Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 2 March 2012 at 05:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 February 2012, Arsenal vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 26 63 +48 88.26 4.29 62.89 55.86 98.90 99.92 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 61 +37 87.73 4.07 54.65 44.02 98.29 99.94 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 53 +21 74.31 4.57 28.68 0.12 2.54 66.49 89.46 99.84 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 46 +16 68.30 4.58 25.86 0.00 0.10 13.96 47.07 95.92 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 46 +16 69.05 4.39 26.91 0.00 0.16 18.41 54.56 97.51 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 26 43 +0 59.19 4.65 -0.83 0.00 0.00 0.24 2.04 34.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 39 +6 61.86 4.85 13.32 0.00 0.00 1.04 6.82 66.19 0.00 0.00 Norwich 26 35 -5 48.31 4.53 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.79 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 26 33 +4 48.17 4.54 1.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.76 0.07R 0.00 Everton 25 33 -1 51.55 4.85 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.68 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 26 33 -4 48.89 4.48 -5.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.02R 0.00 Stoke 26 33 -12 46.95 4.46 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.14R 0.00 West_Brom 26 32 -2 45.94 4.44 -7.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.27R 0.00 Swansea 26 30 -6 43.43 4.44 -10.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.19R 0.04 Aston_Villa 26 29 -5 43.62 4.55 -8.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.01R 0.02 Wolverhampton 26 22 -21 33.94 4.40 -28.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.95R 11.20 QPR 26 21 -18 30.83 4.06 -29.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.94R 27.84 Blackburn 26 21 -22 33.90 4.46 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.24R 11.75 Bolton 26 20 -25 33.75 4.52 -30.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.09R 12.83 Wigan 26 20 -27 30.58 4.13 -37.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.05R 36.31Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2012, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 33 62 +29 84.80 4.92 36.61 41.49 70.80 98.47 78.54P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 32 61 +19 84.89 5.18 25.99 38.52 67.05 97.63 75.60P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 57 +14 78.86 5.10 17.90 7.19 19.74 82.76 35.85P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 33 55 +13 76.47 5.09 18.58 2.97 10.12 69.48 24.59P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 54 +21 78.15 5.09 28.12 6.16 18.44 81.16 39.50P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 32 53 +11 76.19 5.13 16.96 2.59 9.01 66.78 22.73P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 33 53 +6 70.24 4.87 5.29 0.14 0.70 19.90 3.90P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 53 +4 72.56 5.04 4.74 0.51 2.18 34.62 8.17P 0.00 0.00 Hull 31 51 +6 71.83 5.12 6.78 0.42 1.72 30.00 7.19P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 33 49 +4 66.87 4.93 3.93 0.02 0.13 7.84 1.59P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 47 +5 65.37 4.91 5.69 0.00 0.04 4.45 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 32 45 +6 65.38 5.12 7.66 0.01 0.06 5.25 1.12P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 44 +3 62.34 4.93 2.26 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.20P 0.02R 0.00 Barnsley 33 42 -7 56.38 4.76 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.68R 0.00 Derby 32 42 -9 58.96 4.99 -12.20 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.29R 0.00 Ipswich 32 40 -10 58.46 5.17 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.46R 0.01 Watford 33 40 -14 55.60 4.86 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.59R 0.03 Peterborough 32 38 -1 56.16 5.35 -3.20 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 1.49R 0.03 Millwall 33 34 -11 49.86 4.85 -13.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.94R 1.33 Nott'm_Forest 32 31 -22 48.37 4.98 -24.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.06R 3.50 Bristol_City 33 31 -24 45.35 4.68 -29.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.90R 9.30 Coventry 33 28 -17 42.31 4.60 -21.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.13R 22.87 Portsmouth 32 26 -1 45.43 4.94 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.38R 8.81 Doncaster 31 25 -25 39.48 4.84 -34.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.06R 54.13 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 February 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 33 75 +40 99.83 4.79 50.61 87.02 98.02 100.00 98.69P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 65 +29 91.33 5.06 39.61 10.58 67.69 99.97 78.84P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 60 +14 81.53 4.98 19.59 0.11 3.75 96.45 22.12P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 32 59 +29 85.28 5.11 39.87 1.55 17.54 99.38 47.32P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 58 +27 84.00 5.12 37.41 0.74 12.87 98.97 37.42P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 49 +16 72.37 5.42 20.14 0.00 0.11 56.15 9.08P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 33 49 +4 66.81 4.94 3.96 0.00 0.00 11.96 1.59P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 31 49 -4 68.37 5.39 -6.20 0.00 0.02 19.96 2.29P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 44 +6 65.33 5.36 7.11 0.00 0.00 9.51 1.46P 0.02R 0.00 Bournemouth 33 44 -1 61.57 4.92 -1.37 0.00 0.00 1.93 0.35P 0.11R 0.00 Hartlepool 33 44 -2 59.74 4.82 -5.15 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.10P 0.27R 0.00 Colchester 31 41 -4 60.47 5.37 -5.76 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.23P 0.48R 0.00 Preston 31 40 -7 60.43 5.47 -7.40 0.00 0.00 1.88 0.35P 0.58R 0.01 Bury 33 40 -12 54.96 4.88 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 4.92R 0.08 Oldham 30 39 -8 58.51 5.46 -11.55 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.11P 1.58R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 31 39 -10 57.54 5.22 -13.18 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.04P 2.26R 0.04 Tranmere 32 34 -7 51.98 5.03 -8.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 13.93R 0.57 Yeovil 32 33 -14 49.17 4.97 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.43R 2.76 Exeter 33 33 -19 47.79 4.76 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.65R 4.76 Walsall 32 32 -6 48.56 4.93 -9.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.65R 2.89 Scunthorpe 32 32 -8 50.42 5.23 -9.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 22.72R 1.74 Wycombe 33 29 -19 42.98 4.82 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.21R 24.00 Rochdale 33 29 -23 44.00 4.77 -27.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.09R 18.99 Chesterfield 33 27 -21 40.69 4.73 -27.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.10R 44.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 February 2012, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 32 67 +33 94.28 4.99 45.13 86.50 98.74 100.00 99.21P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 33 63 +22 81.30 4.91 22.73 2.40 38.82 96.46 51.03P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 60 +17 84.03 5.13 23.98 5.25 60.94 98.51 72.14P 0.00 0.00 Southend 33 59 +17 81.53 4.95 24.11 2.17 42.62 96.70 58.37P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 56 +16 81.63 5.75 21.56 3.21 42.28 94.53 54.14P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 32 56 +9 77.19 5.17 11.91 0.43 12.91 81.20 29.93P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 51 +13 70.05 5.13 13.04 0.01 1.21 33.93 8.57P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 32 49 +8 69.75 5.07 10.35 0.01 0.84 30.13 7.90P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 32 48 +9 70.25 5.26 13.64 0.01 1.30 35.75 10.54P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 33 47 -1 65.20 4.99 -0.59 0.00 0.06 7.42 1.82P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 32 45 +4 66.99 5.20 8.22 0.00 0.24 15.42 4.20P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 33 44 +9 61.20 4.95 8.05 0.00 0.01 2.13 0.47P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 31 43 -2 61.91 5.24 -4.26 0.00 0.01 2.49 0.56P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 32 43 -3 62.69 5.17 -2.21 0.00 0.02 3.16 0.73P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 32 43 -6 61.12 5.20 -7.85 0.00 0.01 1.68 0.30P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 40 -12 58.00 5.19 -14.04 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.09P 0.17R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 32 38 -15 53.06 5.04 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 2.06R 0.51 Bradford 31 35 -1 53.03 5.26 -4.68 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 1.78R 0.42 Barnet 32 33 -20 47.67 4.91 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.56R 6.12 Macclesfield 33 32 -11 46.82 4.76 -15.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.08R 5.98 Plymouth 33 29 -17 46.03 4.97 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.76R 9.47 Hereford 33 28 -21 42.13 4.75 -26.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.22R 32.19 Dag_&_Red 32 28 -25 44.60 5.11 -29.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.01R 18.07 Northampton 31 27 -23 43.29 5.23 -30.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.33R 27.22Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2012, Barrow vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 34 79 +43 99.29 4.72 48.88 58.51 100.00 70.28P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 74 +39 97.58 4.76 47.81 39.88 99.99 58.41P 0.00 0.00 Luton 33 62 +34 87.62 4.60 46.78 1.58 97.41 39.92P 0.00 0.00 Southport 34 58 -3 74.07 4.72 -4.00 0.00 16.11 1.07P 0.00 0.00 York 33 57 +29 79.78 4.84 36.82 0.02 65.96 13.29P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 57 +14 75.91 4.74 17.64 0.00 29.66 4.25P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 33 55 +16 75.10 4.97 19.46 0.00 24.89 3.34P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 32 54 +19 76.64 5.10 24.47 0.00 38.35 6.28P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 33 54 +5 73.42 4.96 7.36 0.00 14.04 1.22P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 34 52 +5 67.47 4.61 3.45 0.00 1.26 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 49 +14 65.27 4.60 13.77 0.00 0.51 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 49 +12 72.06 5.35 15.84 0.00 11.81 1.78P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 34 46 -4 59.72 4.63 -8.96 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 33 41 -11 55.70 4.79 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 34 40 -7 54.81 4.61 -10.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Newport_County 33 33 -8 50.23 4.85 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.72R 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 33 -14 50.51 4.72 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.93R 0.01 AFC_Telford 33 32 -15 46.94 4.89 -19.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.68R 0.07 Stockport 35 32 -18 48.11 4.58 -16.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.87R 0.05 Darlington 34 28 -14 44.75 4.61 -13.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.37R 0.28 Alfreton_Town 33 28 -31 40.04 4.57 -41.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.77R 3.85 Kettering 34 28 -42 40.30 4.49 -49.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.75R 2.75 Hayes_&_Yeading 33 27 -26 39.83 4.64 -35.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.52R 2.99 Bath_City 34 18 -37 28.69 4.30 -46.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.28R 90.01 Adjustments: Darlington -10