Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 14 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 28 67 +41 89.64 3.59 56.29 69.01 99.95 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 66 +49 86.35 3.96 59.91 30.99 99.35 99.95 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 53 +18 71.27 4.12 25.16 0.00 0.27 41.28 77.63 99.81 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 52 +18 71.20 4.09 27.22 0.00 0.39 43.57 78.13 99.79 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 49 +16 67.62 3.97 24.23 0.00 0.04 14.94 41.71 98.13 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 28 44 -1 57.79 4.17 -1.02 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.58 31.68 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 42 +7 59.93 4.19 13.14 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.93 62.89 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 28 37 +5 50.17 4.06 4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.74 0.00 0.00 Everton 28 37 -3 51.35 4.17 -2.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.89 0.00 0.00 Fulham 28 36 +0 49.21 4.01 -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.00 0.00 Swansea 28 36 -3 47.94 4.03 -5.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 28 36 -6 46.14 3.97 -12.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 28 36 -12 48.07 4.08 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 28 35 -3 47.95 4.14 -4.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.02R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 33 -4 44.68 4.01 -7.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.09R 0.00 Blackburn 28 25 -20 35.47 3.95 -26.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.14R 2.70 Bolton 28 23 -26 34.71 4.21 -29.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.82R 4.77 QPR 28 22 -19 29.65 3.55 -29.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.50R 27.85 Wolverhampton 28 22 -28 30.90 3.84 -36.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.96R 23.81 Wigan 28 21 -29 29.21 3.62 -39.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.43R 40.87Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 36 69 +32 86.05 4.23 36.99 53.57 82.53 99.86 87.76P 0.00 0.00 Reading 36 67 +18 82.36 4.21 20.44 15.89 42.52 98.08 57.96P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 35 66 +21 84.18 4.57 25.47 28.86 64.79 98.98 75.01P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 59 +6 73.84 4.41 5.81 0.44 2.16 51.76 11.64P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 36 58 +8 71.10 4.21 7.22 0.06 0.46 29.16 5.53P 0.00 0.00 Hull 35 57 +9 72.80 4.35 10.30 0.21 1.36 44.85 10.52P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 36 57 +7 73.43 4.24 11.05 0.15 1.26 51.94 12.99P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 35 56 +19 74.35 4.47 23.74 0.70 3.89 64.04 23.69P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 36 56 +10 72.05 4.39 13.56 0.12 0.98 41.67 10.91P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 36 53 +5 67.55 4.26 6.19 0.00 0.04 9.96 2.01P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 36 51 +7 65.74 4.30 8.39 0.00 0.01 5.29 1.15P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 49 +4 63.39 4.30 3.44 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Derby 36 49 -8 61.32 4.14 -9.96 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 35 48 +4 63.30 4.47 4.18 0.00 0.00 1.99 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Watford 36 47 -12 59.67 4.24 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 35 45 -7 60.47 4.60 -6.47 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 36 43 -11 54.09 4.12 -14.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56R 0.00 Peterborough 35 41 -3 54.79 4.60 -5.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.69R 0.01 Millwall 36 37 -11 49.40 4.17 -12.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.14R 0.82 Nott'm_Forest 36 35 -22 46.64 4.07 -24.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.74R 3.62 Bristol_City 36 34 -27 45.08 4.01 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.79R 8.82 Doncaster 35 31 -24 42.33 4.15 -29.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.59R 25.21 Coventry 36 30 -19 41.07 3.98 -22.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.88R 32.97 Portsmouth 35 26 -6 41.40 4.36 -5.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.59R 28.54 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Colchester vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 36 78 +37 96.62 4.15 44.46 90.24 98.14 100.00 98.72P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 36 69 +29 87.73 4.19 36.49 6.43 55.70 99.92 70.55P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 67 +20 83.65 4.28 24.48 0.78 14.62 98.97 33.45P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 35 64 +30 83.64 4.56 36.96 1.97 19.57 99.02 46.27P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 35 62 +29 81.98 4.50 36.41 0.58 11.87 97.93 35.85P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 36 56 +8 70.61 4.27 9.35 0.00 0.01 26.13 3.72P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 34 55 -2 69.95 4.71 -4.57 0.00 0.02 22.49 2.75P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 34 54 +17 72.25 4.74 19.70 0.00 0.08 47.90 7.58P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 35 49 +1 64.38 4.55 1.46 0.00 0.00 3.74 0.52P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 34 47 +5 63.92 4.70 5.71 0.00 0.00 3.45 0.53P 0.01R 0.00 Hartlepool 36 46 -3 58.80 4.17 -4.27 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.22R 0.00 Bournemouth 35 44 -5 59.06 4.50 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 0.33R 0.00 Yeovil 36 43 -11 55.11 4.12 -13.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.45R 0.02 Oldham 34 42 -10 56.84 4.68 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 2.37R 0.02 Preston 35 42 -11 55.80 4.53 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 3.29R 0.03 Tranmere 36 41 -5 53.40 4.11 -6.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.91R 0.08 Bury 36 41 -18 52.90 4.27 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 11.58R 0.23 Scunthorpe 36 40 -4 53.32 4.30 -4.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.61R 0.13 Leyton_Orient 34 40 -14 53.87 4.55 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 8.54R 0.15 Walsall 35 37 -5 50.09 4.31 -7.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.22R 1.21 Exeter 36 34 -24 45.70 4.16 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.38R 13.40 Wycombe 36 33 -20 43.32 4.11 -25.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.99R 27.33 Chesterfield 36 32 -20 42.91 4.09 -24.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.47R 30.00 Rochdale 36 31 -24 43.31 4.17 -26.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.62R 27.39League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 35 73 +36 94.35 4.36 45.40 93.42 99.65 100.00 99.80P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 36 66 +12 81.28 4.29 14.31 1.30 39.93 97.69 54.78P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 35 65 +18 83.94 4.46 23.57 3.63 68.23 99.46 77.65P 0.00 0.00 Southend 36 64 +19 81.49 4.21 24.69 1.09 48.59 98.49 63.58P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 36 64 +19 78.02 4.25 19.46 0.18 18.16 90.96 33.24P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 34 59 +15 78.42 4.88 19.48 0.38 22.48 89.79 38.17P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 55 +14 70.75 4.52 15.10 0.00 1.22 40.21 10.34P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 35 54 +11 71.19 4.58 14.16 0.00 1.31 43.09 12.36P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 35 53 +10 68.78 4.43 11.03 0.00 0.38 22.34 5.75P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 36 52 +0 66.91 4.32 1.74 0.00 0.05 9.57 2.25P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 36 50 +4 65.28 4.27 6.35 0.00 0.01 5.83 1.54P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 36 47 +9 59.69 4.24 7.48 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.11P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 35 47 -4 60.94 4.37 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 46 -3 61.91 4.51 -1.69 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.29P 0.00R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 36 44 -14 54.01 4.10 -20.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.49R 0.05 Burton_Albion 35 43 -12 57.68 4.57 -12.71 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 0.13R 0.02 Bristol_Rovers 35 42 -13 55.84 4.48 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.34R 0.05 Bradford 35 39 -3 51.29 4.36 -7.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.71R 0.90 Northampton 35 37 -19 49.16 4.37 -24.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.78R 3.98 Barnet 35 37 -21 49.23 4.35 -25.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.01R 4.48 Macclesfield 36 35 -11 46.24 4.08 -14.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.16R 10.62 Hereford 36 35 -19 45.70 4.10 -23.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.16R 14.14 Plymouth 36 32 -18 45.13 4.26 -18.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.22R 17.40 Dag_&_Red 36 31 -30 42.36 4.16 -33.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.00R 48.37Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 38 89 +49 102.83 3.72 53.33 50.32 100.00 65.57P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 86 +49 102.58 3.80 55.54 49.67 100.00 67.00P 0.00 0.00 Luton 36 66 +34 85.90 4.03 43.98 0.00 97.56 37.04P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 37 65 +19 79.58 3.98 22.47 0.00 69.41 8.95P 0.00 0.00 York 36 64 +32 80.97 4.20 36.94 0.00 81.57 15.79P 0.00 0.00 Southport 37 63 -2 74.51 4.00 -3.60 0.00 16.11 0.93P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 36 58 +18 74.14 4.20 21.80 0.00 18.32 2.71P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 37 57 +10 70.58 3.99 11.74 0.00 3.95 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 36 57 +4 71.02 4.23 4.30 0.00 4.51 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 35 55 +12 71.87 4.44 14.75 0.00 7.97 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 38 55 +2 65.82 3.79 1.72 0.00 0.16 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 37 53 -1 63.99 4.00 -3.51 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 52 +14 66.00 4.13 14.53 0.00 0.40 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 36 43 -11 55.44 4.18 -13.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 36 42 -15 53.95 4.18 -17.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 AFC_Telford 36 36 -15 47.27 4.17 -18.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.97R 0.02 Stockport 38 35 -23 46.55 3.83 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.90R 0.05 Alfreton_Town 36 35 -25 44.28 3.96 -32.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.92R 0.26 Newport_County 35 34 -9 48.04 4.38 -10.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.73R 0.01 Lincoln_City 36 33 -16 47.36 4.25 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70R 0.02 Hayes_&_Yeading 36 30 -29 39.82 3.99 -36.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.82R 2.64 Darlington 36 29 -15 43.10 4.15 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.86R 0.65 Kettering 37 26 -44 35.56 3.83 -48.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.46R 19.73 Bath_City 36 21 -38 30.65 3.99 -44.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.62R 76.61 Adjustments: Darlington -10 Kettering -3