Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   67  +41      89.69     3.57    56.34    69.65    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   66  +49      86.31     3.97    59.87    30.35    99.29    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   53  +18      71.27     4.11    25.12     0.00     0.29    41.18    77.69    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   52  +18      71.19     4.12    27.24     0.00     0.42    43.40    78.21    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   49  +16      67.65     3.94    24.29     0.00     0.05    15.21    41.75    98.06     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   44   -1      57.78     4.16    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.55    31.63     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   42   +7      59.91     4.15    13.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.81    63.13     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      28   37   +5      50.12     4.04     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         28   37   -3      51.34     4.17    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   36   +0      49.10     3.99    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   36   -3      47.88     4.04    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         28   36   -6      46.17     3.97   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           28   36  -12      48.06     4.07   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom       28   35   -3      47.91     4.12    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -4      44.76     4.01    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   25  -20      35.48     3.94   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.94R    2.51  
Bolton          28   23  -26      34.68     4.19   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.65R    4.91  
QPR             28   22  -19      29.75     3.55   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.04R   27.07  
Wolverhampton   28   22  -28      30.93     3.88   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.80R   24.07  
Wigan           28   21  -29      29.24     3.63   -39.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.40R   41.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      36   69  +32      86.11     4.21    37.06    54.25    83.28    99.90    88.33P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   67  +18      82.28     4.20    20.38    15.18    41.55    98.05    57.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   66  +21      84.22     4.55    25.54    29.06    65.43    98.94    75.41P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   59   +6      73.92     4.40     5.92     0.40     2.17    52.64    11.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   58   +8      71.06     4.19     7.15     0.07     0.52    29.01     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   57   +9      72.71     4.33    10.18     0.15     1.19    44.08    10.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   57   +7      73.39     4.22    10.99     0.13     1.12    51.61    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       35   56  +19      74.40     4.45    23.79     0.66     3.74    64.61    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   56  +10      72.05     4.36    13.57     0.09     0.96    41.38    10.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   53   +5      67.52     4.27     6.12     0.00     0.04     9.91     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +7      65.75     4.27     8.42     0.00     0.00     5.19     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      63.52     4.32     3.61     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            36   49   -8      61.28     4.18   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   48   +4      63.28     4.49     4.15     0.00     0.01     2.07     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   47  -12      59.69     4.27   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   45   -7      60.48     4.58    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   43  -11      54.09     4.10   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.01  
Peterborough     35   41   -3      54.81     4.62    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.69R    0.02  
Millwall         36   37  -11      49.34     4.16   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.39R    0.81  
Nott'm_Forest    36   35  -22      46.67     4.08   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49R    3.54  
Bristol_City     36   34  -27      45.05     4.02   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.91R    8.80  
Doncaster        35   31  -24      42.25     4.16   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.80R   25.72  
Coventry         36   30  -19      41.12     3.97   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.38R   32.32  
Portsmouth       35   26   -6      41.37     4.36    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.80R   28.78  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, Colchester vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        36   78  +37      96.65     4.14    44.54    90.63    98.21   100.00    98.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       36   69  +29      87.74     4.20    36.53     6.28    55.67    99.91    70.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   67  +20      83.61     4.28    24.43     0.69    14.23    99.01    33.25P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   64  +30      83.76     4.50    37.10     1.86    20.10    99.12    46.72P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   62  +29      81.96     4.50    36.34     0.54    11.62    97.95    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   56   +8      70.61     4.31     9.32     0.00     0.01    26.53     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        34   55   -2      69.99     4.73    -4.54     0.00     0.03    22.44     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       34   54  +17      72.24     4.71    19.71     0.00     0.12    47.88     7.72P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      35   49   +1      64.32     4.51     1.36     0.00     0.00     3.54     0.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       34   47   +5      63.87     4.68     5.66     0.00     0.00     3.23     0.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool      36   46   -3      58.86     4.20    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.23R    0.00  
Bournemouth     35   44   -5      59.01     4.47    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.38R    0.00  
Yeovil          36   43  -11      55.06     4.12   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.61R    0.04  
Oldham          34   42  -10      56.85     4.66   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.30R    0.01  
Preston         35   42  -11      55.82     4.53   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.18R    0.03  
Tranmere        36   41   -5      53.45     4.10    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.63R    0.07  
Bury            36   41  -18      52.87     4.23   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.47R    0.22  
Scunthorpe      36   40   -4      53.31     4.30    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.60R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient   34   40  -14      53.84     4.54   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.71R    0.14  
Walsall         35   37   -5      50.08     4.31    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.95R    1.31  
Exeter          36   34  -24      45.67     4.15   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.76R   13.27  
Wycombe         36   33  -20      43.38     4.10   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.87R   26.79  
Chesterfield    36   32  -20      42.77     4.09   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.21R   31.14  
Rochdale        36   31  -24      43.42     4.19   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.09R   26.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              35   73  +36      94.37     4.35    45.41    93.45    99.68   100.00    99.79P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   66  +12      81.28     4.28    14.33     1.32    40.03    97.76    55.06P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   65  +18      83.92     4.46    23.52     3.64    68.14    99.40    77.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   64  +19      81.40     4.23    24.61     1.01    47.85    98.36    62.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   64  +19      78.04     4.25    19.48     0.21    18.60    91.36    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         34   59  +15      78.42     4.85    19.48     0.37    22.66    90.09    38.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   55  +14      70.71     4.53    15.07     0.00     1.27    39.61    10.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   54  +11      71.20     4.57    14.18     0.00     1.32    43.57    12.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   53  +10      68.76     4.41    11.00     0.00     0.37    22.12     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   52   +0      66.90     4.31     1.70     0.00     0.05     9.32     2.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   50   +4      65.31     4.26     6.42     0.00     0.01     5.76     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   47   +9      59.72     4.24     7.52     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            35   47   -4      60.87     4.37    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   46   -3      61.97     4.52    -1.61     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        36   44  -14      54.04     4.10   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.50R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        35   43  -12      57.59     4.56   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.15R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -13      55.86     4.51   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.39R    0.06  
Bradford             35   39   -3      51.28     4.34    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.81  
Northampton          35   37  -19      49.16     4.39   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.05R    4.16  
Barnet               35   37  -21      49.30     4.37   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.81R    4.52  
Macclesfield         36   35  -11      46.23     4.07   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.60R   10.68  
Hereford             36   35  -19      45.72     4.10   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.08R   14.43  
Plymouth             36   32  -18      45.13     4.24   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.11R   17.13  
Dag_&_Red            36   31  -30      42.38     4.16   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.67R   48.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     38   89  +49     102.87     3.71    53.42    50.46   100.00    66.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   86  +49     102.61     3.84    55.58    49.54   100.00    67.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   66  +34      85.86     4.02    43.96     0.00    97.68    36.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   65  +19      79.53     3.99    22.39     0.00    68.91     8.55P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +32      80.91     4.22    36.86     0.00    81.35    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          37   63   -2      74.46     3.97    -3.68     0.00    15.89     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   58  +18      74.18     4.20    21.89     0.00    18.81     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   57  +10      70.61     4.00    11.78     0.00     4.16     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   57   +4      71.01     4.22     4.27     0.00     4.64     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   55  +12      71.78     4.49    14.62     0.00     7.95     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             38   55   +2      65.90     3.80     1.84     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     37   53   -1      63.94     3.99    -3.56     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   52  +14      66.00     4.14    14.53     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   36   43  -11      55.54     4.19   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   42  -15      53.98     4.16   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Telford        36   36  -15      47.23     4.16   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.98R    0.01  
Stockport          38   35  -23      46.58     3.85   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.96R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town      36   35  -25      44.29     3.95   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.86R    0.23  
Newport_County     35   34   -9      48.04     4.34   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       36   33  -16      47.36     4.26   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.79R    0.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   30  -29      39.89     4.01   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.84R    2.67  
Darlington         36   29  -15      43.02     4.13   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.36R    0.69  
Kettering          37   26  -44      35.54     3.80   -48.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.03R   19.93  
Bath_City          36   21  -38      30.68     3.99   -44.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.54R   76.37  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10
Kettering          -3