Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 6 March 2012 at 05:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2012, Fulham vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 27 66 +50 88.62 4.15 62.32 48.02 99.57 99.98 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 64 +39 89.27 3.74 56.69 51.97 99.79 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 53 +19 72.96 4.36 26.67 0.01 0.51 57.92 87.03 99.88 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 49 +17 70.33 4.31 27.50 0.00 0.11 30.78 72.51 99.22 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 27 46 +15 66.94 4.15 24.70 0.00 0.02 10.80 36.21 96.58 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 27 44 +0 58.42 4.34 -1.42 0.00 0.00 0.15 1.31 35.71 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 39 +5 60.08 4.63 11.72 0.00 0.00 0.38 2.91 59.56 0.00 0.00 Fulham 27 36 +1 50.51 4.25 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38 0.00 0.00 Stoke 27 36 -11 48.46 4.21 -15.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 27 35 -1 48.35 4.22 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.02R 0.00 Norwich 27 35 -6 47.15 4.27 -11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 27 34 +4 48.22 4.29 2.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.01R 0.00 Everton 26 34 -1 50.78 4.63 -0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.60 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 33 -4 45.36 4.20 -8.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.13R 0.00 Aston_Villa 27 30 -5 43.09 4.28 -8.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.50R 0.00 QPR 27 22 -18 30.76 3.81 -29.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.05R 20.25 Blackburn 27 22 -22 33.60 4.22 -28.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.26R 8.91 Wolverhampton 27 22 -26 32.62 4.14 -33.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.83R 14.15 Bolton 27 20 -27 33.36 4.45 -29.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.91R 10.46 Wigan 27 20 -29 29.01 3.88 -40.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.26R 46.22Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2012, Cardiff vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 34 65 +30 86.39 4.63 37.56 43.05 78.23 99.61 84.48P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 64 +21 87.03 4.92 28.74 45.54 78.59 99.34 84.76P 0.00 0.00 Reading 33 60 +15 80.47 4.87 18.80 7.10 22.70 90.43 40.36P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 34 56 +13 75.73 4.87 18.02 1.08 5.15 65.85 20.03P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 56 +6 74.54 4.83 7.22 0.63 2.80 50.81 11.74P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 33 55 +21 76.89 4.90 26.84 2.02 8.87 75.23 30.89P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 34 54 +6 69.60 4.64 4.92 0.02 0.21 16.55 2.94P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 33 53 +9 74.43 4.89 14.38 0.36 2.45 54.34 14.66P 0.00 0.00 Hull 32 52 +6 71.89 4.97 7.36 0.19 0.90 30.82 6.76P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 34 49 +3 65.41 4.67 2.83 0.00 0.02 4.30 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 33 48 +8 66.68 4.95 9.21 0.01 0.06 7.94 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 34 47 +4 63.88 4.69 4.48 0.00 0.00 2.21 0.44P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 47 +4 63.79 4.72 3.02 0.00 0.01 1.99 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 43 -7 59.88 4.94 -8.63 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 0.04R 0.00 Barnsley 34 43 -7 55.85 4.52 -12.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.30R 0.00 Derby 33 43 -9 59.49 4.87 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02P 0.06R 0.00 Watford 34 43 -13 57.35 4.63 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.23R 0.00 Peterborough 33 38 -2 54.80 5.09 -4.16 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.48R 0.05 Millwall 34 34 -12 48.54 4.63 -14.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.75R 1.53 Nott'm_Forest 33 32 -22 48.26 4.76 -24.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.76R 2.36 Bristol_City 34 31 -27 44.08 4.45 -31.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.85R 11.15 Coventry 34 28 -19 41.46 4.40 -23.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.64R 24.06 Portsmouth 33 26 -3 43.71 4.77 -2.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.07R 11.84 Doncaster 32 26 -25 39.29 4.64 -33.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.81R 49.01 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2012, Bournemouth vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 34 78 +41 101.12 4.58 51.14 95.67 99.57 100.00 99.70P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 33 65 +28 88.84 4.89 36.93 3.30 59.22 99.93 73.23P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 34 61 +14 80.88 4.73 19.19 0.05 5.10 96.72 23.29P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 33 60 +29 84.14 4.90 38.68 0.62 19.58 99.31 47.66P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 33 59 +27 83.36 4.91 37.01 0.36 16.37 99.01 40.47P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 34 52 +6 68.44 4.71 6.00 0.00 0.00 20.15 2.83P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 50 +16 71.94 5.21 20.06 0.00 0.14 55.78 8.94P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 32 49 -6 66.93 5.14 -8.26 0.00 0.01 14.13 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 34 45 -2 59.77 4.56 -4.54 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.09P 0.23R 0.00 Brentford 32 44 +5 63.70 5.14 5.74 0.00 0.00 5.89 0.96P 0.03R 0.00 Colchester 32 44 -1 62.43 5.16 -2.19 0.00 0.00 3.69 0.56P 0.11R 0.00 Bournemouth 34 44 -2 60.44 4.68 -1.99 0.00 0.00 1.12 0.20P 0.13R 0.00 Oldham 31 42 -7 61.26 5.31 -8.86 0.00 0.00 2.43 0.27P 0.32R 0.00 Bury 34 41 -12 55.24 4.69 -15.62 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 4.19R 0.08 Preston 32 40 -10 58.59 5.26 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.12P 1.44R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 32 40 -10 57.09 5.03 -13.32 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 2.47R 0.04 Yeovil 33 36 -13 51.01 4.74 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 20.68R 1.08 Scunthorpe 33 35 -5 51.94 4.99 -6.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.65R 0.63 Tranmere 33 34 -8 50.35 4.80 -9.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 22.73R 1.13 Exeter 34 34 -19 47.71 4.55 -23.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.04R 5.24 Walsall 33 33 -6 48.41 4.73 -9.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.21R 3.17 Chesterfield 34 30 -20 42.60 4.52 -26.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.70R 29.62 Rochdale 34 30 -23 43.91 4.54 -26.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.17R 20.00 Wycombe 34 29 -22 41.59 4.55 -28.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.91R 39.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 March 2012, Southend vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 33 67 +31 92.24 4.84 42.10 82.33 97.72 100.00 98.53P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 34 64 +22 80.27 4.72 21.75 2.55 32.64 93.68 45.39P 0.00 0.00 Southend 35 63 +19 82.27 4.45 25.32 4.15 51.35 97.93 64.82P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 33 61 +17 83.60 4.94 23.89 7.20 60.14 98.05 71.46P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 59 +10 78.92 4.97 13.09 1.38 21.10 87.35 38.01P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 32 57 +15 79.85 5.32 20.51 2.30 30.78 90.17 44.33P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 33 54 +15 72.35 4.95 15.95 0.05 3.15 46.94 13.40P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 33 51 +10 71.86 5.04 14.63 0.04 2.28 42.86 12.93P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 33 50 +8 69.46 4.86 10.52 0.01 0.63 23.21 6.26P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 34 48 -1 65.03 4.78 -0.31 0.00 0.02 4.65 1.13P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 33 46 +4 66.22 4.97 7.60 0.00 0.13 9.15 2.49P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 46 -1 63.53 5.06 -3.24 0.00 0.03 3.15 0.68P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 34 44 +8 59.86 4.69 7.10 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.11P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 33 44 -3 62.22 4.96 -2.36 0.00 0.01 1.59 0.34P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 33 43 -8 59.70 4.97 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.10P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 41 -12 57.28 4.94 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.18R 0.03 AFC_Wimbledon 33 38 -16 51.79 4.81 -22.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.81R 0.96 Bradford 32 35 -2 51.50 5.02 -5.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.61R 1.06 Barnet 33 34 -20 47.72 4.71 -26.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.79R 6.83 Macclesfield 34 33 -11 46.83 4.53 -14.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.42R 6.93 Hereford 34 31 -20 43.74 4.52 -25.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.55R 24.87 Dag_&_Red 33 31 -24 46.34 4.86 -27.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.66R 12.29 Plymouth 34 29 -18 44.61 4.72 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.27R 17.72 Northampton 32 28 -23 43.56 4.99 -29.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.67R 29.30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2012, Alfreton_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 35 82 +46 100.68 4.49 51.52 63.42 100.00 74.16P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 34 77 +40 98.43 4.57 47.61 35.61 100.00 55.82P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 65 +36 88.19 4.45 46.85 0.95 98.78 39.72P 0.00 0.00 York 34 60 +31 80.54 4.64 37.27 0.02 76.48 14.70P 0.00 0.00 Southport 35 59 -3 73.48 4.47 -4.29 0.00 14.66 0.83P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 34 58 +17 76.33 4.74 19.85 0.00 37.33 4.60P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 35 57 +13 73.85 4.48 15.59 0.00 18.95 2.75P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 33 55 +19 75.44 4.88 23.02 0.00 32.68 5.05P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 35 55 +6 69.85 4.44 5.62 0.00 3.89 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 54 +4 71.46 4.74 5.44 0.00 8.01 0.70P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 35 52 +15 66.98 4.37 14.91 0.00 1.08 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 32 49 +11 70.60 5.16 14.66 0.00 8.13 1.16P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 35 47 -4 60.01 4.46 -7.68 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 35 43 -6 56.98 4.39 -8.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 34 41 -14 54.58 4.56 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Stockport 36 35 -17 50.25 4.34 -14.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.92R 0.01 Newport_County 34 34 -8 49.96 4.63 -8.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.24R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 33 -15 49.50 4.49 -12.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.74R 0.00 AFC_Telford 34 33 -15 46.74 4.66 -19.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.24R 0.03 Alfreton_Town 34 29 -31 39.53 4.33 -41.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.32R 3.56 Darlington 35 28 -15 42.88 4.32 -15.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.24R 0.43 Kettering 35 28 -43 39.53 4.28 -49.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.48R 2.80 Hayes_&_Yeading 34 27 -28 39.24 4.47 -35.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.51R 2.89 Bath_City 35 18 -39 28.32 4.18 -46.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.29R 90.27 Adjustments: Darlington -10