Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 28 February 2012 at 05:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 February 2012, Arsenal vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 26 63 +48 88.28 4.29 62.96 55.57 99.03 99.94 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 61 +37 87.75 4.06 54.73 44.27 98.35 99.94 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 53 +21 74.21 4.58 28.55 0.16 2.36 66.10 88.87 99.84 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 46 +16 68.32 4.60 25.83 0.00 0.09 14.17 47.74 95.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 46 +16 69.07 4.38 26.98 0.00 0.16 18.72 54.90 97.43 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 26 43 +0 59.13 4.61 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.23 1.90 33.86 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 39 +6 61.79 4.83 13.23 0.00 0.00 0.90 6.55 66.08 0.00 0.00 Norwich 26 35 -5 48.33 4.54 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 26 33 +4 48.25 4.55 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.05R 0.00 Everton 25 33 -1 51.60 4.85 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.71 0.00R 0.00 Fulham 26 33 -4 48.93 4.48 -4.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.80 0.02R 0.00 Stoke 26 33 -12 47.07 4.48 -15.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.13R 0.00 West_Brom 26 32 -2 45.93 4.44 -7.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.29R 0.00 Swansea 26 30 -6 43.46 4.43 -10.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.23R 0.04 Aston_Villa 26 29 -5 43.53 4.52 -8.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.96R 0.03 Wolverhampton 26 22 -21 33.91 4.41 -28.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.26R 11.46 QPR 26 21 -18 30.88 4.08 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.33R 27.54 Blackburn 26 21 -22 33.85 4.49 -29.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.73R 12.17 Bolton 26 20 -25 33.74 4.51 -30.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.86R 12.83 Wigan 26 20 -27 30.55 4.14 -37.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.11R 35.94Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2012, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 33 62 +29 84.70 4.88 36.49 41.38 70.80 98.49 78.41P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 32 61 +19 84.85 5.18 25.96 38.81 67.07 97.61 75.66P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 57 +14 78.82 5.05 17.85 7.21 19.79 82.61 35.83P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 33 55 +13 76.49 5.07 18.58 3.03 10.24 69.77 24.75P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 54 +21 78.04 5.10 27.96 6.11 18.33 80.53 39.28P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 32 53 +11 76.01 5.11 16.71 2.33 8.67 65.84 22.31P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 33 53 +6 70.23 4.86 5.27 0.11 0.63 20.14 3.80P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 53 +4 72.62 5.03 4.83 0.51 2.30 35.05 8.33P 0.00 0.00 Hull 31 51 +6 71.85 5.19 6.79 0.48 1.90 30.61 7.62P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 33 49 +4 66.91 4.95 3.99 0.02 0.14 8.06 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 47 +5 65.31 4.90 5.60 0.00 0.04 4.27 0.90P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 32 45 +6 65.43 5.12 7.71 0.01 0.08 5.33 1.20P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 44 +3 62.35 4.93 2.28 0.00 0.01 1.21 0.22P 0.02R 0.00 Barnsley 33 42 -7 56.47 4.77 -12.28 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.75R 0.00 Derby 32 42 -9 59.05 4.96 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 0.25R 0.00 Ipswich 32 40 -10 58.46 5.14 -11.34 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.49R 0.01 Watford 33 40 -14 55.56 4.84 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 1.57R 0.04 Peterborough 32 38 -1 56.12 5.29 -3.23 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 1.44R 0.04 Millwall 33 34 -11 49.84 4.87 -13.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.35R 1.46 Nott'm_Forest 32 31 -22 48.45 4.97 -24.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.78R 3.46 Bristol_City 33 31 -24 45.38 4.68 -28.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.60R 9.28 Coventry 33 28 -17 42.35 4.60 -21.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.06R 22.75 Portsmouth 32 26 -1 45.44 4.96 -0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.64R 8.63 Doncaster 31 25 -25 39.49 4.86 -34.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.06R 54.32 Adjustments: Portsmouth -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 February 2012, Sheff_Wed vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 32 72 +36 98.42 5.00 46.96 82.49 96.06 100.00 97.31P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 62 +28 90.29 5.30 39.52 12.38 60.54 99.93 74.50P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 60 +14 81.58 4.97 19.66 0.23 4.70 96.87 22.83P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 31 58 +29 85.90 5.31 40.21 3.54 24.27 99.45 51.46P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 58 +27 83.91 5.13 37.31 1.36 14.18 98.91 38.45P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 31 49 -4 68.33 5.37 -6.21 0.00 0.02 20.22 2.30P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 30 48 +16 72.51 5.62 19.81 0.01 0.21 58.03 9.48P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 32 46 +3 65.11 5.13 2.86 0.00 0.00 7.87 0.91P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 31 44 +6 65.32 5.36 7.13 0.00 0.00 9.94 1.45P 0.03R 0.00 Bournemouth 33 44 -1 61.49 4.88 -1.47 0.00 0.00 1.97 0.29P 0.11R 0.00 Hartlepool 32 41 -3 57.95 4.99 -6.34 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.05P 1.38R 0.01 Colchester 30 40 -4 60.81 5.56 -5.79 0.00 0.00 2.39 0.33P 0.65R 0.00 Preston 31 40 -7 60.41 5.51 -7.41 0.00 0.00 1.95 0.34P 0.83R 0.01 Bury 32 40 -11 56.46 5.13 -15.43 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.03P 3.54R 0.06 Leyton_Orient 31 39 -10 57.61 5.22 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.07P 2.63R 0.06 Oldham 29 38 -8 59.12 5.70 -11.23 0.00 0.00 1.35 0.18P 1.83R 0.04 Tranmere 32 34 -7 51.95 5.03 -8.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.57R 0.88 Yeovil 32 33 -14 49.16 4.97 -19.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 35.10R 3.71 Exeter 33 33 -19 47.80 4.77 -23.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.52R 6.15 Walsall 32 32 -6 48.61 4.93 -9.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.21R 3.72 Scunthorpe 31 32 -7 51.19 5.40 -9.41 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.45R 1.94 Wycombe 33 29 -19 42.89 4.82 -25.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.87R 29.67 Rochdale 32 29 -22 45.39 5.00 -26.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.41R 15.78 Chesterfield 32 27 -17 41.89 4.96 -24.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.85R 37.97League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 February 2012, Shrewsbury vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Swindon 31 64 +31 93.29 5.22 44.20 82.24 97.83 99.99 98.70P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 33 63 +22 81.29 4.92 22.70 3.03 39.06 96.26 51.02P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 60 +17 84.11 5.13 24.13 7.10 61.90 98.49 72.66P 0.00 0.00 Southend 33 59 +17 81.50 4.97 24.03 2.85 42.48 96.43 58.01P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 56 +16 81.61 5.75 21.56 4.21 42.40 94.08 54.10P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 32 56 +9 77.03 5.17 11.69 0.52 12.39 79.84 29.64P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 51 +13 70.08 5.12 13.07 0.01 1.27 33.71 8.67P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 31 48 +8 70.31 5.35 10.59 0.02 1.37 34.70 9.30P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 32 46 -1 65.50 5.22 -0.76 0.00 0.11 8.77 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 45 +8 69.22 5.43 13.48 0.01 0.86 28.90 8.56P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 32 45 +4 67.00 5.20 8.20 0.00 0.25 15.32 4.22P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 32 44 +10 63.18 5.17 9.97 0.00 0.03 4.85 1.15P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 31 43 -2 61.94 5.31 -4.24 0.00 0.01 2.75 0.60P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 32 43 -3 62.69 5.15 -2.23 0.00 0.02 3.05 0.71P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 43 -4 61.80 5.35 -7.00 0.00 0.02 2.49 0.44P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 40 -12 58.03 5.17 -14.03 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 0.16R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 32 38 -15 53.10 5.06 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.00R 0.44 Barnet 31 33 -16 49.67 5.21 -22.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.56R 2.86 Bradford 30 32 -5 50.72 5.44 -9.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.61R 1.67 Macclesfield 32 31 -11 47.10 4.99 -15.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 16.10R 5.90 Plymouth 32 28 -17 46.52 5.20 -18.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.32R 8.05 Hereford 32 28 -20 42.78 4.91 -26.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.85R 25.31 Northampton 31 27 -23 43.39 5.23 -30.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.11R 24.78 Dag_&_Red 31 25 -26 42.39 5.26 -31.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.27R 30.96Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 February 2012, Barrow vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 34 79 +43 99.29 4.71 48.86 58.52 100.00 70.12P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 33 74 +39 97.57 4.73 47.81 39.81 99.99 58.10P 0.00 0.00 Luton 33 62 +34 87.73 4.60 46.98 1.65 97.57 40.64P 0.00 0.00 Southport 34 58 -3 74.03 4.70 -4.06 0.00 15.73 0.93P 0.00 0.00 York 33 57 +29 79.87 4.80 36.99 0.01 67.03 13.28P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 57 +14 75.88 4.72 17.62 0.00 29.26 4.19P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 33 55 +16 75.17 4.92 19.58 0.00 25.26 3.38P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 32 54 +19 76.53 5.10 24.25 0.01 37.60 6.00P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 33 54 +5 73.44 4.92 7.39 0.00 13.89 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 34 52 +5 67.56 4.59 3.55 0.00 1.31 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 49 +14 65.22 4.58 13.74 0.00 0.43 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 49 +12 72.13 5.33 15.91 0.00 11.91 1.88P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 34 46 -4 59.56 4.65 -9.22 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tamworth 33 41 -11 55.66 4.77 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 34 40 -7 54.83 4.62 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Newport_County 33 33 -8 50.24 4.85 -8.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.70R 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 33 -14 50.51 4.69 -12.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.73R 0.01 AFC_Telford 33 32 -15 47.05 4.88 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.44R 0.06 Stockport 35 32 -18 48.11 4.59 -16.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.73R 0.05 Darlington 34 28 -14 44.69 4.61 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.47R 0.25 Alfreton_Town 33 28 -31 40.01 4.59 -41.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.05R 3.92 Kettering 34 28 -42 40.27 4.46 -49.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.01R 2.79 Hayes_&_Yeading 33 27 -26 39.82 4.59 -35.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.50R 3.10 Bath_City 34 18 -37 28.67 4.28 -46.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.29R 89.81 Adjustments: Darlington -10