    0.34  
Bristol_City     38   35  -29      43.58     3.49   -32.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.85R    9.26  
Coventry         37   31  -19      41.13     3.74   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.19R   25.18  
Doncaster        37   31  -28      39.29     3.64   -34.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.15R   51.29  
Portsmouth       37   30   -3      42.61     3.92    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.90R   13.84  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        38   82  +40      96.83     3.66    45.86    93.12    99.04   100.00    99.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   73  +32      88.25     3.67    38.51     5.14    60.55   100.00    74.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   71  +21      84.23     3.80    24.47     0.40    13.72    99.92    32.69P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    37   68  +32      84.13     4.01    37.72     1.11    17.73    99.86    46.22P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         37   66  +32      82.05     4.04    37.57     0.24     8.95    99.51    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        36   57   -2      69.23     4.20    -4.50     0.00     0.00    26.02     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       36   56  +17      71.15     4.26    19.19     0.00     0.01    53.14     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    38   56   +4      67.93     3.85     5.43     0.00     0.00    15.64     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      37   51   +1      64.15     4.05     2.20     0.00     0.00     4.11     0.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     37   48   -4      59.98     3.97    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       36   47   +2      61.08     4.23     2.56     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Hartlepool      38   47   -4      56.86     3.63    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.37R    0.00  
Preston         37   46  -10      57.25     4.02   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.75R    0.00  
Yeovil          38   46  -13      55.92     3.69   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Tranmere        38   45   -3      55.65     3.67    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.30R    0.00  
Oldham          36   45  -10      57.37     4.21   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.14R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   36   43  -15      54.84     4.14   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.34R    0.02  
Scunthorpe      38   42   -4      52.84     3.80    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.78R    0.07  
Bury            38   42  -21      50.73     3.66   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.31R    0.25  
Wycombe         38   39  -15      47.48     3.64   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.57R    2.73  
Walsall         37   38   -6      48.90     3.88    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.42R    1.85  
Rochdale        38   34  -25      43.52     3.69   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.85R   25.01  
Exeter          38   34  -27      42.59     3.59   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.33R   34.72  
Chesterfield    38   33  -22      42.07     3.66   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.38R   35.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              37   76  +36      93.53     3.88    43.73    94.25    99.73   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              38   69  +13      81.87     3.82    15.80     0.87    41.95    98.39    56.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   68  +19      83.63     3.98    23.71     2.79    65.19    99.51    75.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   67  +19      80.91     3.73    23.51     0.51    38.37    98.04    56.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   65  +17      81.95     4.40    21.92     1.57    47.91    97.78    59.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   64  +14      75.16     3.76    14.24     0.00     3.63    71.29    16.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   61  +16      73.45     4.04    16.26     0.00     2.40    56.19    14.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   58   +3      70.37     3.85     5.09     0.00     0.19    21.76     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   57  +13      71.46     4.06    16.20     0.00     0.54    37.93    10.47P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   56  +10      68.64     3.95    10.47     0.00     0.09    14.00     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   53   +5      65.25     3.78     6.95     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   53   -2      64.57     3.97    -2.96     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   51  +11      61.05     3.75     9.65     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   50   -2      62.69     4.01    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       37   46  -12      56.94     3.98   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        38   44  -16      52.09     3.59   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.10  
Burton_Albion        37   43  -16      54.51     4.08   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.06  
Northampton          37   40  -19      49.87     3.88   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    1.77  
Bradford             37   39   -5      49.16     3.86    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.01R    1.70  
Barnet               37   38  -23      47.59     3.84   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.17R    6.86  
Plymouth             38   36  -17      46.49     3.73   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.62R    8.28  
Macclesfield         38   35  -15      43.81     3.58   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.50R   22.89  
Hereford             38   35  -21      43.74     3.64   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.95R   28.07  
Dag_&_Red            38   35  -28      43.75     3.63   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.66R   30.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     39   92  +52     103.98     3.46    55.67    59.41   100.00    72.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   86  +49     102.56     3.82    55.51    40.59   100.00    61.49P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   71  +29      82.37     3.44    31.84     0.00    88.78    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   66  +31      83.77     3.78    39.79     0.00    92.38    32.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          38   66   +3      76.27     3.73     1.67     0.00    20.52     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +32      80.87     4.23    36.82     0.00    75.53    15.69P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          38   63   +6      74.21     3.76     6.19     0.00     9.39     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   62  +19      73.99     3.72    20.54     0.00     9.83     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   61  +13      71.63     3.46    14.48     0.00     2.54     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   56  +11      69.30     3.99    12.58     0.00     0.94     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       38   55  +15      66.18     3.67    15.32     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             39   55   -5      64.45     3.55    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     38   53   -4      62.49     3.70    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   37   46   -9      57.73     3.94   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           38   44  -15      54.24     3.76   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town      38   38  -26      45.21     3.46   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.59R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        38   36  -19      44.91     3.68   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    0.03  
Newport_County     36   35   -9      48.28     4.18    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.01  
Stockport          39   35  -28      45.02     3.58   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.91R    0.14  
Lincoln_City       37   33  -17      45.63     3.99   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.87R    0.07  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   33  -28      41.40     3.60   -32.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.03R    0.83  
Darlington         37   29  -17      41.07     3.90   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.85R    2.01  
Kettering          39   29  -45      35.48     3.23   -50.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.35R   23.72  
Bath_City          38   24  -38      31.73     3.54   -43.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.49R   73.16  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3