Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 22 February 2012 at 05:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2012, Aston_Villa vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_City 25 60 +45 87.84 4.46 62.34 56.30 97.58 99.92 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 25 58 +36 87.07 4.26 55.45 43.11 95.97 99.89 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 25 53 +24 75.69 4.79 31.62 0.59 6.20 77.78 94.03 99.87 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 25 43 +13 66.71 4.85 22.71 0.00 0.08 8.07 37.47 90.89 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 25 43 +13 68.49 4.57 25.73 0.00 0.17 13.18 55.38 95.64 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 25 42 +0 60.45 4.83 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.44 4.74 44.16 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 25 39 +6 61.78 4.86 13.29 0.00 0.00 0.72 8.33 61.98 0.00 0.00
Norwich 25 35 -4 48.76 4.68 -11.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.05R 0.00
Sunderland 25 33 +8 49.93 4.79 6.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.97 0.03R 0.00
Everton 25 33 -1 51.58 4.84 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.57 0.00 0.00
Swansea 25 30 -4 44.77 4.71 -8.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.94R 0.04
Fulham 25 30 -5 47.42 4.73 -5.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.22R 0.02
Stoke 25 30 -14 45.25 4.67 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.89R 0.03
West_Brom 25 29 -6 43.80 4.69 -11.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.63R 0.07
Aston_Villa 25 28 -5 44.26 4.78 -7.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.23R 0.04
QPR 25 21 -17 32.05 4.32 -28.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.31R 21.37
Blackburn 25 21 -19 34.22 4.57 -28.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.05R 12.16
Wolverhampton 25 21 -21 33.48 4.57 -30.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.88R 16.04
Bolton 25 20 -22 34.30 4.66 -28.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.91R 12.06
Wigan 25 19 -27 30.73 4.40 -37.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.87R 38.18
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2012, Barnsley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Ham 31 60 +19 85.95 5.38 27.04 49.15 72.97 98.23 80.18P 0.00 0.00
Southampton 32 59 +26 83.02 5.19 33.40 26.57 55.80 95.93 67.26P 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 31 54 +22 80.40 5.25 30.35 13.59 33.80 89.59 52.74P 0.00 0.00
Reading 31 54 +12 76.85 5.33 15.34 4.01 12.49 69.43 26.64P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 32 53 +11 76.13 5.11 16.89 2.54 9.18 66.37 23.36P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 31 53 +6 74.11 5.26 7.01 1.42 4.94 46.98 12.87P 0.00 0.00
Blackpool 32 52 +11 74.99 5.30 16.77 1.79 6.82 57.79 19.27P 0.00 0.00
Hull 30 50 +6 72.64 5.40 7.31 0.75 3.04 36.69 9.80P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 31 49 +3 68.41 5.25 1.59 0.10 0.49 13.31 2.54P 0.00R 0.00
Leeds_United 32 48 +4 67.11 5.14 3.74 0.04 0.22 9.24 1.93P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 32 47 +7 67.47 5.10 8.74 0.03 0.20 10.41 2.27P 0.00 0.00
Crystal_Palace 31 43 +3 62.11 5.14 1.35 0.00 0.01 1.30 0.24P 0.03R 0.00
Leicester 31 42 +5 63.69 5.38 6.55 0.00 0.03 3.24 0.69P 0.02R 0.00
Barnsley 32 42 -6 57.79 4.98 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.04P 0.31R 0.01
Derby 31 42 -8 60.49 5.22 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.07P 0.11R 0.00
Ipswich 31 40 -7 59.80 5.35 -8.34 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.07P 0.20R 0.01
Watford 32 40 -11 56.94 5.08 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00P 0.61R 0.01
Peterborough 31 37 -1 56.79 5.55 -2.77 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 1.23R 0.04
Millwall 32 31 -13 47.50 5.00 -16.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.31R 3.71
Bristol_City 32 31 -22 46.56 4.89 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.65R 5.44
Nott'm_Forest 31 28 -23 45.86 5.11 -26.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.46R 7.97
Portsmouth 31 25 -1 46.21 5.22 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.78R 6.17
Coventry 32 25 -18 40.74 4.83 -22.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.39R 31.56
Doncaster 30 24 -25 39.86 5.13 -34.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.89R 45.08
Adjustments:
Portsmouth -10
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2012, Charlton vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Charlton 31 69 +34 96.91 5.29 45.11 69.37 93.39 100.00 95.48P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 30 62 +29 92.15 5.50 41.37 25.59 75.20 99.96 83.83P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 32 57 +13 79.62 5.23 18.16 0.22 2.82 92.33 20.12P 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 30 55 +27 84.96 5.46 39.29 3.50 18.61 98.88 47.64P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 31 55 +26 82.28 5.38 36.29 1.19 8.89 97.21 33.97P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 28 48 +19 75.27 6.03 22.87 0.13 1.06 73.65 13.62P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 30 46 -5 67.10 5.64 -6.58 0.00 0.01 13.57 1.71P 0.02R 0.00
Bournemouth 32 44 +0 62.86 5.15 -0.50 0.00 0.00 3.31 0.51P 0.08R 0.00
Brentford 30 43 +6 65.55 5.62 6.88 0.00 0.01 9.90 1.56P 0.05R 0.00
Hartlepool 31 41 +2 60.24 5.29 0.02 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.19P 0.61R 0.00
Notts_County 30 40 +1 62.03 5.60 1.06 0.00 0.00 3.06 0.39P 0.40R 0.01
Colchester 29 39 -4 61.60 5.80 -5.22 0.00 0.00 2.81 0.43P 0.72R 0.01
Preston 30 39 -7 61.26 5.73 -6.77 0.00 0.00 2.49 0.39P 0.89R 0.01
Bury 31 39 -11 56.88 5.35 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.02P 3.78R 0.04
Leyton_Orient 30 38 -10 58.18 5.51 -12.81 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.08P 3.01R 0.04
Oldham 28 35 -9 57.38 5.94 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.08P 4.72R 0.15
Tranmere 31 34 -6 53.28 5.26 -7.71 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 12.20R 0.38
Yeovil 31 33 -13 50.27 5.21 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 29.65R 2.01
Exeter 32 33 -17 48.48 4.94 -22.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.01R 4.05
Walsall 31 31 -6 48.47 5.16 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.99R 3.54
Scunthorpe 30 31 -7 51.74 5.62 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 20.51R 1.46
Rochdale 31 28 -22 45.44 5.22 -26.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.01R 13.29
Chesterfield 31 27 -16 42.92 5.18 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.22R 25.35
Wycombe 32 26 -24 40.36 4.98 -32.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.13R 49.66
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2012, Aldershot vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Swindon 30 61 +29 92.25 5.45 43.06 73.84 95.84 99.98 97.32P 0.00 0.00
Cheltenham 32 60 +20 79.77 5.15 20.85 2.37 26.60 91.58 40.24P 0.00 0.00
Southend 32 59 +18 83.16 5.17 25.47 6.57 53.26 97.75 65.90P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 31 57 +16 82.62 5.35 23.33 5.79 47.86 96.41 62.36P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 31 56 +11 78.46 5.39 13.77 1.51 18.23 84.70 35.24P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 28 55 +17 83.57 6.17 22.85 9.85 53.79 95.81 63.10P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 31 50 +13 70.93 5.34 13.74 0.04 1.96 38.67 10.41P 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 30 45 +7 68.91 5.59 9.91 0.02 0.87 25.16 6.89P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 31 45 +5 69.08 5.43 10.27 0.01 0.83 26.16 7.42P 0.00 0.00
Crewe 31 45 -1 66.49 5.42 0.29 0.00 0.21 12.02 2.98P 0.00 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 31 43 -1 63.59 5.38 -0.99 0.00 0.03 4.79 1.09P 0.01R 0.00
Burton_Albion 30 43 -2 63.11 5.55 -5.15 0.00 0.07 4.19 0.80P 0.00R 0.00
Gillingham 30 42 +6 67.36 5.64 11.10 0.00 0.43 18.36 5.21P 0.00 0.00
Morecambe 30 40 +9 61.26 5.55 7.92 0.00 0.03 2.92 0.71P 0.02R 0.00
Aldershot 30 40 -5 60.17 5.46 -7.40 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.27P 0.07R 0.01
Bristol_Rovers 31 37 -13 55.86 5.39 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.86R 0.19
AFC_Wimbledon 31 37 -15 52.63 5.22 -23.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.37R 0.83
Barnet 30 33 -13 51.06 5.40 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.34R 1.90
Bradford 29 31 -5 51.46 5.63 -9.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 5.59R 1.69
Macclesfield 31 30 -11 47.00 5.15 -16.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.24R 7.27
Plymouth 31 27 -17 47.32 5.44 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.23R 7.84
Hereford 31 27 -20 42.82 5.12 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.85R 27.88
Northampton 30 27 -22 44.65 5.41 -29.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.77R 19.57
Dag_&_Red 30 24 -26 42.59 5.53 -31.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.66R 32.83
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 February 2012, Barrow vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Fleetwood_Town 33 76 +39 98.51 4.86 46.49 43.66 100.00 58.97P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 32 74 +40 99.45 4.97 49.59 54.90 100.00 68.66P 0.00 0.00
Luton 33 62 +34 87.69 4.61 46.87 1.33 97.96 39.21P 0.00 0.00
York 32 57 +30 82.07 5.00 39.27 0.11 82.00 16.83P 0.00 0.00
Southport 33 55 -4 72.09 4.97 -5.64 0.00 10.21 0.61P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 32 54 +19 76.56 5.11 24.35 0.00 40.19 6.29P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 33 54 +13 74.69 4.95 17.27 0.00 24.45 3.63P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 32 52 +15 74.17 5.16 19.56 0.00 21.85 2.95P 0.00 0.00
Barrow 33 51 +5 68.08 4.87 3.72 0.00 2.42 0.24P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 32 51 +4 70.95 5.13 4.98 0.00 7.62 0.71P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 31 49 +12 72.10 5.34 15.90 0.00 12.43 1.82P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 33 48 +14 65.55 4.81 13.62 0.00 0.86 0.10P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 33 43 -5 58.47 4.88 -9.39 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00R 0.00
Tamworth 32 41 -10 56.52 4.97 -16.13 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 33 40 -6 56.54 4.91 -8.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00
Newport_County 33 33 -8 50.18 4.82 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92R 0.01
Lincoln_City 33 32 -14 51.37 4.95 -11.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.66R 0.01
AFC_Telford 32 31 -15 46.91 5.08 -19.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.98R 0.18
Stockport 34 29 -19 45.95 4.80 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.28R 0.38
Darlington 34 28 -14 44.72 4.59 -13.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.33R 0.41
Alfreton_Town 32 28 -27 40.67 4.75 -38.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.18R 4.51
Kettering 33 28 -41 41.12 4.65 -49.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.15R 3.17
Hayes_&_Yeading 33 27 -26 39.85 4.61 -35.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.80R 4.30
Bath_City 33 18 -36 29.71 4.49 -46.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.61R 87.02
Adjustments:
Darlington -10