Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   67  +41      89.64     3.59    56.29    69.01    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   66  +49      86.35     3.96    59.91    30.99    99.35    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   53  +18      71.27     4.12    25.16     0.00     0.27    41.28    77.63    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   52  +18      71.20     4.09    27.22     0.00     0.39    43.57    78.13    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   49  +16      67.62     3.97    24.23     0.00     0.04    14.94    41.71    98.13     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   44   -1      57.79     4.17    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.58    31.68     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   42   +7      59.93     4.19    13.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.93    62.89     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      28   37   +5      50.17     4.06     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   37   -3      51.35     4.17    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   36   +0      49.21     4.01    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   36   -3      47.94     4.03    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         28   36   -6      46.14     3.97   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           28   36  -12      48.07     4.08   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       28   35   -3      47.95     4.14    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -4      44.68     4.01    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   25  -20      35.47     3.95   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.14R    2.70  
Bolton          28   23  -26      34.71     4.21   -29.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.82R    4.77  
QPR             28   22  -19      29.65     3.55   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.50R   27.85  
Wolverhampton   28   22  -28      30.90     3.84   -36.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.96R   23.81  
Wigan           28   21  -29      29.21     3.62   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.43R   40.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      36   69  +32      86.05     4.23    36.99    53.57    82.53    99.86    87.76P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   67  +18      82.36     4.21    20.44    15.89    42.52    98.08    57.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   66  +21      84.18     4.57    25.47    28.86    64.79    98.98    75.01P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   59   +6      73.84     4.41     5.81     0.44     2.16    51.76    11.64P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   58   +8      71.10     4.21     7.22     0.06     0.46    29.16     5.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   57   +9      72.80     4.35    10.30     0.21     1.36    44.85    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   57   +7      73.43     4.24    11.05     0.15     1.26    51.94    12.99P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       35   56  +19      74.35     4.47    23.74     0.70     3.89    64.04    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   56  +10      72.05     4.39    13.56     0.12     0.98    41.67    10.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   53   +5      67.55     4.26     6.19     0.00     0.04     9.96     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +7      65.74     4.30     8.39     0.00     0.01     5.29     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      63.39     4.30     3.44     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            36   49   -8      61.32     4.14    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   48   +4      63.30     4.47     4.18     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   47  -12      59.67     4.24   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   45   -7      60.47     4.60    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   43  -11      54.09     4.12   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Peterborough     35   41   -3      54.79     4.60    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.69R    0.01  
Millwall         36   37  -11      49.40     4.17   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.14R    0.82  
Nott'm_Forest    36   35  -22      46.64     4.07   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.74R    3.62  
Bristol_City     36   34  -27      45.08     4.01   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.79R    8.82  
Doncaster        35   31  -24      42.33     4.15   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.59R   25.21  
Coventry         36   30  -19      41.07     3.98   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R   32.97  
Portsmouth       35   26   -6      41.40     4.36    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.59R   28.54  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Colchester vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        36   78  +37      96.62     4.15    44.46    90.24    98.14   100.00    98.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   69  +29      87.73     4.19    36.49     6.43    55.70    99.92    70.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   67  +20      83.65     4.28    24.48     0.78    14.62    98.97    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   64  +30      83.64     4.56    36.96     1.97    19.57    99.02    46.27P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   62  +29      81.98     4.50    36.41     0.58    11.87    97.93    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   56   +8      70.61     4.27     9.35     0.00     0.01    26.13     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        34   55   -2      69.95     4.71    -4.57     0.00     0.02    22.49     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   54  +17      72.25     4.74    19.70     0.00     0.08    47.90     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   49   +1      64.38     4.55     1.46     0.00     0.00     3.74     0.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       34   47   +5      63.92     4.70     5.71     0.00     0.00     3.45     0.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool      36   46   -3      58.80     4.17    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.22R    0.00  
Bournemouth     35   44   -5      59.06     4.50    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.33R    0.00  
Yeovil          36   43  -11      55.11     4.12   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.45R    0.02  
Oldham          34   42  -10      56.84     4.68   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.37R    0.02  
Preston         35   42  -11      55.80     4.53   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.29R    0.03  
Tranmere        36   41   -5      53.40     4.11    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.91R    0.08  
Bury            36   41  -18      52.90     4.27   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.58R    0.23  
Scunthorpe      36   40   -4      53.32     4.30    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.61R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient   34   40  -14      53.87     4.55   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.54R    0.15  
Walsall         35   37   -5      50.09     4.31    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.22R    1.21  
Exeter          36   34  -24      45.70     4.16   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.38R   13.40  
Wycombe         36   33  -20      43.32     4.11   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.99R   27.33  
Chesterfield    36   32  -20      42.91     4.09   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.47R   30.00  
Rochdale        36   31  -24      43.31     4.17   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.62R   27.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              35   73  +36      94.35     4.36    45.40    93.42    99.65   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   66  +12      81.28     4.29    14.31     1.30    39.93    97.69    54.78P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   65  +18      83.94     4.46    23.57     3.63    68.23    99.46    77.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   64  +19      81.49     4.21    24.69     1.09    48.59    98.49    63.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   64  +19      78.02     4.25    19.46     0.18    18.16    90.96    33.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         34   59  +15      78.42     4.88    19.48     0.38    22.48    89.79    38.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   55  +14      70.75     4.52    15.10     0.00     1.22    40.21    10.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   54  +11      71.19     4.58    14.16     0.00     1.31    43.09    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   53  +10      68.78     4.43    11.03     0.00     0.38    22.34     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   52   +0      66.91     4.32     1.74     0.00     0.05     9.57     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   50   +4      65.28     4.27     6.35     0.00     0.01     5.83     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   47   +9      59.69     4.24     7.48     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            35   47   -4      60.94     4.37    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   46   -3      61.91     4.51    -1.69     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   44  -14      54.01     4.10   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.49R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        35   43  -12      57.68     4.57   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.13R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -13      55.84     4.48   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.34R    0.05  
Bradford             35   39   -3      51.29     4.36    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.90  
Northampton          35   37  -19      49.16     4.37   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.78R    3.98  
Barnet               35   37  -21      49.23     4.35   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.01R    4.48  
Macclesfield         36   35  -11      46.24     4.08   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.16R   10.62  
Hereford             36   35  -19      45.70     4.10   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.16R   14.14  
Plymouth             36   32  -18      45.13     4.26   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.22R   17.40  
Dag_&_Red            36   31  -30      42.36     4.16   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.00R   48.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     38   89  +49     102.83     3.72    53.33    50.32   100.00    65.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   86  +49     102.58     3.80    55.54    49.67   100.00    67.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   66  +34      85.90     4.03    43.98     0.00    97.56    37.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   65  +19      79.58     3.98    22.47     0.00    69.41     8.95P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +32      80.97     4.20    36.94     0.00    81.57    15.79P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          37   63   -2      74.51     4.00    -3.60     0.00    16.11     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   58  +18      74.14     4.20    21.80     0.00    18.32     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   57  +10      70.58     3.99    11.74     0.00     3.95     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   57   +4      71.02     4.23     4.30     0.00     4.51     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   55  +12      71.87     4.44    14.75     0.00     7.97     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             38   55   +2      65.82     3.79     1.72     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     37   53   -1      63.99     4.00    -3.51     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   52  +14      66.00     4.13    14.53     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   43  -11      55.44     4.18   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   42  -15      53.95     4.18   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        36   36  -15      47.27     4.17   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.97R    0.02  
Stockport          38   35  -23      46.55     3.83   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.90R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town      36   35  -25      44.28     3.96   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.92R    0.26  
Newport_County     35   34   -9      48.04     4.38   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       36   33  -16      47.36     4.25   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.70R    0.02  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   30  -29      39.82     3.99   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.82R    2.64  
Darlington         36   29  -15      43.10     4.15   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.86R    0.65  
Kettering          37   26  -44      35.56     3.83   -48.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.46R   19.73  
Bath_City          36   21  -38      30.65     3.99   -44.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   76.61  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3