Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 March 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2012, Man_Utd vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   67  +41      89.62     3.60    56.22    68.77    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   66  +49      86.37     3.98    60.00    31.23    99.40    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   53  +18      71.32     4.12    25.21     0.00     0.28    45.30    79.45    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   49  +17      70.30     4.34    27.50     0.00     0.32    37.62    73.14    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   49  +16      67.68     3.97    24.31     0.00     0.04    16.77    44.82    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   44   +0      58.40     4.35    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.38    41.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   39   +4      58.37     4.41    10.23     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.16    47.57     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      28   37   +5      50.10     4.05     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   37   +0      52.59     4.39     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.84     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          28   36   +0      49.16     4.03    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         28   36   -3      47.91     4.03    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         28   36   -6      46.14     3.99   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           28   36  -12      48.01     4.08   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom       28   35   -3      47.98     4.10    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -4      44.78     4.05    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   25  -20      35.50     3.97   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.79R    2.67  
Bolton          28   23  -26      34.72     4.22   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.15R    4.78  
QPR             28   22  -19      29.69     3.57   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.36R   27.38  
Wolverhampton   28   22  -28      30.87     3.84   -36.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.24R   24.11  
Wigan           28   21  -29      29.21     3.61   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.31R   41.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 March 2012, Middlesbrough vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      36   69  +32      86.13     4.21    37.09    50.53    79.65    99.89    85.54P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   66  +21      84.25     4.57    25.59    27.13    59.95    98.91    71.48P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          35   66  +18      83.22     4.44    21.15    19.68    46.57    98.27    61.06P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    35   59   +6      73.93     4.40     5.91     0.38     1.99    51.61    11.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   58   +8      71.01     4.20     7.09     0.05     0.34    27.85     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   57  +10      75.34     4.49    14.89     0.55     3.34    68.22    18.32P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       34   56  +21      76.01     4.68    26.15     1.54     7.08    75.08    29.65P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        36   56  +10      72.06     4.34    13.61     0.09     0.69    40.65    10.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   54   +6      70.41     4.52     6.31     0.06     0.33    23.94     4.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   53   +5      67.48     4.27     6.07     0.00     0.03     9.25     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      63.44     4.29     3.47     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +5      63.81     4.51     5.96     0.00     0.01     2.38     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   48   +4      63.24     4.44     4.12     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   47  -12      59.67     4.26   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            35   46   -9      59.75     4.40   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   45   -7      60.43     4.61    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   43  -11      54.11     4.12   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.01  
Peterborough     35   41   -3      54.75     4.60    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.83R    0.02  
Millwall         36   37  -11      49.45     4.18   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.87R    0.81  
Nott'm_Forest    35   35  -21      48.01     4.33   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.11R    2.23  
Bristol_City     36   34  -27      45.06     4.01   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.62R    8.83  
Coventry         36   30  -19      41.12     3.95   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.99R   32.32  
Doncaster        34   30  -24      42.15     4.34   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.10R   27.62  
Portsmouth       35   26   -6      41.42     4.35    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.80R   28.16  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth       -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        36   78  +37      96.53     4.15    44.38    87.97    97.86   100.00    98.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       35   68  +29      88.43     4.40    37.02     8.98    60.86    99.95    73.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       36   67  +20      83.67     4.29    24.49     0.76    13.12    99.19    32.78P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    35   64  +30      83.68     4.51    37.05     1.74    17.68    99.19    45.32P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         35   62  +29      81.95     4.50    36.33     0.55    10.40    98.19    34.76P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    36   56   +8      70.59     4.31     9.29     0.00     0.01    30.10     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        34   55   -2      69.94     4.72    -4.59     0.00     0.02    24.91     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       33   51  +16      70.86     4.94    19.04     0.00     0.07    38.87     6.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      34   48   +1      64.40     4.72     0.92     0.00     0.00     4.80     0.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       34   47   +5      63.88     4.70     5.67     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool      36   46   -3      58.88     4.17    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.21R    0.00  
Bournemouth     35   44   -5      59.00     4.48    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.37R    0.00  
Oldham          33   42   -9      57.88     4.84   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02P    1.47R    0.01  
Preston         34   42  -10      57.31     4.73   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.76R    0.01  
Yeovil          35   42  -11      55.51     4.38   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.42R    0.04  
Bury            36   41  -18      52.84     4.24   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.21  
Leyton_Orient   34   40  -14      53.84     4.53   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.25R    0.21  
Scunthorpe      35   39   -4      53.72     4.56    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.20R    0.14  
Tranmere        35   38   -6      51.79     4.39    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.53R    0.40  
Walsall         35   37   -5      50.06     4.33    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.75R    1.27  
Exeter          36   34  -24      45.68     4.19   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.27R   13.55  
Wycombe         36   33  -20      43.45     4.12   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.52R   26.12  
Chesterfield    36   32  -20      42.82     4.12   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.03R   31.05  
Rochdale        36   31  -24      43.34     4.16   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.70R   26.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Swindon              35   73  +36      94.43     4.33    45.47    93.85    99.73   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   65  +18      83.98     4.50    23.60     3.67    70.21    99.40    78.93P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   64  +19      81.50     4.21    24.74     1.00    50.94    98.42    65.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           36   64  +19      77.89     4.25    19.28     0.17    19.14    90.37    33.60P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              35   63  +11      79.40     4.54    12.98     0.68    26.84    93.23    43.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         33   58  +15      79.15     5.08    20.00     0.63    29.66    91.10    43.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   55  +14      70.80     4.55    15.19     0.00     1.43    39.33    10.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   54  +11      71.13     4.59    14.07     0.00     1.50    42.33    12.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   53  +10      68.79     4.45    11.05     0.00     0.39    21.81     5.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   52   +0      66.89     4.30     1.70     0.00     0.04     9.13     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   50   +5      66.98     4.49     7.88     0.00     0.13    12.23     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   47   +9      59.65     4.24     7.41     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   46   -3      62.01     4.53    -1.57     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            34   46   -4      60.78     4.59    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   43  -12      57.72     4.55   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.16R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers       35   42  -13      55.92     4.49   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.43R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        35   41  -16      52.11     4.31   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.65  
Bradford             34   39   -1      53.00     4.58    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.87R    0.45  
Barnet               35   37  -21      49.26     4.34   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.90R    4.84  
Macclesfield         36   35  -11      46.10     4.06   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.92R   11.87  
Hereford             36   35  -19      45.73     4.09   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.81R   16.46  
Northampton          34   34  -20      47.22     4.63   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.19R   12.58  
Plymouth             36   32  -18      45.06     4.23   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.89R   19.42  
Dag_&_Red            35   31  -29      44.06     4.44   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.02R   33.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 March 2012, AFC_Telford vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     37   88  +49     103.47     3.99    53.74    65.28   100.00    76.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   83  +44     101.12     4.07    50.73    34.71   100.00    56.64P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   65  +34      86.58     4.28    44.39     0.01    97.53    38.24P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   64  +19      79.68     4.25    22.01     0.00    65.78     8.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          36   62   -2      75.36     4.23    -2.89     0.00    22.65     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +31      79.10     4.46    35.59     0.00    63.44    12.30P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   58  +19      75.74     4.45    23.18     0.00    30.77     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   57  +11      72.38     4.24    13.41     0.00     9.29     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   57   +4      71.09     4.21     4.39     0.00     4.27     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             37   55   +3      66.87     4.01     2.30     0.00     0.46     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     37   53   -1      63.94     4.00    -3.57     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       36   52  +14      66.00     4.12    14.54     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      34   52  +11      70.66     4.68    14.37     0.00     5.41     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   35   43   -6      56.93     4.37    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   42  -15      53.93     4.19   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Stockport          38   35  -23      46.61     3.82   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.08  
Alfreton_Town      36   35  -25      44.32     3.98   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.56R    0.40  
Newport_County     35   34   -9      48.07     4.37   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.12R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       36   33  -16      47.33     4.26   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.13R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        35   33  -16      45.04     4.35   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.30R    0.19  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   30  -29      39.90     4.00   -35.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.96R    3.65  
Darlington         35   28  -15      42.92     4.37   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.54R    1.09  
Kettering          36   28  -44      38.38     4.04   -49.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.28R    8.75  
Bath_City          36   21  -38      30.62     4.00   -44.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R   85.74  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10