Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   67  +41      89.64     3.58    56.25    68.85    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   66  +49      86.36     3.97    59.93    31.15    99.30    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   53  +18      71.23     4.12    25.07     0.00     0.26    40.95    77.40    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   52  +18      71.20     4.11    27.26     0.00     0.46    43.61    78.22    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   49  +16      67.63     3.95    24.24     0.00     0.04    15.19    41.86    98.19     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   44   -1      57.79     4.19    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.58    31.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   42   +7      59.94     4.18    13.17     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.93    62.98     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      28   37   +5      50.16     4.05     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37   -3      51.32     4.17    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.83     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   36   +0      49.16     4.02    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   36   -3      47.92     4.00    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         28   36   -6      46.18     3.97   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           28   36  -12      48.03     4.06   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       28   35   -3      47.92     4.12    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -4      44.71     4.01    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   25  -20      35.47     3.96   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.45R    2.50  
Bolton          28   23  -26      34.74     4.19   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.04R    4.61  
QPR             28   22  -19      29.70     3.57   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.05R   28.06  
Wolverhampton   28   22  -28      30.87     3.83   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.41R   24.33  
Wigan           28   21  -29      29.26     3.63   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.91R   40.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      36   69  +32      86.06     4.25    36.98    53.68    82.51    99.85    87.68P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   67  +18      82.29     4.22    20.37    15.61    41.84    97.98    57.67P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   66  +21      84.25     4.58    25.58    29.21    65.58    98.96    75.55P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   59   +6      73.92     4.37     5.91     0.37     2.25    52.58    11.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   58   +8      71.08     4.21     7.23     0.05     0.50    29.23     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   57   +9      72.74     4.33    10.19     0.19     1.26    44.42    10.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   57   +7      73.33     4.25    10.93     0.12     1.11    50.84    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       35   56  +19      74.39     4.49    23.80     0.63     3.99    64.56    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   56  +10      72.10     4.36    13.63     0.13     0.92    42.01    10.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   53   +5      67.45     4.27     6.00     0.00     0.03     9.81     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +7      65.77     4.31     8.47     0.00     0.01     5.30     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      63.49     4.29     3.55     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            36   49   -8      61.35     4.18    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          35   48   +4      63.20     4.45     4.06     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   47  -12      59.71     4.25   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   45   -7      60.44     4.60    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   43  -11      54.12     4.11   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   41   -3      54.76     4.60    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.73R    0.01  
Millwall         36   37  -11      49.36     4.19   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.53R    0.81  
Nott'm_Forest    36   35  -22      46.66     4.09   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.61R    3.77  
Bristol_City     36   34  -27      45.02     4.01   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.51R    9.13  
Doncaster        35   31  -24      42.30     4.17   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.61R   25.12  
Coventry         36   30  -19      41.16     3.97   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.32R   32.63  
Portsmouth       35   26   -6      41.44     4.40    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.12R   28.53  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Colchester vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        36   78  +37      96.57     4.15    44.38    90.27    98.01   100.00    98.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   69  +29      87.69     4.19    36.48     6.44    55.40    99.93    70.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   67  +20      83.66     4.28    24.49     0.79    14.64    99.06    33.48P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   64  +30      83.74     4.54    37.11     1.89    20.25    99.08    47.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   62  +29      81.96     4.51    36.35     0.60    11.55    97.91    35.41P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   56   +8      70.58     4.31     9.28     0.00     0.01    26.55     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        34   55   -2      69.93     4.70    -4.63     0.00     0.04    22.32     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   54  +17      72.18     4.74    19.62     0.00     0.10    47.73     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   49   +1      64.36     4.51     1.41     0.00     0.00     3.55     0.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       34   47   +5      63.93     4.70     5.73     0.00     0.00     3.43     0.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool      36   46   -3      58.83     4.18    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.25R    0.00  
Bournemouth     35   44   -5      59.00     4.51    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.41R    0.00  
Yeovil          36   43  -11      55.13     4.09   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.38R    0.02  
Oldham          34   42  -10      56.86     4.67   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.28R    0.02  
Preston         35   42  -11      55.85     4.53   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.15R    0.02  
Tranmere        36   41   -5      53.47     4.10    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.56R    0.05  
Bury            36   41  -18      52.85     4.23   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.60R    0.21  
Scunthorpe      36   40   -4      53.40     4.31    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.30R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient   34   40  -14      53.88     4.54   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.63R    0.20  
Walsall         35   37   -5      50.13     4.33    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.09R    1.23  
Exeter          36   34  -24      45.64     4.16   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.28R   13.49  
Wycombe         36   33  -20      43.40     4.13   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.60R   26.32  
Chesterfield    36   32  -20      42.79     4.11   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.97R   31.03  
Rochdale        36   31  -24      43.32     4.18   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.47R   27.29  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              35   73  +36      94.32     4.36    45.31    93.28    99.69   100.00    99.82P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   66  +12      81.34     4.27    14.41     1.40    40.61    97.76    55.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   65  +18      83.96     4.45    23.60     3.65    68.54    99.41    78.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   64  +19      81.45     4.23    24.67     1.07    47.91    98.32    63.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   64  +19      77.94     4.25    19.33     0.22    18.02    90.89    33.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         34   59  +15      78.39     4.84    19.44     0.36    22.32    90.02    37.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   55  +14      70.74     4.54    15.08     0.00     1.17    39.67    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   54  +11      71.29     4.58    14.32     0.01     1.35    43.97    12.94P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   53  +10      68.75     4.43    10.97     0.00     0.33    21.94     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   52   +0      66.94     4.33     1.78     0.00     0.05     9.65     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   50   +4      65.42     4.27     6.55     0.00     0.01     5.97     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   47   +9      59.62     4.25     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            35   47   -4      60.90     4.41    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   46   -3      61.97     4.50    -1.63     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.26P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   44  -14      54.00     4.08   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.53R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        35   43  -12      57.62     4.57   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.12R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -13      55.92     4.49   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.35R    0.07  
Bradford             35   39   -3      51.35     4.31    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.78  
Northampton          35   37  -19      49.07     4.39   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.19R    4.13  
Barnet               35   37  -21      49.25     4.35   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.88R    4.44  
Macclesfield         36   35  -11      46.18     4.08   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.38R   10.77  
Hereford             36   35  -19      45.68     4.11   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.21R   14.58  
Plymouth             36   32  -18      45.07     4.26   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.49R   17.17  
Dag_&_Red            36   31  -30      42.37     4.16   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.45R   47.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     38   89  +49     102.84     3.72    53.35    50.12   100.00    65.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   86  +49     102.61     3.83    55.56    49.87   100.00    67.51P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   66  +34      85.85     4.02    43.95     0.00    97.63    36.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   65  +19      79.50     4.01    22.35     0.00    68.61     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +32      81.01     4.23    37.01     0.00    81.90    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          37   63   -2      74.46     3.97    -3.67     0.00    15.80     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   58  +18      74.13     4.22    21.78     0.00    18.47     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   57  +10      70.64     4.03    11.82     0.00     4.29     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   57   +4      71.00     4.23     4.24     0.00     4.56     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   55  +12      71.89     4.43    14.81     0.00     8.17     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             38   55   +2      65.83     3.77     1.75     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     37   53   -1      63.93     3.97    -3.60     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   52  +14      65.93     4.13    14.40     0.00     0.33     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   43  -11      55.50     4.17   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   42  -15      53.89     4.18   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        36   36  -15      47.31     4.17   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.02  
Stockport          38   35  -23      46.69     3.85   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      36   35  -25      44.34     3.95   -32.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.82R    0.23  
Newport_County     35   34   -9      47.96     4.37   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       36   33  -16      47.35     4.23   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   30  -29      39.87     4.03   -35.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.07R    2.68  
Darlington         36   29  -15      43.06     4.16   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.00R    0.67  
Kettering          37   26  -44      35.55     3.81   -48.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.79R   19.72  
Bath_City          36   21  -38      30.62     3.99   -44.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R   76.57  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3